Yahoo Finance report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ASLE Stock surged +2.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
AerSale Corporation (ASLE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ASLE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ: ASLE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $4.83 (+2.99% 1D, market cap $223.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASLE ranks #909 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ASLE compare to HDSN and VIRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), ASLE carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of 31.5%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, HDSN (Hudson Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $186.0M) and VIRC (Virco Manufacturing Corporation) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $98.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HDSN leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while HDSN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASLE?
▼
Per ASLE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001754170), AerSale Corporation generated $335.3M in revenue (-2.8% YoY), $8.6M in net income, and -$29.1M in free cash flow against $640.5M in total assets and $111.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 1.92 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASLE Turnaround Squeeze
While ASLE currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.18) and Max Pain ($5.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.33.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ASLE Stock surged +2.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
AerSale Corporation (ASLE) surged +2.99% to $4.83, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($4.54 – $7.93). Stretched risk/reward at 26x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($4.54 – $7.93) with RSI-14 at 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $4.83 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 31.5% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AerSale just made headlines as a beneficiary of younger aircraft being scrapped for parts, even as its latest quarterly report showed revenue and profitability moving in the wrong direction. Holding AerSale over the past
B. Riley Securities analyst Jeff Van Sinderen maintains AerSale (NASDAQ:ASLE) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $7.5 to $6.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASLE)
- ✓Walkthrough of ASLE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ASLE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASLE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASLE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASLE)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASLE vs. HDSN, VIRC, ADSE, WBX)
Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AerSale Corporation (ASLE) ranks #909 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #680 by equity capitalization ($223.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HDSN leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while HDSN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.2% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. WBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with ASLE at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASLE
ACTIVE
AerSale Corporation | E | 28/100 | 26.1x | 31.5% | 2.3% | +2.99% | $223.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| HDSN Hudson Technologies Inc. | E | 31/100 | 11.2x | 25.2% | 7.2% | -2.49% | $186.0M | /hdsn-vs-asle → |
| VIRC Virco Manufacturing Corporation | D- | 43/100 | 38.2x | 40.7% | 3.0% | -0.48% | $98.2M | /virc-vs-asle → |
| ADSE ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | +0.92% | $731.8M | /adse-vs-asle → |
| WBX Wallbox N.V. (Class A) | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -1.79% | $66.9M | /wbx-vs-asle → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001754170In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AerSale Corporation (ASLE) reported GAAP revenue of $335.3M (-2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $345.1M , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.6M, operating cash flow of -$23.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.1M (-912.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASLE closed FY2025 with $640.5M in total assets against $111.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.92, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $335.3M | $8.6M | -$23.0M | -$29.1M | $640.5M | $111.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $345.1M | $5.9M | $11.2M | -$2.9M | $604.7M | $40.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $334.5M | -$5.6M | -$174.2M | -$174.2M | — | — |
3. ASLE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ASLE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ: ASLE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $4.83 (+2.99% 1D, market cap $223.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASLE ranks #909 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ASLE compare to HDSN and VIRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), ASLE carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of 31.5%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, HDSN (Hudson Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $186.0M) and VIRC (Virco Manufacturing Corporation) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $98.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HDSN leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while HDSN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASLE?
Per ASLE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001754170), AerSale Corporation generated $335.3M in revenue (-2.8% YoY), $8.6M in net income, and -$29.1M in free cash flow against $640.5M in total assets and $111.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ASLE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ASLE last traded at $4.83 (+2.99% on volume of 467,363 shares), positioning the stock -6.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.18) and -22.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.24). Across its 52-week range of $4.54 to $7.93, ASLE sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($4.48 to $5.18).
ASLE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ASLE stock moving today?
Why ASLE Stock surged +2.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 26x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ASLE — AerSale Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ASLE scores 28 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 3 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 2.3% and FCF yield of -12.98%. Low returns on invested capital combined with negative free-cash-flow yield mean the business is not currently generating cash relative to its market value. For a prospective investor, the upside case here depends on a return to cash generation that the rating does not show as established.
- Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning scored low. Investors evaluating the stock should note the absence of strong institutional sponsorship signals in the rating.
- Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scored low, indicating limited insider-conviction signals.
- Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity were scored low. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, so it offers no defensive character from the rating's perspective, and its sector sensitivity was judged unfavorable.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, citing Altman Z of 1.92, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.26. These support a balance sheet that is not in acute distress, though the Altman and Piotroski readings are moderate rather than strong.
Taken together, the rating points to weak cash economics and weak market-signal support, partially offset by a balance sheet that the rating considers serviceable. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: P/E (TTM) of 26.1 and EV/EBITDA of 15.8 are elevated relative to the cash-yield picture, so a prospective investor is paying a premium for earnings that the free-cash-flow data does not yet confirm.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $335.3M | $15.8M | $8.6M | N/A | $-29.1M | $4.4M | $111.3M |
| FY 2024 | $345.1M | $9.7M | $5.9M | N/A | $-2.9M | $4.7M | $40.4M |
| FY 2023 | $334.5M | $-10.8M | $-5.6M | N/A | $-174.2M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, operating income moved from $-10.8M in FY 2023 to $9.7M in FY 2024 and $15.8M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $-5.6M to $5.9M to $8.6M over the same span. Free cash flow remained negative in all three periods, at $-174.2M, $-2.9M, and $-29.1M. Debt rose from $40.4M in FY 2024 to $111.3M in FY 2025, while cash was $4.4M at FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 2.3%, Altman Z is 1.92, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.26.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items dated within roughly the prior 15 hours, all tagged to ASLE with YELLOW light status and MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines include: an announcement of the date for the Third Quarter 2026 earnings release conference call; a TradingView estimates report; a MarketBeat report on an average price target of $6.83; a MarketScreener report that B. Riley adjusted its price target to $6 from $7.50 while keeping a Neutral rating; a Stock Traders Daily liquidity-focused piece; and a MarketBeat report on a consensus target price of $6.33. The earnings-call date announcement is the most concrete scheduled catalyst referenced. The price-target revisions shown in headlines are a risk-watch item, as they indicate a downward adjustment by at least one covering firm. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded.
Open Questions
- What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the business description is not provided in source data?
- Why is free cash flow negative in all three reported periods despite positive operating and net income in FY 2024 and FY 2025?
- What drove the increase in debt from $40.4M to $111.3M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and how is it being serviced?
- What is the EPS figure for each reported period, since the financials show N/A throughout?
- What is the breakdown of analyst ratings and price targets beyond the headline-level references in the news wire?
ASLE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AerSale Corporation (ASLE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ASLE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.83?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASLE (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $4.69?
Welcome to the ASLE (AerSale Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ASLE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASLE, but look at what you are paying: 26.1x trailing P/E with 31.5% gross margins. Unless AerSale Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ASLE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASLE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.69 (52-wk range $4.54 - $7.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.