Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.3% Move

$15.99 -2.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.90

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $686.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FOXF compare to LVWR and HOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?
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Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.90 (-0.56%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$24 Bull$15 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE FOXF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FOXF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FOXF SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.88 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.8% FCF Margin ($27.0M FCF) & 30.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.6) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$18.02-17.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$14.79-0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$14.73+8.6% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$15.99-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FOXF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FOXF currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.43) and Max Pain ($16.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FOXF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FOXF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 1, 2027 (~59 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.3% Swing Band

±$1.81 Expected Swing
$14.18 (-11.3%)Spot $15.99$17.80 (+11.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FOXF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.3%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-01-02$1.47B-$544.6M$27.0M30.2%
FY 20242025-01-03$1.39B$6.5M$87.8M30.4%
FY 20232023-12-29$1.46B$120.8M$178.7M30.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FOXF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FOXF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FOXF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.05%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $15.49H $16.33L $15.49C $15.99VOL 561.7K
RES: $23.03SUP: $14.33SMA50: $18.43SMA200: $18.12
$22.63$20.40$18.17$15.94$13.71RES $23.03SUP $14.33$15.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FOXF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FOXF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FOXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FOXF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FOXF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #749 of 1011 ⚔️ LVWR vs FOXF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FOXF vs. LVWR, HOG, LKQ, INEO)

Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) ranks #749 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #557 by equity capitalization ($686.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FOXF at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FOXF ACTIVE
Fox Factory Holding Corp.
D- 39/100 — 30.2% -35.0% -2.08% $686.4M Benchmark Subject
LVWR
LiveWire Group Inc.
E 20/100 — -17.3% -35.0% -26.67% $184.9M /lvwr-vs-foxf →
HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc.
B 75/100 9.3x 23.9% 18.0% +2.93% $3.16B /hog-vs-foxf →
LKQ
LKQ Corporation
D+ 56/100 7.5x 38.6% 8.5% +2.54% $4.58B /lkq-vs-foxf →
INEO
INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A)
D 44/100 — 19.2% -1.0% -7.00% $9.2M /ineo-vs-foxf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001424929

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$544.6M, operating cash flow of $60.9M, and free cash flow of $27.0M (-69.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FOXF closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $496.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-02 $1.47B -$544.6M $60.9M $27.0M $1.67B $496.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-03 $1.39B $6.5M $131.8M $87.8M $2.23B $527.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-29 $1.46B $120.8M $178.7M $178.7M — —

3. FOXF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FOXF compare to LVWR and HOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?

Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FOXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FOXF last traded at $15.99 (-2.08% on volume of 1,309,734 shares), positioning the stock -13.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.43) and -11.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.12). Across its 52-week range of $13.08 to $23.07, FOXF sits at the 29.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($14.18 to $17.80).

FOXF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FOXF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 1, 2027.

How much is FOXF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.3% event move for FOXF, spanning a range between $14.18 and $17.8.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FOXF — Fox Factory Holding Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FOXF scores 39 / 100 with a letter grade of D- and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 3.93%. Negative ROIC means the company is currently not earning a return on invested capital; the modest FCF yield is the main offsetting cash-generation datapoint.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. The rating references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The holders section contains no 13F detail, so the underlying positioning cannot be verified from the source data provided.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No insider transaction records are included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, indicating the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market rather than dampen it.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 0.88, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74. The low Altman Z-Score is the most significant distress flag in this pillar; the Piotroski score is comparatively stronger.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's weakest pillars (Macro Regime Fit and Whale/Insider flow) and the negative ROIC point toward a stock with limited current earnings support and a stressed balance sheet. The strongest upside driver cited in the source data is the FCF yield and the Piotroski score; the main valuation tradeoff is that without reported EPS or forward P/E data, earnings-based valuation cannot be assessed from the source material. Second-order risk centers on the balance sheet: the distress-zone Altman Z-Score combined with the operating loss means refinancing and liquidity conditions warrant close monitoring.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1467.3M$-522.9M$-544.6MN/A$27.0M$58.0M$496.7M
FY 2024$1393.9M$57.7M$6.5MN/A$87.8M$71.7M$527.8M
FY 2023$1464.2M$160.1M$120.8MN/A$178.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly stable across the three reported periods, while operating income swung from $160.1M in FY 2023 to $57.7M in FY 2024 and then to $-522.9M in FY 2025. The market data reports an operating margin of -35.6% and a net margin of -37.1%, with a gross margin of 30.2%. ROIC is -35% per the market data section. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.88 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74. Cash declined from $71.7M to $58.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while reported debt fell from $527.8M to $496.7M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Full-year guidance cut and CEO departure (RISK WATCH, GuruFocus): Headline reports a stock drop of over 18% following a full-year guidance cut and CEO departure.
  • Price target cut (RISK WATCH, TradingView): Headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $19.33, which it states implies 21% upside.
  • Gap down (MARKET WIRE, MarketBeat): Headline reports shares gapping down.
  • Consumer cyclical sentiment (MARKET WIRE, The Globe and Mail): Headline reports conflicting analyst sentiment across FOXF and EVgo.
  • Market wire items (MARKET WIRE, Yahoo! Finance Canada and Yahoo Finance UK): Generic quote and history pages with no substantive event detail.

The news wire shows two RED-flagged risk items centered on guidance, leadership change, and price-target revision. The price-target headline is reported alongside a 5.42% price change in the market data section. The Butterfly supply-chain graph contains no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported EPS and trailing/forward valuation multiples, given that P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all absent from the source data?
  • What drove the operating loss swing from $57.7M in FY 2024 to $-522.9M in FY 2025, and what portion reflects one-time items versus recurring operations?
  • What are the terms, maturities, and covenant status of the $496.7M in reported debt against $58.0M in cash?
  • What were the specifics of the full-year guidance cut and CEO departure, and what replacement or transition plan is in place?
  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue segments, which the source data does not describe?

FOXF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FOXF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FOXF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.99?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FOXF 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FOXF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.37 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FOXF (D- • RQD 39/100) a Buy at $16.33?

Welcome to the FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Motor Vehicles. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.74 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $16.33

Pump the brakes on FOXF — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FOXF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 30.2% gross margins. Unless Fox Factory Holding Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.60 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $16.33

FOXF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FOXF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Motor Vehicles and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.33 (52-wk range $13.08 - $23.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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