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Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$42.22 +8.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.77

Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.21B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GBX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $42.22 (+8.23% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GBX compare to TRN and FIP in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.30B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $338.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBX?
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Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.76 (+1.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$62 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE GBX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GBX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GBX SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.2% FCF Margin ($265.7M FCF) & 18.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$39.31-4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$37.61-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$37.48+12.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$42.22+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GBX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, GBX faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.07) or 200D SMA ($48.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.22) toward Bear Floor ($32.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GBX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GBX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.12% Total Yield
3.32% Cash ($1.40/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $22,819

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,168/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.8K
Yr 2
$12.8K
Yr 3
$13.9K
Yr 4
$15.1K
Yr 5
$16.4K
Yr 6
$17.8K
Yr 7
$19.3K
Yr 8
$21.0K
Yr 9
$22.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GBX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GBX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GBX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.13%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $38.53H $42.22L $38.53C $42.22VOL 464.7K
RES: $54.00SUP: $35.08SMA50: $41.07SMA200: $48.06
$53.62$48.94$44.26$39.58$34.90RES $54.00SUP $35.08$42.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GBX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GBX Butterfly Map → + Track GBX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GBX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBX)

Industrials Rank #143 of 486 ⚔️ TRN vs GBX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GBX vs. TRN, FIP, RAIL, WAB)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) ranks #143 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #235 by equity capitalization ($1.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. WAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GBX at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GBX ACTIVE
Greenbrier Companies Inc.
D+ 58/100 5.9x 18.7% 24.1% +8.23% $1.21B Benchmark Subject
TRN
Trinity Industries Inc.
C- 60/100 8.1x — 58.6% +3.53% $2.30B /trn-vs-gbx →
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
E 33/100 — — — -0.70% $338.0M /fip-vs-gbx →
RAIL
FreightCar America Inc.
D- 37/100 — 14.6% 27.5% -1.20% $136.7M /rail-vs-gbx →
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation
C- 61/100 41.0x 34.1% 11.1% +2.57% $46.92B /wab-vs-gbx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000923120 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) reported GAAP revenue of $3.24B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.54B , and -17.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.1M, operating cash flow of $265.7M, and free cash flow of $265.7M (-19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBX closed FY2025 with $4.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $3.24B $204.1M $265.7M $265.7M $4.30B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $3.54B $160.1M $329.6M $329.6M $4.29B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $3.94B $62.5M $71.2M $71.2M — —

3. GBX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GBX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $42.22 (+8.23% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GBX compare to TRN and FIP in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.30B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $338.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBX?

Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GBX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GBX last traded at $42.22 (+8.23% on volume of 929,197 shares), positioning the stock +2.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.07) and -12.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($48.06). Across its 52-week range of $36.35 to $59.19, GBX sits at the 25.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($39.60 to $44.84).

Direct Sub-Reports: GBX RQD Cockpit GBX 12M Forecast GBX Earnings & Move GBX Dividends & DRIP GBX Insiders & 13F GBX Whale Options GBX Profit Sankey GBX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GBX — Greenbrier Companies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $42.22 (+8.23% 1D, market capitalization $1.21B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 24.1%, gross margin of 18.7%, operating margin of 11.1%, and free cash flow yield of 22.25%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Greenbrier Companies Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Railroads industry. Market capitalization is listed at $1.2B in the profile and $1.19B in market data. — for detailed business description.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-31), Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) reported $3.24B in annual revenue (up from $3.54B in FY2024, -8.6% YoY) and $204.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.94B revenue, $62.5M net income) through FY2025, GBX scaled operating cash flow to $265.7M and free cash flow to $265.7M, backed by $4.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 22.25% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $36.35 – $59.19 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 5.9x trailing P/E against 11.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as NONE with an empty set of butterfly links, so upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can GBX sustain or expand its 11.1% operating margin and 24.1% ROIC against Railroads peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.24B and free cash flow of $265.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GBX's 5.5x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GBX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GBX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GBX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $42.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GBX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GBX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $49.15 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the market data, ROIC of 24.1% and a 22.25% FCF yield signal strong cash generation against a 5.9x trailing P/E.

Long GBX at $39.01 targeting $49.15. Per the market data, ROIC of 24.1% and a 22.25% FCF yield signal strong cash generation against a 5.9x trailing P/E.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $36.35 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on 5.9x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Railroads. If gross margin (18.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $31.60 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $39.01

Per the RQD rating, institutional flow scores 4/20 and macro fit 8/20, with the verdict recommending trimming.

I respect the product at Greenbrier Companies Inc., but the stock at $39.01 is a different story. Per the RQD rating, institutional flow scores 4/20 and macro fit 8/20, with the verdict recommending trimming.. FCF yield is 22.25% and RQD sits at 58/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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