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Stock Ratings / Industrials / ARIS / earnings
BELFA (60) AAUC (45) BELFB (61) GEF (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.5% Move

$14.68 +1.73% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.70

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARIS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Aris Mining Corporation (NYSE: ARIS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $14.68 (+1.73% 1D, market cap $2.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARIS ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARIS compare to BELFA and AAUC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), ARIS carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BELFA (Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $2.73B) and AAUC (Allied Gold Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFA leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARIS?
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For Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #261 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.70 (+0.12%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$24 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE ARIS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARIS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARIS SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.1% FCF Margin ($83.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$16.92+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$17.05-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$16.23-9.6% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$14.68-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARIS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARIS currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.02) and Max Pain ($15.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARIS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARIS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.5% Swing Band

±$1.39 Expected Swing
$13.29 (-9.5%)Spot $14.68$16.07 (+9.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ARIS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARIS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARIS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ARIS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $15.88H $15.88L $14.43C $14.68VOL 2.54M
RES: $21.86SUP: $14.17SMA50: $18.02SMA200: $17.91
$22.05$19.65$17.26$14.86$12.47RES $21.86SUP $14.17$14.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARIS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARIS Butterfly Map → + Track ARIS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARIS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARIS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARIS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARIS)

Industrials Rank #261 of 485 ⚔️ BELFA vs ARIS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ARIS vs. BELFA, AAUC, BELFB, GEF)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) ranks #261 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #183 by equity capitalization ($2.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ARIS at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARIS ACTIVE
Aris Mining Corporation
D 46/100 — — — +1.73% $2.98B Benchmark Subject
BELFA
Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 36.5x 39.1% 15.5% +0.34% $2.73B /belfa-vs-aris →
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
D 45/100 — — — +2.87% $2.62B /aauc-vs-aris →
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc.
C- 61/100 45.9x 39.1% 15.5% -0.47% $3.41B /belfb-vs-aris →
GEF
Greif Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 4.5x 22.2% 3.9% +1.01% $3.79B /gef-vs-aris →

2. ARIS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $2.98B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ARIS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aris Mining Corporation (NYSE: ARIS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $14.68 (+1.73% 1D, market cap $2.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARIS ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARIS compare to BELFA and AAUC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), ARIS carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BELFA (Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $2.73B) and AAUC (Allied Gold Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFA leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARIS?

For Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #261 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARIS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARIS last traded at $14.68 (+1.73% on volume of 1,115,428 shares), positioning the stock -18.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.02) and -18.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.91). Across its 52-week range of $9.55 to $23.29, ARIS sits at the 37.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($13.29 to $16.07).

Direct Sub-Reports: ARIS RQD Cockpit ARIS 12M Forecast ARIS Earnings & Move ARIS Dividends & DRIP ARIS Insiders & 13F ARIS Whale Options ARIS Profit Sankey ARIS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARIS — Aris Mining Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:56Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ARIS scores 46 out of 100 with a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

The weakest pillars are Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction, which together signal limited institutional and insider endorsement of the stock. The cash-engine pillar is also weak, since the source reports 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, meaning the rating does not credit the business with current cash-based valuation support. The forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9, indicating a comparatively sound balance sheet relative to the rest of the profile.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on balance sheet resilience and a beta of 1.0 that places the stock in line with the market. The valuation tradeoff is that the rating's cash and ownership pillars do not currently support the price, and the 52-week range ($9.55 - $23.29) shows substantial dispersion. Any thesis would need to rely on catalysts not yet visible in the cash-flow or ownership data.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Diversified Equities industry. The profile describes the company as operating within Diversified Equities with a market capitalization of $3.3B.

Per the market data, gross margin, operating margin, and net margin are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is 0%. The Roarable RQD rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Because no financial statement data was provided, the source cannot be used to assess profitability trends, cash generation, or balance sheet changes over time.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9, the strongest component of the RQD rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $9.55 – $23.29 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The RQD rating scores 46/100 with 0% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, and weak insider and institutional pillars (9/20 and 5/20). Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. An investor should note that the sector classification (Industrials / Diversified Equities) is provided but not linked to any specific supplier, customer, or peer relationships in the source.

  • Key Question #1: What is the basis for the RED-flagged Soto Norte project risk item, and what specific risks does it describe?
  • Key Question #2: What are the Q3 2026 earnings results and the production figures reported in the consolidated production release?
  • Key Question #3: What are the analyst consensus rating and price targets, and how do they compare with the current price of 15.88?

ARIS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARIS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARIS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARIS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARIS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.18 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9, the strongest component of the RQD rating.

Long ARIS at $14.43 targeting $18.18. Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9, the strongest component of the RQD rating.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $9.55 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Equities. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.27 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $14.43

The RQD rating scores 46/100 with 0% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, and weak insider and institutional pillars (9/20 and 5/20).

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ARIS above $14.43. The RQD rating scores 46/100 with 0% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, and weak insider and institutional pillars (9/20 and 5/20).. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $23.29.

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