How profitable is Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), GBX converted $3.2B of revenue into a 18.7% gross margin, 11.1% operating margin, and $265.7M in free cash flow (8.2% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Industrials / GBX / financials

TRN (60) FIP (33) RAIL (37) WAB (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$39.01 +1.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.02

Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.21B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GBX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GBX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $39.01 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #142 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GBX compare to TRN and FIP in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.30B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $338.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBX?

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Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.02 (+0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GBX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GBX SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.2% FCF Margin ($265.7M FCF) & 18.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$39.31-4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$37.61-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$37.48+4.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$39.01+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GBX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, GBX faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.07) or 200D SMA ($48.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.01) toward Bear Floor ($30.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GBX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GBX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GBX Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$265.7M (8.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $3.94B

FY24

Rev $3.54B

FY25

Rev $3.24B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$3.24B	18.7%	11.1%	$204.1M	$265.7M	24.1%
FY 2024	$3.54B	15.8%	9.2%	$160.1M	$329.6M	23%
FY 2023	$3.94B	18.7%	4.5%	$62.5M	$71.2M	24.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GBX)

✓Walkthrough of GBX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GBX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.66%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $38.53H $39.01L $38.53C $39.01VOL 464.7K

RES: $54.00SUP: $35.08SMA50: $41.07SMA200: $48.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GBX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GBX Butterfly Map → + Track GBX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GBX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBX)

Industrials Rank #142 of 485 ⚔️ TRN vs GBX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GBX vs. TRN, FIP, RAIL, WAB)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) ranks #142 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #234 by equity capitalization ($1.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. WAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GBX at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GBX ACTIVE Greenbrier Companies Inc.	D+	58/100	5.9x	18.7%	24.1%	+1.25%	$1.21B	Benchmark Subject
TRN Trinity Industries Inc.	C-	60/100	8.1x	—	58.6%	+4.03%	$2.30B	/trn-vs-gbx →
FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc.	E	33/100	—	—	—	-0.35%	$338.0M	/fip-vs-gbx →
RAIL FreightCar America Inc.	D-	37/100	—	14.6%	27.5%	-0.24%	$136.7M	/rail-vs-gbx →
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation	C-	61/100	41.0x	34.1%	11.1%	-2.09%	$46.92B	/wab-vs-gbx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000923120

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) reported GAAP revenue of $3.24B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.54B , and -17.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.1M, operating cash flow of $265.7M, and free cash flow of $265.7M (-19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBX closed FY2025 with $4.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-08-31	$3.24B	$204.1M	$265.7M	$265.7M	$4.30B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-08-31	$3.54B	$160.1M	$329.6M	$329.6M	$4.29B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-08-31	$3.94B	$62.5M	$71.2M	$71.2M	—	—

3. GBX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GBX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GBX compare to TRN and FIP in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBX?

Where is GBX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GBX last traded at $39.01 (+1.25% on volume of 464,652 shares), positioning the stock -5.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.07) and -18.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($48.06). Across its 52-week range of $36.35 to $59.19, GBX sits at the 11.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($36.59 to $41.43).

Direct Sub-Reports: GBX RQD Cockpit GBX 12M Forecast GBX Earnings & Move GBX Dividends & DRIP GBX Insiders & 13F GBX Whale Options GBX Profit Sankey GBX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GBX — Greenbrier Companies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:16Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GBX scores 56 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 24.1%; FCF yield 22.25%), Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the profile is mixed. The strongest pillar is insider conviction, and the cash-generation metrics (ROIC and FCF yield) are high in the rating's own inputs. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 4/20, which means the rating does not find evidence of broad institutional accumulation. The macro-fit score of 8/20 signals that the rating views the stock's sector sensitivity as a headwind. The balance sheet sits in a middle band rather than a clear strength. The overall grade reflects these offsetting elements, and the verdict label itself recommends trimming rather than accumulating. Valuation metrics in the market data (P/E of 5.9 trailing, 5.5 forward) are low in absolute terms, but the source does not provide a peer or sector valuation benchmark, so the investor cannot determine from this data alone whether the low multiple reflects mispricing or deteriorating earnings expectations.

Business

Greenbrier Companies Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Railroads industry. Market capitalization is listed at $1.2B in the profile and $1.19B in market data. — for detailed business description.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed:

Risk Watch (RED): A headline states the stock "Falls on Q4 2026 Earnings," reported by Quiver Quantitative.
Catalyst (GREEN): A Simply Wall St-sourced report questions whether the stock is a bargain amid "Earnings Pressure," indexed under Yahoo Finance.
Market Wire (YELLOW): AlphaStreet publishes a Q4 2026 preview citing EPS estimate of $0.80 with a report date of October 26.
Market Wire (YELLOW): Stock Titan reports tax withholding on shares for HR chief Dornan.
Market Wire (YELLOW): Yahoo! Finance Canada and Simply Wall St reports covering market action and institutional positioning.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals (supply_chain: NONE).

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as NONE with an empty set of butterfly links, so upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: —

Holders (13F, Form 4, Congressional trades): —

Open Questions

What is the specific end-market and customer composition behind the reported revenue decline from $3.94B to $3.24B?
What is the EPS for each reported fiscal year, given that the financials list EPS as N/A?
What is the total debt figure, given that debt is listed as N/A across all periods?
What were the drivers of the Q4 2026 earnings reaction referenced in the news feed, and what do the actual results show?
What are the EV/EBITDA and peer valuation benchmarks needed to assess whether the 5.9x trailing P/E reflects value or structural weakness?

GBX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GBX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 19h ago

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Greenbrier Companies (GBX) Sees Earnings Pressure, Is The Stock Still A Bargain?

Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE AlphaStreet • 1d ago

Greenbrier Companies (GBX) Q4 2026 Preview: EPS Est. $0.80, Reports October 26

AlphaStreet report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Greenbrier Companies (NYSE:GBX) - Stock Analysis

Simply Wall St report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago

The Greenbrier Companies (GBX) Stock Falls on Q4 2026 Earnings

Quiver Quantitative report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Tax withholding covers 2,891 and 544 shares for Greenbrier (GBX) HR chief Dornan.

Stock Titan report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The) (NYSE:GBX) Stock Has Average Price Target of $42.67

MarketBeat report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is Greenbrier Companies (GBX) Undervalued After Its $600 Million Railcar Order Win?

Yahoo Finance report covering Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GBX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.01?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GBX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $41.61 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GBX (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $38.53?

Welcome to the GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Railroads. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.67 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $38.53

Pump the brakes on GBX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GBX, but look at what you are paying: 5.9x trailing P/E with 18.7% gross margins. Unless Greenbrier Companies Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $44.69 (+16.0%)

Spot @ $38.53

GBX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GBX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $38.53 (52-wk range $36.35 - $59.19), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.