Why CHCI Stock dropped -3.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$17.96 -3.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.80

Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $192.1M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CHCI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $17.96 (-3.85% 1D, market cap $192.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CHCI ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHCI compare to AOMR and CMTG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CHCI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $169.0M) and CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $166.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCI?
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Per CHCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001299969), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) generated $62.9M in revenue (+22.6% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $4.8M in free cash flow against $85.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.80 (-0.88%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$23 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE CHCI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHCI SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 66% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$18.71-10.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$16.81+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$17.41+3.2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$17.96+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHCI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CHCI faces multiple-compression risk if 11.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.08) or 200D SMA ($16.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.36) toward Bear Floor ($14.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CHCI Stock dropped -3.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) dropped -3.85% to $17.96, trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($10.14 – $22.07). Solid steady margins (24% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($10.14 – $22.07) with RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $17.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $4.8M annual free cash flow.
Live CHCI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 18d ago
Comstock to Participate in the LD Micro 20th Annual Main Event

RESTON, Va., October 15, 2026--Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (Nasdaq: CHCI) ("Comstock" or the "Company"), a leading real estate company specializing in the development, acquisition, operation, and management of mixed

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHCI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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CHCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $18.40H $18.74L $17.95C $17.96VOL 17.7K
RES: $23.93SUP: $17.15SMA50: $19.08SMA200: $16.01
$22.69$20.13$17.57$15.01$12.45RES $23.93SUP $17.15$17.962026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHCI)

Financials Rank #356 of 1096 ⚔️ AOMR vs CHCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CHCI vs. AOMR, CMTG, DOUG, MLP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) ranks #356 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #890 by equity capitalization ($192.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOMR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHCI ACTIVE
Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 11.3x — 24.4% -3.85% $192.1M Benchmark Subject
AOMR
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.
D 46/100 3.8x — 16.5% -3.57% $169.0M /aomr-vs-chci →
CMTG
Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.
E 34/100 — — -31.9% -2.54% $166.5M /cmtg-vs-chci →
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
D 48/100 9.6x — 52.5% -3.12% $145.4M /doug-vs-chci →
MLP
Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -12.9% +0.07% $285.8M /mlp-vs-chci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001299969

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) reported GAAP revenue of $62.9M (+22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $51.3M , and +40.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.1M, operating cash flow of $4.8M, and free cash flow of $4.8M (-55.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHCI closed FY2025 with $85.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $62.9M $17.1M $4.8M $4.8M $85.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $51.3M $14.6M $10.7M $10.7M $64.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $44.7M $7.8M $9.0M $9.0M — —

3. CHCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CHCI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $17.96 (-3.85% 1D, market cap $192.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CHCI ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHCI compare to AOMR and CMTG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CHCI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $169.0M) and CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $166.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCI?

Per CHCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001299969), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) generated $62.9M in revenue (+22.6% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $4.8M in free cash flow against $85.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHCI last traded at $17.96 (-3.85% on volume of 17,675 shares), positioning the stock -5.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.08) and +12.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.01). Across its 52-week range of $10.14 to $22.07, CHCI sits at the 65.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($16.34 to $19.58).

CHCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CHCI stock moving today?

Why CHCI Stock dropped -3.85% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (24% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CHCI — Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:41:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CHCI scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Scored on ROIC of 24.4% and an FCF yield of 2.5%. The returns on capital are strong, but the yield on free cash flow relative to market value is modest, which limits this pillar's contribution.
  • Whale 13F Flow (12 / 20): Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying holder and options detail is not available in source data, so this score cannot be traced to specific positions.
  • Insider Conviction (16 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the highest-scoring pillar, suggesting relatively favorable insider signaling, though the individual transactions are not itemized in source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15 / 20): Based on a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves rather than amplified or dampened exposure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Based on an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These point to a moderately sound but not exceptional balance sheet.

For a prospective investor, the investment case rests on high capital efficiency and insider signaling offset by a thin free cash flow yield and only middling balance-sheet strength. The valuation context is shown in the Snapshot: trailing P/E of 11.3 and forward P/E of 9.5 suggest the market is pricing earnings modestly, while EV/EBITDA of 13.5 is considerably higher, a tradeoff worth weighing when judging whether the earnings multiple or the enterprise multiple better reflects the business. The stock's position within its 52-week range of $10.14 to $22.07 at a price of $17.96 places it in the upper portion of that span.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$17.96$192.1M11.39.513.51.660%1.0$10.14 - $22.0724.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$62.9M$11.9M$17.1MN/A$4.8M$31.3MN/A
FY 2024$51.3M$10.3M$14.6MN/A$10.7M$28.8MN/A
FY 2023$44.7M$9.2M$7.8MN/A$9.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $44.7M in FY 2023 to $62.9M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $7.8M to $17.1M over the same period. Net income exceeded operating income in FY 2025, and the reported net margin of 27.1% sits above the operating margin of 19%. Free cash flow declined from $10.7M in FY 2024 to $4.8M in FY 2025. Per the Market Data section, ROIC is 24.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Gross margin is reported as 0%, which is not available for interpretation in source data.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition and direction of the institutional and options flows that underpin the Whale 13F Flow pillar score of 12 / 20?
  • What are the specific SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR transactions behind the Insider Conviction score of 16 / 20?
  • What are the company's debt levels and EPS figures, since the financial table reports these as N/A?
  • What drove the drop in free cash flow from $10.7M in FY 2024 to $4.8M in FY 2025 despite rising net income?
  • What is the business model and revenue composition behind the reported $62.9M in FY 2025 revenue?

CHCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHCI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHCI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHCI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $19.40 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CHCI (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $17.96?

Welcome to the CHCI (Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Real Estate. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.73 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $17.96

Pump the brakes on CHCI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CHCI, but look at what you are paying: 11.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.73 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $17.96

CHCI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CHCI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.96 (52-wk range $10.14 - $22.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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