ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Financials / CHCI / forecast
AOMR (37) CMTG (21) DOUG (35) MLP (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$17.96 -3.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.80

Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $184.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHCI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CHCI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $17.96 (-3.85% 1D, market cap $184.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CHCI ranks #494 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHCI compare to AOMR and CMTG in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CHCI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $163.0M) and CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $162.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCI?
▼

Per CHCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001299969), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) generated $62.9M in revenue (+22.6% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $4.8M in free cash flow against $85.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.80 (-0.88%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$23 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE CHCI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHCI SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 66% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$18.44-7.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$17.10+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$17.80+0.9% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$17.96-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHCI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CHCI faces multiple-compression risk if 11.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.08) or 200D SMA ($16.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.88) toward Bear Floor ($13.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CHCI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $17.96: 556.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $13.95
$7,767
$-2,233 (-22.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $17.88
$9,955
$-45 (-0.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.17
$12,901
+$2,901 (+29.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CHCI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CHCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CHCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $18.68H $18.68L $17.96C $17.96VOL 17.7K
RES: $25.02SUP: $17.20SMA50: $19.08SMA200: $16.04
$22.69$20.13$17.57$15.01$12.45RES $25.02SUP $17.20$17.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHCI Butterfly Map → + Track CHCI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
1.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHCI)

Financials Rank #494 of 1097 ⚔️ AOMR vs CHCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CHCI vs. AOMR, CMTG, DOUG, MLP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) ranks #494 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #896 by equity capitalization ($184.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOMR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHCI ACTIVE
Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 11.3x — 24.4% -3.85% $184.7M Benchmark Subject
AOMR
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.
D- 37/100 3.8x — 16.5% -3.57% $163.0M /aomr-vs-chci →
CMTG
Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.
E 21/100 — — -31.9% -2.54% $162.2M /cmtg-vs-chci →
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
D- 35/100 9.6x — 52.5% -3.12% $140.9M /doug-vs-chci →
MLP
Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -12.9% +0.07% $286.0M /mlp-vs-chci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001299969 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) reported GAAP revenue of $62.9M (+22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $51.3M , and +40.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.1M, operating cash flow of $4.8M, and free cash flow of $4.8M (-55.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHCI closed FY2025 with $85.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $62.9M $17.1M $4.8M $4.8M $85.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $51.3M $14.6M $10.7M $10.7M $64.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $44.7M $7.8M $9.0M $9.0M — —

3. CHCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CHCI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $17.96 (-3.85% 1D, market cap $184.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CHCI ranks #494 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHCI compare to AOMR and CMTG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CHCI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $163.0M) and CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $162.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCI?

Per CHCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001299969), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) generated $62.9M in revenue (+22.6% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $4.8M in free cash flow against $85.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHCI last traded at $17.96 (-3.85% on volume of 17,675 shares), positioning the stock -5.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.08) and +11.97% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.04). Across its 52-week range of $10.14 to $22.07, CHCI sits at the 65.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($16.40 to $19.52).

Direct Sub-Reports: CHCI RQD Cockpit CHCI 12M Forecast CHCI Earnings & Move CHCI Dividends & DRIP CHCI Insiders & 13F CHCI Whale Options CHCI Profit Sankey CHCI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CHCI — Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.96 (-3.85% 1D, market capitalization $184.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 24.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 19.0%, and free cash flow yield of 2.50%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate industry, . The profile identifies it as a publicly traded US company with a market capitalization of $0.2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) reported $62.9M in annual revenue (up from $51.3M in FY2024, +22.6% YoY) and $17.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($44.7M revenue, $7.8M net income) through FY2025, CHCI scaled operating cash flow to $4.8M and free cash flow to $4.8M, backed by $85.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 2.50% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.14 – $22.07 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 11.3x trailing P/E and 13.5x EV/EBITDA against 19.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate (Financials), CHCI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CHCI sustain or expand its 19.0% operating margin and 24.4% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $62.9M and free cash flow of $4.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CHCI's 9.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CHCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHCI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.96?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHCI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHCI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.09 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC of 24.4% and a 16 / 20 Insider Conviction score show strong capital efficiency and favorable insider

The street is overcomplicating Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI). Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC of 24.4% and a 16 / 20 Insider Conviction score show strong capital efficiency and favorable insider signaling at a forward P/E of 9.5.. With an RQD score of 57/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $19.40.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $17.96 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.37 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $17.96

Per the SEC financials, free cash flow fell from $10.7M in FY 2024 to $4.8M in FY 2025 while the FCF yield stands at only 2.5%.

I respect the product at Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $17.96 is a different story. Per the SEC financials, free cash flow fell from $10.7M in FY 2024 to $4.8M in FY 2025 while the FCF yield stands at only 2.5%.. FCF yield is 2.5% and RQD sits at 57/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%