Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $42.22 (+8.23% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.30B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $338.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.2% FCF Margin ($265.7M FCF) & 18.7% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, GBX faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.07) or 200D SMA ($48.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.22) toward Bear Floor ($32.93).
Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) surged +8.23% to $42.22, trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($36.35 – $59.19). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (24% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AlphaStreet report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
We assess the investment worthiness of Ryder stock post its third-quarter 2026 earnings release.
Greenbrier Companies came into this Q4 2026 report under pressure, with the share price down over the past month and another 1.1% lower today around US$37. The long-term thesis has often leaned on through-cycle resilienc
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) ranks #143 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #235 by equity capitalization ($1.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. WAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GBX at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBX
ACTIVE
Greenbrier Companies Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 5.9x | 18.7% | 24.1% | +8.23% | $1.21B | Benchmark Subject |
| TRN Trinity Industries Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 8.1x | — | 58.6% | +3.53% | $2.30B | /trn-vs-gbx → |
| FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | — | -0.70% | $338.0M | /fip-vs-gbx → |
| RAIL FreightCar America Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 14.6% | 27.5% | -1.20% | $136.7M | /rail-vs-gbx → |
| WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | C- | 61/100 | 41.0x | 34.1% | 11.1% | +2.57% | $46.92B | /wab-vs-gbx → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) reported GAAP revenue of $3.24B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.54B , and -17.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.1M, operating cash flow of $265.7M, and free cash flow of $265.7M (-19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBX closed FY2025 with $4.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-08-31 | $3.24B | $204.1M | $265.7M | $265.7M | $4.30B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-08-31 | $3.54B | $160.1M | $329.6M | $329.6M | $4.29B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-08-31 | $3.94B | $62.5M | $71.2M | $71.2M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $42.22 (+8.23% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.30B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $338.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
GBX last traded at $42.22 (+8.23% on volume of 929,197 shares), positioning the stock +2.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.07) and -12.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($48.06). Across its 52-week range of $36.35 to $59.19, GBX sits at the 25.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($39.60 to $44.84).
Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $42.22 (+8.23% 1D, market capitalization $1.21B).
Greenbrier Companies Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Railroads industry. Market capitalization is listed at $1.2B in the profile and $1.19B in market data. — for detailed business description.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-31), Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) reported $3.24B in annual revenue (up from $3.54B in FY2024, -8.6% YoY) and $204.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.94B revenue, $62.5M net income) through FY2025, GBX scaled operating cash flow to $265.7M and free cash flow to $265.7M, backed by $4.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as NONE with an empty set of butterfly links, so upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources.
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Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AlphaStreet report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Long GBX at $39.01 targeting $49.15. Per the market data, ROIC of 24.1% and a 22.25% FCF yield signal strong cash generation against a 5.9x trailing P/E.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $36.35 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on 5.9x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Railroads. If gross margin (18.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
I respect the product at Greenbrier Companies Inc., but the stock at $39.01 is a different story. Per the RQD rating, institutional flow scores 4/20 and macro fit 8/20, with the verdict recommending trimming.. FCF yield is 22.25% and RQD sits at 58/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?
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