Stock Ratings / Financials / CHCI / options

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Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$17.96 -3.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.80

Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $184.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHCI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CHCI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $17.96 (-3.85% 1D, market cap $184.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CHCI ranks #493 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHCI compare to AOMR and CMTG in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CHCI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $163.0M) and CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $162.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCI?

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Per CHCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001299969), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) generated $62.9M in revenue (+22.6% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $4.8M in free cash flow against $85.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.80 (-0.88%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 7.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CHCI SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 66% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$18.44-7.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$17.10+4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$17.80+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$17.96-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHCI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CHCI faces multiple-compression risk if 11.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.08) or 200D SMA ($16.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.88) toward Bear Floor ($13.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CHCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CHCI)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CHCI.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CHCI)

✓Walkthrough of CHCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CHCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $18.68H $18.68L $17.96C $17.96VOL 17.7K

RES: $25.02SUP: $17.20SMA50: $19.08SMA200: $16.04

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHCI Butterfly Map → + Track CHCI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

1.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHCI)

Financials Rank #493 of 1096 ⚔️ AOMR vs CHCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CHCI vs. AOMR, CMTG, DOUG, MLP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) ranks #493 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #895 by equity capitalization ($184.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOMR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CHCI ACTIVE Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	11.3x	—	24.4%	-3.85%	$184.7M	Benchmark Subject
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.	D-	37/100	3.8x	—	16.5%	-3.57%	$163.0M	/aomr-vs-chci →
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.	E	21/100	—	—	-31.9%	-2.54%	$162.2M	/cmtg-vs-chci →
DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc.	D-	35/100	9.6x	—	52.5%	-3.12%	$140.9M	/doug-vs-chci →
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-12.9%	+0.07%	$286.0M	/mlp-vs-chci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001299969

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) reported GAAP revenue of $62.9M (+22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $51.3M , and +40.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.1M, operating cash flow of $4.8M, and free cash flow of $4.8M (-55.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHCI closed FY2025 with $85.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$62.9M	$17.1M	$4.8M	$4.8M	$85.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$51.3M	$14.6M	$10.7M	$10.7M	$64.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$44.7M	$7.8M	$9.0M	$9.0M	—	—

3. CHCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CHCI compare to AOMR and CMTG in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCI?

Where is CHCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHCI last traded at $17.96 (-3.85% on volume of 17,675 shares), positioning the stock -5.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.08) and +11.97% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.04). Across its 52-week range of $10.14 to $22.07, CHCI sits at the 65.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($16.40 to $19.52).

CHCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CHCI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CHCI.

Direct Sub-Reports: CHCI RQD Cockpit CHCI 12M Forecast CHCI Earnings & Move CHCI Dividends & DRIP CHCI Insiders & 13F CHCI Whale Options CHCI Profit Sankey CHCI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CHCI — Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:41:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CHCI scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Scored on ROIC of 24.4% and an FCF yield of 2.5%. The returns on capital are strong, but the yield on free cash flow relative to market value is modest, which limits this pillar's contribution.
Whale 13F Flow (12 / 20): Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying holder and options detail is not available in source data, so this score cannot be traced to specific positions.
Insider Conviction (16 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the highest-scoring pillar, suggesting relatively favorable insider signaling, though the individual transactions are not itemized in source data.
Macro Regime Fit (15 / 20): Based on a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves rather than amplified or dampened exposure.
Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Based on an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These point to a moderately sound but not exceptional balance sheet.

