MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 71d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Reports Second Quarter of 2026 Financial ResultsYahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Why GHG Stock surged +3.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.97 +3.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.97
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $97.8M
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Is GHG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (NYSE: GHG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $0.97 (+3.06% 1D, market cap $97.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GHG ranks #551 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GHG compare to MSC and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), GHG carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.2x, gross margin of 34.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MSC (Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.3%, cap $207.6M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $272.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHG?
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Per GHG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001724755), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share generated $156.9M in revenue (-14.7% YoY), $23.9M in net income, and $2.9M in free cash flow against $684.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.97 (+0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GHG SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (34% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 0.49 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$0.95+7.4% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$1.02-4.9% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$0.97+0% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$0.97-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GHG Turnaround Squeeze
While GHG currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.01) and Max Pain ($1.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.14.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GHG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GHG Stock surged +3.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) surged +3.06% to $0.97, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.91 – $2.04). Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.91 – $2.04) with RSI-14 at 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.97 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 34.9% gross margin and $2.9M annual free cash flow.
Live GHG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 187d ago
GreenTree Filed Annual Report on Form 20-F for Fiscal Year 2025GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (NYSE: GHG) ("GreenTree" or the "Company"), a leading hospitality management group in China, today announced that it filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended Decembe
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 134d ago
Residential Home Health and Hospice Receives 2026 Top Workplaces HonorsYahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 126d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Reports First Quarter of 2026 Financial ResultsYahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 181d ago
We Think That There Are Some Issues For GreenTree Hospitality Group (NYSE:GHG) Beyond Its Promising EarningsGreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.'s ( NYSE:GHG ) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe...
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 188d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial ResultsYahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 286d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group's (NYSE:GHG) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The BusinessIf you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 313d ago
Estimating The Fair Value Of GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (NYSE:GHG)Key Insights GreenTree Hospitality Group's estimated fair value is US$1.91 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 315d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Reports Third Quarter of 2025 Financial ResultsYahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
MARKET WIREMoomoo • 2d ago
GreenTree Hospitality (GHG) Stock Forecast & Analyst Ratings<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAJBVV95cUxOOXZnSXFfV0p4THBVRW9zZnF4VHM0V21FYU5QckFLQVQwdWI3dkNMWWtWSWVpblJHQzd3dmVhNm0zOTZLMGxZMERrQk1FelRPMW5XWFpXMUwyb3B1cTJESGFMS18tbmREU1JINzhqNHJvLTd6VUlIangyRXV
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GHG)
- ✓Walkthrough of GHG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GHG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.14%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $0.94H $0.97L $0.94C $0.97VOL 50.9K
RES: $1.04SUP: $0.87SMA50: $1.01SMA200: $1.18
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GHG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHG)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #551 of 1009
⚔️ MSC vs GHG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GHG vs. MSC, PUSA, FLL, CVEO)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) ranks #551 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #752 by equity capitalization ($97.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHG leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GHG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.9% gross margin. GHG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GHG
ACTIVE
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share | D | 50/100 | 4.2x | 34.9% | 85.0% | +3.06% | $97.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| MSC Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) | E | 28/100 | — | — | 2.3% | +25.59% | $207.6M | /msc-vs-ghg → |
| PUSA Powerus Corporation | E | 26/100 | — | — | -22.8% | -4.44% | $272.7M | /pusa-vs-ghg → |
| FLL Full House Resorts Inc. | E | 21/100 | — | 93.3% | 0.6% | -10.19% | $27.2M | /fll-vs-ghg → |
| CVEO Civeo Corporation (Canada) | D | 44/100 | — | 23.7% | 0.9% | +0.39% | $373.3M | /cveo-vs-ghg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001724755 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) reported GAAP revenue of $156.9M (-14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $184.1M , and -31.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.9M, operating cash flow of $40.2M, and free cash flow of $2.9M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHG closed FY2025 with $684.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $156.9M | $23.9M | $40.2M | $2.9M | $684.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $184.1M | $15.1M | $51.2M | $40.2M | $677.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $229.2M | $37.9M | $64.1M | $64.1M | — | — |
3. GHG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GHG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (NYSE: GHG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $0.97 (+3.06% 1D, market cap $97.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GHG ranks #551 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GHG compare to MSC and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), GHG carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.2x, gross margin of 34.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MSC (Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.3%, cap $207.6M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $272.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHG?
Per GHG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001724755), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share generated $156.9M in revenue (-14.7% YoY), $23.9M in net income, and $2.9M in free cash flow against $684.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GHG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GHG last traded at $0.97 (+3.06% on volume of 50,914 shares), positioning the stock -3.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.01) and -17.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.18). Across its 52-week range of $0.91 to $2.04, GHG sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.09).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
GHG — GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.97 (+3.06% 1D, market capitalization $97.8M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 34.9%, operating margin of 5.2%, and free cash flow yield of 2.88%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.49, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. The company reported revenue of $156.9M for FY 2025. Market capitalization is $99.9M per the market data.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) reported $156.9M in annual revenue (up from $184.1M in FY2024, -14.7% YoY) and $23.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($229.2M revenue, $37.9M net income) through FY2025, GHG scaled operating cash flow to $40.2M and free cash flow to $2.9M, backed by $684.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 2.88% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.91 – $2.04 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 4.2x trailing P/E against 5.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can GHG sustain or expand its 5.2% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $156.9M and free cash flow of $2.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GHG's 3.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
GHG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 71d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Reports Second Quarter of 2026 Financial Results Yahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 187d ago
GreenTree Filed Annual Report on Form 20-F for Fiscal Year 2025 GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (NYSE: GHG) ("GreenTree" or the "Company"), a leading hospitality management group in China, today announced that it filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended Decembe
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 134d ago
Residential Home Health and Hospice Receives 2026 Top Workplaces Honors Yahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 126d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Reports First Quarter of 2026 Financial Results Yahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 181d ago
We Think That There Are Some Issues For GreenTree Hospitality Group (NYSE:GHG) Beyond Its Promising Earnings GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.'s ( NYSE:GHG ) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe...
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 188d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Yahoo Finance coverage on GHG stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 286d ago
GreenTree Hospitality Group's (NYSE:GHG) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 313d ago
Estimating The Fair Value Of GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (NYSE:GHG) Key Insights GreenTree Hospitality Group's estimated fair value is US$1.91 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
GHG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.97?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GHG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $1.19 (+26.6%)
📌 Pinned Debate Reported ROIC of 85% and a P/E of 4.2 TTM suggest strong returns on capital priced at a low earnings multiple.
Reported ROIC of 85% and a P/E of 4.2 TTM suggest strong returns on capital priced at a low earnings multiple.. When you look under the hood at GHG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 34.9% gross margins and 85.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (4/20) has been quietly accumulating below $2.04. My 12M target is $1.19.
ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL
@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on 4.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Hotels/Resorts. If gross margin (34.9%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $0.81 (-13.8%)
Spot @ $0.94 Revenue fell from $229.2M to $156.9M and operating income from $47.3M to $8.1M over FY 2023–FY 2025, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.49.
Revenue fell from $229.2M to $156.9M and operating income from $47.3M to $8.1M over FY 2023–FY 2025, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.49.. Look at the math on GHG: paying 4.2x trailing P/E for 85.0% ROIC and 5.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Hotels/Resorts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.83 before getting long.