Should I buy, hold, or sell FLL stock right now?

Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 21/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is FLL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FLL's 12-month base price target is $0.62 (range $0.48 to $3.54), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FLL

CNTY (39) GHG (50) MSC (28) PUSA (26) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.74 -10.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.73

Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $30.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FLL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Full House Resorts Inc. (NASDAQ: FLL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $0.74 (-10.19% 1D, market cap $30.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLL ranks #980 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLL compare to CNTY and GHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), FLL carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 93.3%, and ROIC of 0.6%. By comparison, CNTY (Century Casinos Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 26.2%, cap $14.6M) and GHG (GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $94.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLL?

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Per FLL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000891482), Full House Resorts Inc. generated $302.4M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), -$40.2M in net income, and -$2.7M in free cash flow against $649.8M in total assets and $473.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.73 (-2.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FLL SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 93.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+6/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.22 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.12-11.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.99-15.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.84-11.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.74-11.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FLL currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.50) and Max Pain ($0.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FLL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 21%NO 79%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

24.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.22>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $1$0.74H: $3

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40

MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on FLL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (30)

0.6% ROIC with 93.3% gross margin and -9.14% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (30)

Altman-Z 0.22 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FLL

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLL)

✓Walkthrough of FLL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FLL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.52%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-03O $0.80H $0.83L $0.74C $0.74VOL 269.8K

RES: $1.41SUP: $1.11SMA50: $1.50SMA200: $2.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FLL Butterfly Map → + Track FLL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

31.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #980 of 1009 ⚔️ CNTY vs FLL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLL vs. CNTY, GHG, MSC, PUSA)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) ranks #980 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #858 by equity capitalization ($30.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHG leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GHG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.9% gross margin. GHG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with FLL at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FLL ACTIVE Full House Resorts Inc.	E	21/100	—	93.3%	0.6%	-10.19%	$30.3M	Benchmark Subject
CNTY Century Casinos Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	26.2%	+7.92%	$14.6M	/cnty-vs-fll →
GHG GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share	D	50/100	4.2x	34.9%	85.0%	+3.06%	$94.9M	/ghg-vs-fll →
MSC Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)	E	28/100	—	—	2.3%	+25.59%	$165.3M	/msc-vs-fll →
PUSA Powerus Corporation	E	26/100	—	—	-22.8%	-4.44%	$285.3M	/pusa-vs-fll →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000891482 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) reported GAAP revenue of $302.4M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $292.1M , and +25.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$40.2M, operating cash flow of $10.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.7M (+93.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLL closed FY2025 with $649.8M in total assets against $473.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.22, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$302.4M	-$40.2M	$10.0M	-$2.7M	$649.8M	$473.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$292.1M	-$40.7M	$13.8M	-$38.7M	$673.3M	$468.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$241.1M	-$24.9M	$22.3M	$22.3M	—	—

3. FLL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FLL compare to CNTY and GHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLL?

Where is FLL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLL last traded at $0.74 (-10.19% on volume of 185,319 shares), positioning the stock -50.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.50) and -66.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.24). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $3.37, FLL sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.83).

Direct Sub-Reports: FLL RQD Cockpit FLL 12M Forecast FLL Earnings & Move FLL Dividends & DRIP FLL Insiders & 13F FLL Whale Options FLL Profit Sankey FLL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FLL — Full House Resorts Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 21/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.74 (-10.19% 1D, market capitalization $30.3M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.6%, gross margin of 93.3%, operating margin of 1.0%, and free cash flow yield of -9.14%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.22, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Hotels/Resorts industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $302.4M, indicating an operating scale in the hundreds of millions of dollars.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) reported $302.4M in annual revenue (up from $292.1M in FY2024, +3.5% YoY) and -$40.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($241.1M revenue, -$24.9M net income) through FY2025, FLL scaled operating cash flow to $10.0M and free cash flow to -$2.7M, backed by $649.8M in total assets against $473.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 21/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -9.14% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.75 – $3.37 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 33.3x EV/EBITDA against 1.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks can be established from the provided sources.

Key Question #1: Can FLL sustain or expand its 1.0% operating margin and 0.6% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $302.4M and free cash flow of -$2.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $473.6M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is FLL's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FLL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FLL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Full House Resorts is downgraded by Texas Capital amid the challenging high-yield market (FLL:NASDAQ)

Seeking Alpha report covering Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Full House Resorts Q2 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript

Benzinga report covering Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com • 1d ago

Full House Resorts stock rating cut to Hold by Texas Capital on debt concerns

Investing.com report covering Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 1d ago

Top Gainers and Losers in Today's US Session

ChartMill report covering Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 2d ago

Gráfico y cotización de MGM: NYSE:MGM

TradingView report covering Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 11d ago

12 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Friday's Intraday Session

Gainers Mynd.ai (AMEX:MYND) stock rose 43.7% to $0.23 during Friday's regular session. The company's market cap stands at $8.9 million. J-Star Hldg (NASDAQ:YMAT) shares moved upwards by 36.39% to $2.62. The

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 1d ago

Full House Resorts Announces Third Quarter Earnings Release Date

LAS VEGAS, Nov. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Full House Resorts (NASDAQ: FLL) announced today that it will report its third quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, November 5, 2026, followed by a conference call at 4

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FLL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.74?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FLL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.96 (+15.7%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Operating income turned positive in FY 2024 and FY 2025 and gross margin is reported at 93.3%, indicating operating leverage if revenue

Picked up a starter position in FLL in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $0.83. Operating income turned positive in FY 2024 and FY 2025 and gross margin is reported at 93.3%, indicating operating leverage if revenue and cost structure improve.. Trading inside a $0.75–$3.37 52-week range with -9.14% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Hotels/Resorts multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — FLL's 6/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.71 (-14.5%)

Spot @ $0.83

Net losses in all three reported periods, negative free cash flow, an Altman Z-Score of 0.22, and debt of $473.6M against cash of $40.7

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on FLL: Net losses in all three reported periods, negative free cash flow, an Altman Z-Score of 0.22, and debt of $473.6M against cash of $40.7M point to acute forensic and solvency risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Hotels/Resorts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.