Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BFH Stock surged +3.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BFH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BFH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $107.16 (+3.63% 1D, market cap $3.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BFH ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BFH compare to DLO and PAY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), BFH carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, DLO (DLocal Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.82B) and PAY (Paymentus Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 60.7x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $4.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BFH leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while PAY leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BFH?
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Per BFH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001101215), Bread Financial Holdings Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (+87.0% YoY), $518.0M in net income, and $2.09B in free cash flow against $22.66B in total assets and $8.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BFH Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, BFH faces multiple-compression risk if 7.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($103.72) or 200D SMA ($92.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($106.68) toward Bear Floor ($83.21).
Why BFH Stock surged +3.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) surged +3.63% to $107.16, trading at 87% of its 52-week range ($59.26 – $114.53). Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 87% of its 52-week range ($59.26 – $114.53) with RSI-14 at 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $107.16 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $2.1B annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Partner renewals are shifting toward profit-sharing models, aligning incentives with portfolio performance.
Bread Financial entered this Q3 2026 earnings report out of favor, with the stock down over the past quarter even as its trailing P/E of 7.6x sat well below peers. Then the release hit and the shares rose about 2% to US$
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BFH)
- ✓Walkthrough of BFH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
BFH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +87.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BFH today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BFH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BFH)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BFH vs. DLO, PAY, MMS, FOUR)
Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) ranks #392 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #314 by equity capitalization ($3.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BFH leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while PAY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. PAY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with BFH at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFH
ACTIVE
Bread Financial Holdings Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 7.7x | — | 6.4% | +3.63% | $3.93B | Benchmark Subject |
| DLO DLocal Limited (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | +2.16% | $3.82B | /dlo-vs-bfh → |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings Inc. (Class A) | B | 74/100 | 60.7x | 24.8% | 24.9% | +6.80% | $4.13B | /pay-vs-bfh → |
| MMS Maximus Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 10.3x | 24.6% | 13.5% | +4.44% | $3.34B | /mms-vs-bfh → |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments Inc. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | 21.1x | — | 5.5% | +5.10% | $3.16B | /four-vs-bfh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001101215 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.71B (+87.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $915.2M , and -27.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $518.0M, operating cash flow of $2.09B, and free cash flow of $2.09B (+12.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BFH closed FY2025 with $22.66B in total assets against $8.70B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.48, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.71B | $518.0M | $2.09B | $2.09B | $22.66B | $8.70B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $915.2M | $277.0M | $1.86B | $1.86B | $22.89B | $8.93B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.37B | $718.0M | $1.99B | $1.99B | $2.21B | $516.2M |
3. BFH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BFH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BFH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $107.16 (+3.63% 1D, market cap $3.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BFH ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BFH compare to DLO and PAY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), BFH carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, DLO (DLocal Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.82B) and PAY (Paymentus Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 60.7x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $4.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BFH leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while PAY leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BFH?
Per BFH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001101215), Bread Financial Holdings Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (+87.0% YoY), $518.0M in net income, and $2.09B in free cash flow against $22.66B in total assets and $8.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BFH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BFH last traded at $107.16 (+3.63% on volume of 586,340 shares), positioning the stock +3.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($103.72) and +16.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($92.25). Across its 52-week range of $59.26 to $114.53, BFH sits at the 86.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($100.41 to $113.91).
BFH — Bread Financial Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $107.16 (+3.63% 1D, market capitalization $3.93B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 56.3%, and free cash flow yield of 22.00%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.12x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.48, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.44x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Bread Financial Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry. It carries a market capitalization of $4.0B. —: product lines, customer segments, and revenue model details.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) reported $1.71B in annual revenue (up from $915.2M in FY2024, +87.0% YoY) and $518.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.37B revenue, $718.0M net income) through FY2025, BFH scaled operating cash flow to $2.09B and free cash flow to $2.09B, backed by $22.66B in total assets against $8.70B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 22.00% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $59.26 – $114.53 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 7.7x trailing P/E and 12.6x EV/EBITDA against 56.3% operating margins and a 1.12x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck identifications for BFH.
- Key Question #1: Can BFH sustain or expand its 56.3% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.71B and free cash flow of $2.09B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $8.70B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is BFH's 6.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.12x)?
BFH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BFH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $107.16?
Insider Conviction scores 17 of 20 and Piotroski F is 8 of 9, indicating strong insider activity and improving financial quality.
Picked up a starter position in BFH in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $103.41. Insider Conviction scores 17 of 20 and Piotroski F is 8 of 9, indicating strong insider activity and improving financial quality.. Trading inside a $59.26–$114.53 52-week range with 22.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Business Services multiples expand this quarter.
@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 57/100 quality, though with 1.12 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $103.41 and keeping dry powder in case we test $96.17.
Altman Z of 0.48 and Debt/Equity of 2.44 combined with a ROIC of 6.4% signal weak balance-sheet and return fundamentals.
Fading this rally in BFH at $103.41. Altman Z of 0.48 and Debt/Equity of 2.44 combined with a ROIC of 6.4% signal weak balance-sheet and return fundamentals.. With a beta of 1.12 and the stock sitting at $103.41 (52-wk range $59.26–$114.53), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.