MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 14h ago
Is Gerdau (GGB) Stock Outpacing Its Basic Materials Peers This Year?Yahoo Finance report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GGB Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.66 -1.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.64
Gerdau S.A. (GGB) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $9.38B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GGB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is GGB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, Gerdau S.A. (NYSE: GGB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $4.66 (-1.69% 1D, market cap $9.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GGB ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GGB compare to TX and CMC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), GGB carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.61B) and CMC (Commercial Metals Company) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 85.3x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $7.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CRS leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GGB?
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For Gerdau S.A. (GGB), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #38 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.64 (-0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GGB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GGB SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (20% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 65% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$5.18+1.2% Next Q
68
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$5.24-11.3% Next Q
65
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$4.65+0.2% Next Q
63
CurrentGrade C-$4.66+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GGB Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, GGB faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.91) or 200D SMA ($4.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.70) toward Bear Floor ($3.67).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GGB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GGB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GGB Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Gerdau S.A. (GGB) slipped -1.69% to $4.66, trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($3.14 – $5.48). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($3.14 – $5.48) with RSI-14 at 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.3% around $4.66 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $207.2M annual free cash flow.
Live GGB Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 17h ago
Gerdau Stock Q3: Competitive Advantages Overcome Challenges (NYSE:GGB)Seeking Alpha report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 20h ago
This is Why Gerdau (GGB) is a Great Dividend StockYahoo Finance report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 23h ago
R$667 million in Gerdau dividends are set for Dec. 15Stock Titan report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
Gerdau S.A. (NYSE:GGB) Stock Has Average Price Target of $5.57 According to AnalystsMarketBeat report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETimothy Sykes • 1d ago
GGB Stock Holds Support As Steel Trader Focus BuildsTimothy Sykes report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStocksToTrade • 1d ago
GGB Stock Slides Toward Support As Steel Demand SoftensStocksToTrade report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Fast-paced Momentum Stock Gerdau (GGB) Is Still Trading at a BargainYahoo Finance report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
Gerdau (BOVESPA:GGBR4) Stock Draws Fresh Price Target Split As Analysts Rework OutlookPrice targets for Gerdau have shifted, with some U.S. analysts now working in a range between about US$5.70 and US$6.50, while fair value estimates in R$ terms sit closer to about R$28.44 per share in updated models. The
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 3d ago
Gerdau Q3: Competitive Advantages Overcome ChallengesGerdau remains a buy on strong North American operations, low valuation, and solid cash flow. Read here for a detailed analysis of GGB stock.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GGB Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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GGB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.56%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $4.51H $4.74L $4.51C $4.66VOL 20.75M
RES: $5.64SUP: $4.42SMA50: $4.91SMA200: $4.47
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GGB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +18.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GGB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GGB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GGB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GGB)
Materials Rank #38 of 270
⚔️ TX vs GGB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GGB vs. TX, CMC, CRS, PKX)
Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gerdau S.A. (GGB) ranks #38 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #48 by equity capitalization ($9.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GGB leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while CRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 26.7% gross margin. CRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with GGB at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GGB
ACTIVE
Gerdau S.A. | C- | 60/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -1.69% | $9.38B | Benchmark Subject |
| TX Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | -2.39% | $10.61B | /tx-vs-ggb → |
| CMC Commercial Metals Company | D | 48/100 | 85.3x | — | 1.5% | -2.62% | $7.23B | /cmc-vs-ggb → |
| CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | C | 62/100 | 39.4x | 26.7% | 16.9% | -5.24% | $14.80B | /crs-vs-ggb → |
| PKX POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of ) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -2.44% | $16.48B | /pkx-vs-ggb → |
2. GGB Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTGerdau S.A. (GGB) operates in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $9.38B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.
3. GGB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GGB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Gerdau S.A. (NYSE: GGB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $4.66 (-1.69% 1D, market cap $9.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GGB ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GGB compare to TX and CMC in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), GGB carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.61B) and CMC (Commercial Metals Company) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 85.3x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $7.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CRS leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GGB?
