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Stock Ratings / Materials / GGB / earnings
TX (53) CMC (46) CRS (61) PKX (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.2% Move

$4.64 -0.43% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.63

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.22B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GGB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GGB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Gerdau S.A. (NYSE: GGB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $4.64 (-0.43% 1D, market cap $9.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GGB ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GGB compare to TX and CMC in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), GGB carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.36B) and CMC (Commercial Metals Company) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 85.3x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $7.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CRS leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GGB?
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For Gerdau S.A. (GGB), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #40 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.63 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (11)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$6 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE GGB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GGB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GGB SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$5.17+1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$5.24-13.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$4.51+2.9% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$4.64+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GGB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, GGB faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.92) or 200D SMA ($4.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.66) toward Bear Floor ($3.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GGB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GGB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.2% Swing Band

±$0.38 Expected Swing
$4.26 (-8.2%)Spot $4.64$5.02 (+8.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GGB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $0.14 • YoY Revenue Growth: 18.7%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GGB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GGB
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GGB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.11%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.74H $4.74L $4.64C $4.64VOL 20.79M
RES: $5.65SUP: $4.42SMA50: $4.92SMA200: $4.48
$5.61$5.06$4.52$3.97$3.42RES $5.65SUP $4.42$4.642026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GGB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GGB Butterfly Map → + Track GGB →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GGB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GGB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GGB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GGB)

Materials Rank #40 of 270 ⚔️ TX vs GGB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GGB vs. TX, CMC, CRS, PKX)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gerdau S.A. (GGB) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #45 by equity capitalization ($9.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GGB leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while CRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 26.7% gross margin. CRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GGB at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GGB ACTIVE
Gerdau S.A.
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.43% $9.22B Benchmark Subject
TX
Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)
D+ 53/100 — — — -1.19% $10.36B /tx-vs-ggb →
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
D 46/100 85.3x — 1.5% +2.94% $7.04B /cmc-vs-ggb →
CRS
Carpenter Technology Corporation
C- 61/100 39.4x 26.7% 16.9% +2.78% $14.02B /crs-vs-ggb →
PKX
POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )
D 44/100 — — — +3.28% $16.08B /pkx-vs-ggb →

2. GGB Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) operates in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $9.22B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. GGB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GGB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gerdau S.A. (NYSE: GGB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $4.64 (-0.43% 1D, market cap $9.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GGB ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GGB compare to TX and CMC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), GGB carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.36B) and CMC (Commercial Metals Company) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 85.3x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $7.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CRS leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GGB?

For Gerdau S.A. (GGB), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #40 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GGB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GGB last traded at $4.64 (-0.43% on volume of 17,379,990 shares), positioning the stock -5.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.92) and +3.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.48). Across its 52-week range of $3.14 to $5.48, GGB sits at the 64.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($4.26 to $5.02).

Direct Sub-Reports: GGB RQD Cockpit GGB 12M Forecast GGB Earnings & Move GGB Dividends & DRIP GGB Insiders & 13F GGB Whale Options GGB Profit Sankey GGB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GGB — Gerdau S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $4.64 (-0.43% 1D, market capitalization $9.22B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Materials. Industry: Steel/Iron Ore. Exchange: NYSE..A. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Steel/Iron Ore industry with a market capitalization of $9.4B. — for detailed product mix, customer base, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.14 – $5.48 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— no upstream or downstream links, sector correlations, or bottleneck dependencies are recorded for GGB.

  • Key Question #1: Can GGB sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Steel/Iron Ore peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $5.48 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GGB's 27.6x forward P/E multiple to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

GGB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gerdau S.A. (GGB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GGB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GGB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GGB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GGB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.15 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) provides the rating's strongest support.

Long GGB at $4.66 targeting $6.15. Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) provides the rating's strongest support.. Institutional whale score is 9/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.14 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.66 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.54 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $4.66

A 32.8 trailing P/E on EPS of 0.14 and a 2.21% FCF yield leave the valuation dependent on earnings recovery.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on GGB: A 32.8 trailing P/E on EPS of 0.14 and a 2.21% FCF yield leave the valuation dependent on earnings recovery.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Steel/Iron Ore triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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