Does GEG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Stock Ratings / Technology / GEG / dividends

ROC (27) SPAI (27) MCHX (30) AISP (16) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.19 +1.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.19

Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $66.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GEG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Great Elm Group Inc. (NASDAQ: GEG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.19 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $66.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GEG ranks #471 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GEG compare to ROC and SPAI in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), GEG carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.2x, gross margin of 93.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ROC (Rank One Computing Corporation) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.2M) and SPAI (Safe Pro Group Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $65.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEG leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while MCHX leads on capital efficiency (-22.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEG?

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Per GEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001831096), Great Elm Group Inc. generated $16.3M in revenue (-8.5% YoY), $12.9M in net income, and -$9.0M in free cash flow against $135.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.19 (+0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GEG SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 38% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.15+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.15+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.16+1.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.19-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GEG currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.16) and Max Pain ($2.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.97.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEG• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GEG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEG)

✓Walkthrough of GEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.31%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-03O $2.16H $2.19L $2.15C $2.19VOL 2.6K

RES: $2.15SUP: $2.14SMA50: $2.16SMA200: $2.14

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GEG Butterfly Map → + Track GEG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

-13.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEG)

Technology Rank #471 of 715 ⚔️ ROC vs GEG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GEG vs. ROC, SPAI, MCHX, AISP)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) ranks #471 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #544 by equity capitalization ($66.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEG leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while MCHX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -22.4% ROIC and 63.2% gross margin. GEG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GEG ACTIVE Great Elm Group Inc.	D-	41/100	5.2x	93.4%	-35.0%	+1.86%	$66.5M	Benchmark Subject
ROC Rank One Computing Corporation	E	27/100	—	77.2%	-35.0%	+5.40%	$67.2M	/roc-vs-geg →
SPAI Safe Pro Group Inc.	E	27/100	—	33.3%	-35.0%	-2.97%	$65.2M	/spai-vs-geg →
MCHX Marchex Inc. (Class B)	E	30/100	—	63.2%	-22.4%	+1.39%	$63.8M	/mchx-vs-geg →
AISP Airship AI Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	16/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.36%	$71.6M	/aisp-vs-geg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001831096 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) reported GAAP revenue of $16.3M (-8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.8M , and +88.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.9M, operating cash flow of -$9.0M, and free cash flow of -$9.0M (+42.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEG closed FY2025 with $135.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$16.3M	$12.9M	-$9.0M	-$9.0M	$135.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$17.8M	-$1.4M	-$15.6M	-$15.6M	$138.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$8.7M	$27.7M	-$2.4M	-$2.4M	—	—

3. GEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GEG compare to ROC and SPAI in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEG?

Where is GEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GEG last traded at $2.19 (+1.86% on volume of 2,271 shares), positioning the stock +1.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.16) and +2.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.14). Across its 52-week range of $1.80 to $2.83, GEG sits at the 37.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($2.15 to $2.23).

Direct Sub-Reports: GEG RQD Cockpit GEG 12M Forecast GEG Earnings & Move GEG Dividends & DRIP GEG Insiders & 13F GEG Whale Options GEG Profit Sankey GEG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GEG — Great Elm Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.19 (+1.86% 1D, market capitalization $66.5M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 93.4%, operating margin of -49.1%, and free cash flow yield of -13.48%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The profile describes the company with a market capitalization of $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) reported $16.3M in annual revenue (up from $17.8M in FY2024, -8.5% YoY) and $12.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.7M revenue, $27.7M net income) through FY2025, GEG scaled operating cash flow to -$9.0M and free cash flow to -$9.0M, backed by $135.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -13.48% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.80 – $2.83 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 5.2x trailing P/E against -49.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means no supply-chain ripple effects can be verified here.

Key Question #1: Can GEG sustain or expand its -49.1% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.3M and free cash flow of -$9.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GEG's 4.8x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GEG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GEG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Are Investors Undervaluing Great Elm Capital Group (GECC) Right Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Great Elm Group (NASDAQ:GEG) Stock Falls 0.5% - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

The board is set to shrink from eight to seven at Great Elm Group (GEG)'s annual meeting.

Stock Titan report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Great Elm Group director Eric Scheyer will not seek re-election

TradingView report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com Canada • 1d ago

Great Elm Group director Eric Scheyer to step down after annual meeting

Investing.com Canada report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Great Elm Group (NASDAQ:GEG) Shares Climb 0.5% - What's Next?

MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com Canada • 1d ago

Form 8K Great Elm Group Inc For: 23 October By Investing.com

Investing.com Canada report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Great Elm Capital Group (GECC) Expected to Release Earnings on Tuesday

MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GEG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.19?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GEG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.60 (+20.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A P/E TTM of 5.2 and a Forensic Balance Sheet pillar score of 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) suggest the balance sheet is not

A P/E TTM of 5.2 and a Forensic Balance Sheet pillar score of 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) suggest the balance sheet is not rated as distressed at a low headline valuation.. When you look under the hood at GEG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 4/20 with 93.4% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $2.83. My 12M target is $2.60.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 5.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. If gross margin (93.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.83 (-14.9%)

Spot @ $2.15

Valuation & margin reality check on GEG at $2.15 before chasing here

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on GEG: Valuation & margin reality check on GEG at $2.15 before chasing here. At 5.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.