For Gerdau S.A. (GGB), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #38 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GGB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GGB last traded at $4.66 (-1.69% on volume of 20,789,492 shares), positioning the stock -5.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.91) and +4.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.47). Across its 52-week range of $3.14 to $5.48, GGB sits at the 65.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($4.27 to $5.05).
GGB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GGB stock moving today?
Why GGB Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
GGB — Gerdau S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:30Z
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GGB scores 60 out of 100, grading C- with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Returns on capital are positive but modest, and the cash yield is thin relative to the share price, which limits the margin of safety on valuation.
- Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning are weak-to-moderate, indicating limited evidence of large-holder conviction.
- Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is mixed, neither a strong buy signal nor a clear warning.
- Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the beta of 1.16 indicates above-market sensitivity to broad moves, and sector sensitivity adds cyclical exposure.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39 indicate the strongest pillar and a comparatively conservative financial structure.
Investor implication: the balance sheet is the clearest support for the rating, while cash generation, institutional flow, and macro fit are the constraints. Upside drivers would be improving free cash flow and sustained institutional accumulation. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a trailing P/E of 32.8 against EPS of 0.14 and an EV/EBITDA of 21 implies the market is pricing in substantial earnings recovery. Investors weighing this should note that the rating's "Hold" label reflects balanced rather than compelling evidence. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.
Snapshot
Business
Sector: Materials. Industry: Steel/Iron Ore. Exchange: NYSE. Per the profile, Gerdau S.A. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Steel/Iron Ore industry with a market capitalization of $9.4B. Not available in source data for detailed product mix, customer base, or revenue model.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines are listed, all tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:
- Yahoo Finance report on whether GGB is outpacing basic materials peers this year.
- Seeking Alpha report titled around competitive advantages overcoming challenges (Q3).
- Yahoo Finance report characterizing GGB as a dividend stock.
- Stock Titan report on R$667 million in dividends set for Dec. 15.
- MarketBeat report on an average analyst price target of $5.57.
- Timothy Sykes report on GGB holding support as steel trader focus builds.
Risk watch items: the sources provide headlines and summaries only; the substance of the claims is not available in source data beyond headline wording. The dividend headline conflicts with the market data's 0% dividend yield, which should be reconciled. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures by period, since the financials section is empty?
- Why does the source list a 0% dividend yield while news headlines reference R$667 million in dividends?
- What drives the reported 0% gross margin, and is it a data gap or an economic characteristic?
- What are the current institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) holdings and trade flows?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and the distribution of price targets behind the $5.57 headline?
GGB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gerdau S.A. (GGB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 14h ago
Is Gerdau (GGB) Stock Outpacing Its Basic Materials Peers This Year? Yahoo Finance report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 17h ago
Gerdau Stock Q3: Competitive Advantages Overcome Challenges (NYSE:GGB) Seeking Alpha report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago
This is Why Gerdau (GGB) is a Great Dividend Stock Yahoo Finance report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 23h ago
R$667 million in Gerdau dividends are set for Dec. 15 Stock Titan report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
Gerdau S.A. (NYSE:GGB) Stock Has Average Price Target of $5.57 According to Analysts MarketBeat report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Timothy Sykes • 1d ago
GGB Stock Holds Support As Steel Trader Focus Builds Timothy Sykes report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE StocksToTrade • 1d ago
GGB Stock Slides Toward Support As Steel Demand Softens StocksToTrade report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Fast-paced Momentum Stock Gerdau (GGB) Is Still Trading at a Bargain Yahoo Finance report covering Gerdau S.A. (GGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
GGB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.66?
🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GGB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST
🎯 Target: $5.12 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GGB (C- • RQD 60/100) a Buy at $4.74?
Welcome to the GGB (Gerdau S.A.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Steel/Iron Ore. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $3.56 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $4.74 Pump the brakes on GGB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GGB, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Gerdau S.A. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $6.07 (+28.1%)
Spot @ $4.74 GGB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GGB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Steel/Iron Ore and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.74 (52-wk range $3.14 - $5.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.