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China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.26 -0.93% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.24

China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $129.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CAAS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $4.26 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $129.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAAS ranks #566 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAAS compare to CVGI and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CAAS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $128.4M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $162.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAAS?
β–Ό

Per CAAS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002037400), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share generated $765.7M in revenue (+17.6% YoY), $42.8M in net income, and $74.4M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.24 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510049
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$6 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CAAS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAAS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CAAS SCORES 49/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($74.4M FCF) & 19% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.32 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$4.42+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$4.50-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$4.41-3.4% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$4.26-5.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ D (49)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAAS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CAAS currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.84) and Max Pain ($4.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.92.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAASβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCAAS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.48% Total Yield
1.68% Cash ($0.07/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
39% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $34,551

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,202/yr
$11.3K
Yr 1
$12.8K
Yr 2
$14.5K
Yr 3
$16.4K
Yr 4
$18.6K
Yr 5
$21.0K
Yr 6
$23.8K
Yr 7
$27.0K
Yr 8
$30.5K
Yr 9
$34.6K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAAS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CAAS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CAAS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.48%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.32H $4.32L $4.26C $4.26VOL 17.1K
RES: $5.99SUP: $4.27SMA50: $4.84SMA200: $4.54
$5.74$5.33$4.93$4.52$4.11RES $5.99SUP $4.27$4.262026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAAS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAAS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAAS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAAS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAAS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #566 of 1009 βš”οΈ CVGI vs CAAS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CAAS vs. CVGI, SRI, MPAA, STRT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) ranks #566 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #732 by equity capitalization ($129.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while MPAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. MPAA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CAAS at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CAAS ACTIVE
China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share
D 49/100 β€” 19.0% 16.3% -0.93% $129.7M Benchmark Subject
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 10.5% -0.2% +0.32% $128.4M /cvgi-vs-caas β†’
SRI
Stoneridge Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” 19.9% -24.1% +1.59% $162.0M /sri-vs-caas β†’
MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America Inc.
D+ 56/100 16.3x 20.2% 21.6% +0.87% $195.2M /mpaa-vs-caas β†’
STRT
STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION
D+ 54/100 12.5x 16.5% 15.2% +1.31% $250.0M /strt-vs-caas β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002037400 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) reported GAAP revenue of $765.7M (+17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $650.9M , and +32.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.8M, operating cash flow of $111.6M, and free cash flow of $74.4M (+319.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAAS closed FY2025 with $1.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.32, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $765.7M $42.8M $111.6M $74.4M $1.00B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $650.9M $30.0M $9.8M -$33.9M $850.6M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $576.4M $37.7M $19.9M $19.9M β€” β€”

3. CAAS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CAAS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $4.26 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $129.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAAS ranks #566 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAAS compare to CVGI and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CAAS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $128.4M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $162.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAAS?

Per CAAS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002037400), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share generated $765.7M in revenue (+17.6% YoY), $42.8M in net income, and $74.4M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAAS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAAS last traded at $4.26 (-0.93% on volume of 20,093 shares), positioning the stock -11.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.84) and -6.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.54). Across its 52-week range of $4.00 to $5.64, CAAS sits at the 15.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.0% ($4.00 to $4.52).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 49/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CAAS β€” China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.26 (-0.93% 1D, market capitalization $129.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.3%, gross margin of 19.0%, operating margin of 7.0%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.32, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry. The market capitalization is $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) reported $765.7M in annual revenue (up from $650.9M in FY2024, +17.6% YoY) and $42.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($576.4M revenue, $37.7M net income) through FY2025, CAAS scaled operating cash flow to $111.6M and free cash flow to $74.4M, backed by $1.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 49/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.00 – $5.64 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against 7.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Auto Parts:O.E.M. (Consumer Discretionary), CAAS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 19.0%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CAAS sustain or expand its 7.0% operating margin and 16.3% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $765.7M and free cash flow of $74.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CAAS's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CAAS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CAAS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAAS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $4.26?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAAS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CAAS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.59 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Return on invested capital of 16.3% and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 show the business earning solid returns and carrying a relatively he

Here is why I am bullish on CAAS here at $4.30: Return on invested capital of 16.3% and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 show the business earning solid returns and carrying a relatively healthy fundamental profile.. Compare CAAS's 7.0% operating margin and 16.3% ROIC against the rest of Auto Parts:O.E.M.. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $4.08 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 49/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.30 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.00.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.57 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $4.30

A 0% FCF yield, a 4/20 whale flow score, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.32 show weak cash return, minimal institutional support, and financ

A 0% FCF yield, a 4/20 whale flow score, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.32 show weak cash return, minimal institutional support, and financial-distress caution.. Look at the math on CAAS: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 16.3% ROIC and 7.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Auto Parts:O.E.M. demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $3.78 before getting long.

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