For a prospective investor, the investment case rests on high capital efficiency and insider signaling offset by a thin free cash flow yield and only middling balance-sheet strength. The valuation context is shown in the Snapshot: trailing P/E of 11.3 and forward P/E of 9.5 suggest the market is pricing earnings modestly, while EV/EBITDA of 13.5 is considerably higher, a tradeoff worth weighing when judging whether the earnings multiple or the enterprise multiple better reflects the business. The stock's position within its 52-week range of $10.14 to $22.07 at a price of $17.96 places it in the upper portion of that span.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$17.96	$192.1M	11.3	9.5	13.5	1.66	0%	1.0	$10.14 - $22.07	24.4%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$62.9M	$11.9M	$17.1M	N/A	$4.8M	$31.3M	N/A
FY 2024	$51.3M	$10.3M	$14.6M	N/A	$10.7M	$28.8M	N/A
FY 2023	$44.7M	$9.2M	$7.8M	N/A	$9.0M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $44.7M in FY 2023 to $62.9M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $7.8M to $17.1M over the same period. Net income exceeded operating income in FY 2025, and the reported net margin of 27.1% sits above the operating margin of 19%. Free cash flow declined from $10.7M in FY 2024 to $4.8M in FY 2025. Per the Market Data section, ROIC is 24.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Gross margin is reported as 0%, which is not available for interpretation in source data.

Open Questions

What is the composition and direction of the institutional and options flows that underpin the Whale 13F Flow pillar score of 12 / 20?
What are the specific SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR transactions behind the Insider Conviction score of 16 / 20?
What are the company's debt levels and EPS figures, since the financial table reports these as N/A?
What drove the drop in free cash flow from $10.7M in FY 2024 to $4.8M in FY 2025 despite rising net income?
What is the business model and revenue composition behind the reported $62.9M in FY 2025 revenue?

CHCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHCI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 10h ago

Comstock Enters into Purchase Agreement for Charlotte Multifamily Property

RESTON, Va., November 02, 2026--Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (Nasdaq: CHCI) ("Comstock" or the "Company"), a leading real estate company specializing in the development, acquisition, operation, and management of mixe

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 4d ago

Comstock Refinances First Three Trophy-Class Office Towers at Reston Station

RESTON, Va., October 29, 2026--Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (Nasdaq: CHCI) ("Comstock" or the "Company"), a leading real estate company specializing in the development, acquisition, operation, and management of mixed

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 17d ago

Comstock Named to America's Greatest Mid-Market Companies List 2026

RESTON, Va., October 16, 2026--Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (Nasdaq: CHCI) ("Comstock"), a leading real estate company specializing in the development, acquisition, operation, and management of mixed-use, transit-ori

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 18d ago

Comstock to Participate in the LD Micro 20th Annual Main Event

RESTON, Va., October 15, 2026--Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (Nasdaq: CHCI) ("Comstock" or the "Company"), a leading real estate company specializing in the development, acquisition, operation, and management of mixed

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 19d ago

Jericho Energy Ventures Welcomes Julie Corelli to Board of Directors and Provides Corporate Update

TULSA, OK AND VANCOUVER, BC / ACCESS Newswire / October 14, 2026 / (TSXV:JEV)(OTCID:JROOF)(FRA:JLM) ("Jericho", "JEV" or the "Company") is pleased to announce the appointment of Julie Corelli to its Board of Directors, e

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 35d ago

Comstock Issues Statement Regarding Favorable Summary Judgment in Town of Herndon Litigation

RESTON, Va., September 28, 2026--Comstock Issues Statement Regarding Favorable Summary Judgment in Town of Herndon Litigation

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 62d ago

Comstock Welcomes New Entertainment Concept Backspin to Loudoun Station

RESTON, Va., September 01, 2026--Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (Nasdaq: CHCI) ("Comstock"), a leading real estate company specializing in the development, acquisition, operation, and management of mixed-use, transit-o

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 74d ago

Comstock Stock Up 28% as Q2 Earnings Surge Year Over Year

CHCI's Q2 earnings per share climbed year over year, aided by an equity investment gain and continued expansion of its managed portfolio.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHCI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $19.40 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CHCI (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $17.96?

Welcome to the CHCI (Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Real Estate. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.73 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $17.96

Pump the brakes on CHCI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CHCI, but look at what you are paying: 11.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.73 (+21.0%)

Spot @ $17.96

CHCI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CHCI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.96 (52-wk range $10.14 - $22.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.