China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.30 -0.46% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29

China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $129.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CAAS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $4.30 (-0.46% 1D, market cap $129.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAAS ranks #568 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAAS compare to CVGI and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CAAS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $128.4M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $162.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAAS?
β–Ό

Per CAAS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002037400), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share generated $765.7M in revenue (+17.6% YoY), $42.8M in net income, and $74.4M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.29 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$6 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CAAS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAAS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CAAS SCORES 49/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($74.4M FCF) & 19% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.32 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$4.42+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$4.50-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$4.41-2.5% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$4.30-5.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ D (49)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAAS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CAAS currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.84) and Max Pain ($4.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.92.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAASβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCAAS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
36.130 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.32>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE18% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.30H: $6
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (19% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CAAS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

16.3% ROIC with 19.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.32 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (38)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CAAS
  • βœ“Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAAS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CAAS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CAAS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.59%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.32H $4.32L $4.30C $4.30VOL 17.1K
RES: $5.99SUP: $4.27SMA50: $4.84SMA200: $4.54
$5.74$5.33$4.93$4.52$4.11RES $5.99SUP $4.27$4.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAAS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAAS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAAS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAAS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAAS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #568 of 1011 βš”οΈ CVGI vs CAAS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CAAS vs. CVGI, SRI, MPAA, STRT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) ranks #568 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #734 by equity capitalization ($129.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while MPAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. MPAA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CAAS at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CAAS ACTIVE
China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share
D 49/100 β€” 19.0% 16.3% -0.46% $129.7M Benchmark Subject
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 10.5% -0.2% -2.17% $128.4M /cvgi-vs-caas β†’
SRI
Stoneridge Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” 19.9% -24.1% -6.88% $162.0M /sri-vs-caas β†’
MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America Inc.
D+ 56/100 16.3x 20.2% 21.6% +0.10% $195.2M /mpaa-vs-caas β†’
STRT
STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION
D+ 54/100 12.5x 16.5% 15.2% -2.56% $250.0M /strt-vs-caas β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002037400

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) reported GAAP revenue of $765.7M (+17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $650.9M , and +32.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.8M, operating cash flow of $111.6M, and free cash flow of $74.4M (+319.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAAS closed FY2025 with $1.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.32, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $765.7M $42.8M $111.6M $74.4M $1.00B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $650.9M $30.0M $9.8M -$33.9M $850.6M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $576.4M $37.7M $19.9M $19.9M β€” β€”

3. CAAS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CAAS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $4.30 (-0.46% 1D, market cap $129.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAAS ranks #568 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAAS compare to CVGI and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CAAS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $128.4M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $162.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAAS?

Per CAAS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002037400), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share generated $765.7M in revenue (+17.6% YoY), $42.8M in net income, and $74.4M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAAS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAAS last traded at $4.30 (-0.46% on volume of 17,087 shares), positioning the stock -11.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.84) and -5.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.54). Across its 52-week range of $4.00 to $5.64, CAAS sits at the 18.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.0% ($4.04 to $4.56).

CAAS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CAAS stock right now?

China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell β€” SELL) with 49/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CAAS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CAAS's 12-month base price target is $4.13 (range $3.22 to $5.92), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 49/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CAAS β€” China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CAAS scores 49 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The score is built from five pillars, each out of 20:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Return on invested capital is 16.3%, which supports the score. However, the free cash flow yield is 0%, which limits it. For a prospective investor, this means the business earns decent returns on capital but is not currently translating that into a meaningful cash yield at the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow (4/20): The lowest-scoring pillar, reflecting weak institutional accumulation and options positioning. For an investor, this signals limited evidence of large professional money building positions, which reduces the confirmation a buyer might otherwise seek.
  • Insider Conviction (11/20): Moderate score based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is neither a strong insider buying signal nor a strong selling signal in the data provided.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20): Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity weigh on this pillar. An investor should understand that the stock's movements are expected to track broad market moves, with no defensive offset indicated in the data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Altman Z-Score of 1.32, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 combine to a mid-range result. The Piotroski reading is relatively strong, while the Altman Z-Score sits in a range that warrants caution about financial distress risk.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock where operating profitability and balance-sheet quality are partially supportive, but institutional support, cash yield, and macro fit are weak. The valuation tradeoff is that the price of $4.32 sits within a 52-week range of $4 to $5.64, placing it near the lower end of that band, while the missing P/E and EV/EBITDA data prevent a direct valuation check.

Business

China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Auto Parts: O.E.M. industry. the market capitalization is $0.1B. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $765.7M for FY 2025. Details on specific products, customers, and revenue mix are β€”

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are β€”

Open Questions

  • What are the company's EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, given that these are absent from the source data and prevent a direct valuation assessment?
  • What is the debt balance behind the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, since the debt line is N/A in every reported period?
  • What drove the swing in free cash flow from $-33.9M in FY 2024 to $74.4M in FY 2025, and how much of that is repeatable?
  • Who are the company's key customers and suppliers, and what is its product mix within Auto Parts: O.E.M.?
  • What explains the low institutional accumulation reflected in the Whale 13F Flow pillar, and is there any holder or analyst data to contextualize it?

CAAS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CAAS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAAS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $4.30?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAAS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CAAS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.67 (+8.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CAAS (D β€’ RQD 49/100) a Buy at $4.32?

Welcome to the CAAS (China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.24 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $4.32

Pump the brakes on CAAS β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CAAS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 19.0% gross margins. Unless China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.31 (+22.9%)
Spot @ $4.32

CAAS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CAAS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.32 (52-wk range $4.00 - $5.64), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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