Yahoo Finance report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GEG Stock advanced +1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Great Elm Group Inc. (NASDAQ: GEG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.19 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $66.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GEG ranks #471 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GEG compare to ROC and SPAI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), GEG carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.2x, gross margin of 93.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ROC (Rank One Computing Corporation) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.2M) and SPAI (Safe Pro Group Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $65.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEG leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while MCHX leads on capital efficiency (-22.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEG?
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Per GEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001831096), Great Elm Group Inc. generated $16.3M in revenue (-8.5% YoY), $12.9M in net income, and -$9.0M in free cash flow against $135.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 38% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEG Turnaround Squeeze
While GEG currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.16) and Max Pain ($2.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.97.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why GEG Stock advanced +1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) advanced +1.86% to $2.19, trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($1.8 – $2.83). Stretched risk/reward at 5x P/E (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($1.8 – $2.83) with RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $2.19 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 93.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Canada report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Canada report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEG)
- ✓Walkthrough of GEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEG)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GEG vs. ROC, SPAI, MCHX, AISP)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) ranks #471 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #544 by equity capitalization ($66.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEG leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while MCHX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -22.4% ROIC and 63.2% gross margin. GEG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEG
ACTIVE
Great Elm Group Inc. | D- | 41/100 | 5.2x | 93.4% | -35.0% | +1.86% | $66.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| ROC Rank One Computing Corporation | E | 27/100 | — | 77.2% | -35.0% | +5.40% | $67.2M | /roc-vs-geg → |
| SPAI Safe Pro Group Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | 33.3% | -35.0% | -2.97% | $65.2M | /spai-vs-geg → |
| MCHX Marchex Inc. (Class B) | E | 30/100 | — | 63.2% | -22.4% | +1.39% | $63.8M | /mchx-vs-geg → |
| AISP Airship AI Holdings Inc. (Class A) | E | 16/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.36% | $71.6M | /aisp-vs-geg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001831096 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) reported GAAP revenue of $16.3M (-8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.8M , and +88.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.9M, operating cash flow of -$9.0M, and free cash flow of -$9.0M (+42.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEG closed FY2025 with $135.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $16.3M | $12.9M | -$9.0M | -$9.0M | $135.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $17.8M | -$1.4M | -$15.6M | -$15.6M | $138.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $8.7M | $27.7M | -$2.4M | -$2.4M | — | — |
3. GEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Great Elm Group Inc. (NASDAQ: GEG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.19 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $66.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, GEG ranks #471 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GEG compare to ROC and SPAI in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), GEG carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.2x, gross margin of 93.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ROC (Rank One Computing Corporation) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.2M) and SPAI (Safe Pro Group Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $65.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEG leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while MCHX leads on capital efficiency (-22.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEG?
Per GEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001831096), Great Elm Group Inc. generated $16.3M in revenue (-8.5% YoY), $12.9M in net income, and -$9.0M in free cash flow against $135.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GEG last traded at $2.19 (+1.86% on volume of 2,271 shares), positioning the stock +1.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.16) and +2.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.14). Across its 52-week range of $1.80 to $2.83, GEG sits at the 37.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($2.15 to $2.23).
GEG — Great Elm Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.19 (+1.86% 1D, market capitalization $66.5M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 93.4%, operating margin of -49.1%, and free cash flow yield of -13.48%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The profile describes the company with a market capitalization of $0.1B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) reported $16.3M in annual revenue (up from $17.8M in FY2024, -8.5% YoY) and $12.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.7M revenue, $27.7M net income) through FY2025, GEG scaled operating cash flow to -$9.0M and free cash flow to -$9.0M, backed by $135.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -13.48% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.80 – $2.83 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 5.2x trailing P/E against -49.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means no supply-chain ripple effects can be verified here.
- Key Question #1: Can GEG sustain or expand its -49.1% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.3M and free cash flow of -$9.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GEG's 4.8x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
GEG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Canada report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Canada report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Great Elm Group Inc. (GEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GEG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.19?
A P/E TTM of 5.2 and a Forensic Balance Sheet pillar score of 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) suggest the balance sheet is not
A P/E TTM of 5.2 and a Forensic Balance Sheet pillar score of 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5, Debt/Equity 0.5) suggest the balance sheet is not rated as distressed at a low headline valuation.. When you look under the hood at GEG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 4/20 with 93.4% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $2.83. My 12M target is $2.60.
@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 5.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. If gross margin (93.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Valuation & margin reality check on GEG at $2.15 before chasing here
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on GEG: Valuation & margin reality check on GEG at $2.15 before chasing here. At 5.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.