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Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$36.11 +0.39% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.07

Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $373.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CVEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Civeo Corporation (Canada) (NYSE: CVEO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $36.11 (+0.39% 1D, market cap $373.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CVEO ranks #674 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CVEO compare to HCMA and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), CVEO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.7%, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, HCMA (HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $400.5M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $272.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CVEO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MSC leads on capital efficiency (2.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVEO?
β–Ό

Per CVEO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590584), Civeo Corporation (Canada) generated $638.8M in revenue (-6.3% YoY), -$20.1M in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $477.4M in total assets and $182.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.07 (-0.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (17)SEC (6)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$40 Bull$34 Base$26 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CVEO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVEO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CVEO SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (39% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±10.4% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 89% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$30.11-5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$28.45+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$30.22+19.5% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$36.11-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (36) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CVEO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CVEO currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($32.35) and Max Pain ($37.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $39.96.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVEOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCVEO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CVEO)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CVEO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CVEO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CVEO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CVEO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.34%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $35.97H $36.11L $35.97C $36.11VOL 572.3K
RES: $38.16SUP: $26.54SMA50: $32.35SMA200: $31.22
$38.99$35.14$31.29$27.44$23.58RES $38.16SUP $26.54$36.112026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVEO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVEO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVEO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVEO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVEO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #674 of 1009 βš”οΈ HCMA vs CVEO Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CVEO vs. HCMA, PUSA, MSC, BALY)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) ranks #674 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #622 by equity capitalization ($373.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CVEO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MSC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. HCMA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with CVEO at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CVEO ACTIVE
Civeo Corporation (Canada)
D 44/100 β€” 23.7% 0.9% +0.39% $373.3M Benchmark Subject
HCMA
HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 58/100 β€” β€” β€” 0.00% $400.5M /hcma-vs-cveo β†’
PUSA
Powerus Corporation
E 26/100 β€” β€” -22.8% -4.44% $272.7M /pusa-vs-cveo β†’
MSC
Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)
E 28/100 β€” β€” 2.3% +25.59% $207.6M /msc-vs-cveo β†’
BALY
Bally's Corporation
E 25/100 β€” β€” -4.7% 0.00% $682.3M /baly-vs-cveo β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001590584 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) reported GAAP revenue of $638.8M (-6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $682.1M , and -8.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$20.1M, operating cash flow of $22.3M, and free cash flow of $2.1M (-96.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVEO closed FY2025 with $477.4M in total assets against $182.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $638.8M -$20.1M $22.3M $2.1M $477.4M $182.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $682.1M -$17.1M $83.5M $57.4M $405.1M $43.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $700.8M $30.2M $96.6M $96.6M β€” β€”

3. CVEO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Civeo Corporation (Canada) (NYSE: CVEO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $36.11 (+0.39% 1D, market cap $373.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CVEO ranks #674 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVEO compare to HCMA and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), CVEO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.7%, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, HCMA (HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $400.5M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $272.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CVEO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MSC leads on capital efficiency (2.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVEO?

Per CVEO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590584), Civeo Corporation (Canada) generated $638.8M in revenue (-6.3% YoY), -$20.1M in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $477.4M in total assets and $182.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVEO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVEO last traded at $36.11 (+0.39% on volume of 572,332 shares), positioning the stock +11.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.35) and +15.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($31.22). Across its 52-week range of $20.97 to $38.06, CVEO sits at the 88.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.4% ($32.35 to $39.87).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 44/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CVEO β€” Civeo Corporation (Canada): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $36.11 (+0.39% 1D, market capitalization $373.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.9%, gross margin of 23.7%, operating margin of 0.6%, and free cash flow yield of 0.68%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.05x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Civeo Corporation (Canada) is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Hotels/Resorts industry. The profile describes the company as a NYSE-listed issuer with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) reported $638.8M in annual revenue (up from $682.1M in FY2024, -6.3% YoY) and -$20.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($700.8M revenue, $30.2M net income) through FY2025, CVEO scaled operating cash flow to $22.3M and free cash flow to $2.1M, backed by $477.4M in total assets against $182.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 44/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 0.68% and institutional whale pillar of 17/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.97 – $38.06 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 22.8x EV/EBITDA against 0.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records a supply chain status of NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain dependencies or sector correlations can be drawn from the source.

  • Key Question #1: Can CVEO sustain or expand its 0.6% operating margin and 0.9% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $638.8M and free cash flow of $2.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $182.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CVEO's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CVEO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CVEO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CVEO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $36.11?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CVEO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CVEO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $44.60 (+24.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The RQD whale 13F flow pillar scores 8/20, the highest of the five, indicating institutional accumulation signals.

Here is why I am bullish on CVEO here at $35.97: The RQD whale 13F flow pillar scores 8/20, the highest of the five, indicating institutional accumulation signals.. Compare CVEO's 0.6% operating margin and 0.9% ROIC against the rest of Hotels/Resorts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $34.17 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 17/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $35.97 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $28.78 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $35.97

An Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 1.05 combined with FY 2025 net loss of -$20.1M signal balance sheet stress.

Careful chasing CVEO at $35.97. An Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 1.05 combined with FY 2025 net loss of -$20.1M signal balance sheet stress.. Gross margin is 23.7%, but operating margin is 0.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $28.78 on multiple compression.

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