Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 0.88 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.8% FCF Margin ($27.0M FCF) & 30.2% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.6) create a -15 pt regime headwind
While FOXF currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.43) and Max Pain ($16.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.22.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) dropped -2.08% to $15.99, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($13.08 – $23.07). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PR Newswire report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Ford Motor (F) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +25.64% and +0.90%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FOXF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FOXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) ranks #749 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #557 by equity capitalization ($686.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FOXF at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOXF
ACTIVE
Fox Factory Holding Corp. | D- | 39/100 | — | 30.2% | -35.0% | -2.08% | $686.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| LVWR LiveWire Group Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | -17.3% | -35.0% | -26.67% | $184.9M | /lvwr-vs-foxf → |
| HOG Harley-Davidson Inc. | B | 75/100 | 9.3x | 23.9% | 18.0% | +2.93% | $3.16B | /hog-vs-foxf → |
| LKQ LKQ Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | 7.5x | 38.6% | 8.5% | +2.54% | $4.58B | /lkq-vs-foxf → |
| INEO INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | 19.2% | -1.0% | -7.00% | $9.2M | /ineo-vs-foxf → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$544.6M, operating cash flow of $60.9M, and free cash flow of $27.0M (-69.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FOXF closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $496.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-02 | $1.47B | -$544.6M | $60.9M | $27.0M | $1.67B | $496.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-01-03 | $1.39B | $6.5M | $131.8M | $87.8M | $2.23B | $527.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-29 | $1.46B | $120.8M | $178.7M | $178.7M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
FOXF last traded at $15.99 (-2.08% on volume of 1,309,734 shares), positioning the stock -13.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.43) and -11.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.12). Across its 52-week range of $13.08 to $23.07, FOXF sits at the 29.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($14.18 to $17.80).
Why FOXF Stock dropped -2.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, FOXF scores 39 / 100 with a letter grade of D- and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's weakest pillars (Macro Regime Fit and Whale/Insider flow) and the negative ROIC point toward a stock with limited current earnings support and a stressed balance sheet. The strongest upside driver cited in the source data is the FCF yield and the Piotroski score; the main valuation tradeoff is that without reported EPS or forward P/E data, earnings-based valuation cannot be assessed from the source material. Second-order risk centers on the balance sheet: the distress-zone Altman Z-Score combined with the operating loss means refinancing and liquidity conditions warrant close monitoring.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1467.3M | $-522.9M | $-544.6M | N/A | $27.0M | $58.0M | $496.7M |
| FY 2024 | $1393.9M | $57.7M | $6.5M | N/A | $87.8M | $71.7M | $527.8M |
| FY 2023 | $1464.2M | $160.1M | $120.8M | N/A | $178.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly stable across the three reported periods, while operating income swung from $160.1M in FY 2023 to $57.7M in FY 2024 and then to $-522.9M in FY 2025. The market data reports an operating margin of -35.6% and a net margin of -37.1%, with a gross margin of 30.2%. ROIC is -35% per the market data section. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.88 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74. Cash declined from $71.7M to $58.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while reported debt fell from $527.8M to $496.7M.
The news wire shows two RED-flagged risk items centered on guidance, leadership change, and price-target revision. The price-target headline is reported alongside a 5.42% price change in the market data section. The Butterfly supply-chain graph contains no proprietary signals.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PR Newswire report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Motor Vehicles. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FOXF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 30.2% gross margins. Unless Fox Factory Holding Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FOXF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Motor Vehicles and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.33 (52-wk range $13.08 - $23.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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