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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GHG
MSC (28) PUSA (26) FLL (21) CVEO (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.97 +3.06% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.97

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $94.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GHG Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GHG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (NYSE: GHG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $0.97 (+3.06% 1D, market cap $94.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GHG ranks #551 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GHG compare to MSC and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), GHG carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.2x, gross margin of 34.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MSC (Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.3%, cap $165.3M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $285.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHG?
β–Ό

Per GHG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001724755), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share generated $156.9M in revenue (-14.7% YoY), $23.9M in net income, and $2.9M in free cash flow against $684.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.97 (+0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GHG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GHG SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (34% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.49 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$0.98+5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$1.03-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$1.00-3% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$0.97-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (58) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GHG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While GHG currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.01) and Max Pain ($1.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.14.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGHG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4330 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.49>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE5% OF RANGE
L: $1$0.97H: $2
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on GHG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

85.0% ROIC with 34.9% gross margin and 2.88% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 0.49 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (50)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GHG
  • βœ“Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GHG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of GHG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GHG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.77%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $0.99H $0.99L $0.94C $0.97VOL 68.0K
RES: $1.04SUP: $0.87SMA50: $1.01SMA200: $1.19
$1.83$1.58$1.33$1.08$0.83RES $1.04SUP $0.87$0.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GHG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ GHG Butterfly Map β†’ + Track GHG β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #551 of 1009 βš”οΈ MSC vs GHG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GHG vs. MSC, PUSA, FLL, CVEO)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) ranks #551 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #755 by equity capitalization ($94.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHG leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GHG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.9% gross margin. GHG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GHG ACTIVE
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share
D 50/100 4.2x 34.9% 85.0% +3.06% $94.9M Benchmark Subject
MSC
Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)
E 28/100 β€” β€” 2.3% +25.59% $165.3M /msc-vs-ghg β†’
PUSA
Powerus Corporation
E 26/100 β€” β€” -22.8% -4.44% $285.3M /pusa-vs-ghg β†’
FLL
Full House Resorts Inc.
E 21/100 β€” 93.3% 0.6% -10.19% $30.3M /fll-vs-ghg β†’
CVEO
Civeo Corporation (Canada)
D 44/100 β€” 23.7% 0.9% +0.39% $371.8M /cveo-vs-ghg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001724755 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) reported GAAP revenue of $156.9M (-14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $184.1M , and -31.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.9M, operating cash flow of $40.2M, and free cash flow of $2.9M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHG closed FY2025 with $684.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $156.9M $23.9M $40.2M $2.9M $684.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $184.1M $15.1M $51.2M $40.2M $677.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $229.2M $37.9M $64.1M $64.1M β€” β€”

3. GHG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GHG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (NYSE: GHG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $0.97 (+3.06% 1D, market cap $94.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GHG ranks #551 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GHG compare to MSC and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), GHG carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.2x, gross margin of 34.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MSC (Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.3%, cap $165.3M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $285.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHG?

Per GHG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001724755), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share generated $156.9M in revenue (-14.7% YoY), $23.9M in net income, and $2.9M in free cash flow against $684.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GHG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GHG last traded at $0.97 (+3.06% on volume of 50,914 shares), positioning the stock -3.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.01) and -18.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.19). Across its 52-week range of $0.91 to $2.04, GHG sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.09).

Direct Sub-Reports: GHG RQD Cockpit GHG 12M Forecast GHG Earnings & Move GHG Dividends & DRIP GHG Insiders & 13F GHG Whale Options GHG Profit Sankey GHG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 50/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GHG β€” GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.97 (+3.06% 1D, market capitalization $94.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 34.9%, operating margin of 5.2%, and free cash flow yield of 2.88%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.49, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. The company reported revenue of $156.9M for FY 2025. Market capitalization is $99.9M per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) reported $156.9M in annual revenue (up from $184.1M in FY2024, -14.7% YoY) and $23.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($229.2M revenue, $37.9M net income) through FY2025, GHG scaled operating cash flow to $40.2M and free cash flow to $2.9M, backed by $684.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 50/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 2.88% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.91 – $2.04 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 4.2x trailing P/E against 5.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can GHG sustain or expand its 5.2% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $156.9M and free cash flow of $2.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GHG's 3.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GHG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to GHG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GHG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.97?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GHG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GHG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.19 (+26.6%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Reported ROIC of 85% and a P/E of 4.2 TTM suggest strong returns on capital priced at a low earnings multiple.

Reported ROIC of 85% and a P/E of 4.2 TTM suggest strong returns on capital priced at a low earnings multiple.. When you look under the hood at GHG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 34.9% gross margins and 85.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (4/20) has been quietly accumulating below $2.04. My 12M target is $1.19.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on 4.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Hotels/Resorts. If gross margin (34.9%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.81 (-13.8%)
Spot @ $0.94

Revenue fell from $229.2M to $156.9M and operating income from $47.3M to $8.1M over FY 2023–FY 2025, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.49.

Revenue fell from $229.2M to $156.9M and operating income from $47.3M to $8.1M over FY 2023–FY 2025, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.49.. Look at the math on GHG: paying 4.2x trailing P/E for 85.0% ROIC and 5.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Hotels/Resorts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.83 before getting long.

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