Yahoo Finance report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CGON Stock dropped -4.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is CGON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, CG Oncology Inc. (NASDAQ: CGON) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $61.96 (-4.20% 1D, market cap $5.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, CGON ranks #418 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does CGON compare to SRRK and IMVT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CGON carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -20.8%. By comparison, SRRK (Scholar Rock Holding Corporation) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.23B) and IMVT (Immunovant Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CGON leads on capital efficiency (-20.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGON?
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Per CGON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001991792), CG Oncology Inc. generated $534.2M in revenue (+66.4% YoY), -$161.0M in net income, and -$132.5M in free cash flow against $791.6M in total assets and $3.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.5) create a -15 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CGON Turnaround Squeeze
While CGON currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($68.20) and Max Pain ($65.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $85.02.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why CGON Stock dropped -4.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) dropped -4.20% to $61.96, trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($35.8 – $80.97). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-21% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($35.8 – $80.97) with RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.8% around $61.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine India report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
DALLAS, Oct. 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CG Oncology, Inc. (NASDAQ: CGON) today announced the appointment of Isabel Kalofonos as Chief Commercial Officer. A highly accomplished biopharmaceutical executive with more than
Genmab has gone from specialist biotech to front-page story after three cancer drugs cleared key Phase 3 hurdles and the stock price doubled in just three months. That kind of sudden spotlight often leaves some investors
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CGON)
- ✓Walkthrough of CGON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CGON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +66.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGON today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CGON)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CGON vs. SRRK, IMVT, KOD, CRSP)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) ranks #418 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #149 by equity capitalization ($5.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CGON leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CGON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -20.8% ROIC and — gross margin. KOD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with CGON at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGON
ACTIVE
CG Oncology Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | — | -20.8% | -4.20% | $5.49B | Benchmark Subject |
| SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corporation | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.25% | $5.23B | /srrk-vs-cgon → |
| IMVT Immunovant Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.60% | $5.87B | /imvt-vs-cgon → |
| KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.57% | $6.14B | /kod-vs-cgon → |
| CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -30.6% | -2.78% | $4.83B | /crsp-vs-cgon → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001991792 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) reported GAAP revenue of $534.2M (+66.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $321.1M , and +244.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$161.0M, operating cash flow of -$132.3M, and free cash flow of -$132.5M (-67.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CGON closed FY2025 with $791.6M in total assets against $3.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $534.2M | -$161.0M | -$132.3M | -$132.5M | $791.6M | $3.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $321.1M | -$88.0M | -$78.7M | -$78.9M | $754.8M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $155.3M | -$48.6M | -$45.7M | -$45.7M | $3.09B | $724.1M |
3. CGON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CGON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, CG Oncology Inc. (NASDAQ: CGON) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $61.96 (-4.20% 1D, market cap $5.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, CGON ranks #418 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CGON compare to SRRK and IMVT in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CGON carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -20.8%. By comparison, SRRK (Scholar Rock Holding Corporation) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.23B) and IMVT (Immunovant Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CGON leads on capital efficiency (-20.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGON?
Per CGON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001991792), CG Oncology Inc. generated $534.2M in revenue (+66.4% YoY), -$161.0M in net income, and -$132.5M in free cash flow against $791.6M in total assets and $3.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CGON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CGON last traded at $61.96 (-4.20% on volume of 1,279,560 shares), positioning the stock -9.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($68.20) and -6.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($66.07). Across its 52-week range of $35.80 to $80.97, CGON sits at the 57.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($57.13 to $66.79).
CGON — CG Oncology Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $61.96 (-4.20% 1D, market capitalization $5.49B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -20.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -12.1%, and free cash flow yield of -2.35%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (6/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.07x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
CG Oncology Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry,. Reported revenue is — in each of the three listed fiscal years, so the source does not show a revenue-generating operating base.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) reported $534.2M in annual revenue (up from $321.1M in FY2024, +66.4% YoY) and -$161.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($155.3M revenue, -$48.6M net income) through FY2025, CGON scaled operating cash flow to -$132.3M and free cash flow to -$132.5M, backed by $791.6M in total assets against $3.0M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.35% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.80 – $80.97 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -12.1% operating margins and a 1.07x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (Health Care), CGON carries a macro regime beta of 1.07 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can CGON sustain or expand its -12.1% operating margin and -20.8% ROIC against Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $534.2M and free cash flow of -$132.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.0M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is CGON's 20.0x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.07x)?
CGON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine India report covering CG Oncology Inc. (CGON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CGON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $61.96?
The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 14/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 26, the strongest pillar in the rating.
The street is overcomplicating CG Oncology Inc. (CGON). The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 14/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 26, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 42/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $69.85.
Both sides have a point here — CGON's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
ROIC of -20.8% and FCF of -$132.5M in FY 2025 show the cash engine is consuming capital, with cash down from $257.1M to $32.5M.
I respect the product at CG Oncology Inc., but the stock at $64.68 is a different story. ROIC of -20.8% and FCF of -$132.5M in FY 2025 show the cash engine is consuming capital, with cash down from $257.1M to $32.5M.. FCF yield is -2.35% and RQD sits at 42/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?