Yahoo Finance report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GXO Stock advanced +0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE: GXO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $50.27 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $5.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GXO ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GXO compare to HAFN and GATX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GXO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 159.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.92B) and GATX (GATX Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $6.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GXO?
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Per GXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852244), GXO Logistics Inc. generated $13.18B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), $36.0M in net income, and $110.0M in free cash flow against $12.26B in total assets and $2.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 1.75 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.8% FCF Margin ($110.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.2) create a -15 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GXO Turnaround Squeeze
While GXO currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.99) and Max Pain ($52.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $70.19.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why GXO Stock advanced +0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) advanced +0.68% to $50.27, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($43.61 – $66.85). Stretched risk/reward at 159x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($43.61 – $66.85) with RSI-14 at 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $50.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $110.0M annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kiplinger report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GXO Logistics (GXO) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Located in the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone, the Medini site expands GXO’s presence in Asia Pacific and provides enhanced flexibility across regional supply chains GREENWICH, Conn., Oct. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GXO)
- ✓Walkthrough of GXO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GXO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GXO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GXO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GXO)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GXO vs. HAFN, GATX, RXO, BWLP)
Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) ranks #593 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #246 by equity capitalization ($5.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while GXO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HAFN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with GXO at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GXO
ACTIVE
GXO Logistics Inc. | D | 48/100 | 159.1x | — | 4.2% | +0.68% | $5.73B | Benchmark Subject |
| HAFN Hafnia Limited | C | 65/100 | — | — | — | -1.72% | $5.92B | /hafn-vs-gxo → |
| GATX GATX Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | 19.1x | — | 4.0% | +0.37% | $6.37B | /gatx-vs-gxo → |
| RXO RXO Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | -2.9% | -0.58% | $4.56B | /rxo-vs-gxo → |
| BWLP BW LPG Limited | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | -3.32% | $4.12B | /bwlp-vs-gxo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001852244In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) reported GAAP revenue of $13.18B (+12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.71B , and +34.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $36.0M, operating cash flow of $434.0M, and free cash flow of $110.0M (-42.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GXO closed FY2025 with $12.26B in total assets against $2.87B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $13.18B | $36.0M | $434.0M | $110.0M | $12.26B | $2.87B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $11.71B | $138.0M | $549.0M | $190.0M | $11.27B | $2.64B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $9.78B | $233.0M | $558.0M | $118.0M | $11.73B | $2.75B |
3. GXO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE: GXO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $50.27 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $5.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GXO ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GXO compare to HAFN and GATX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GXO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 159.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.92B) and GATX (GATX Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $6.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GXO?
Per GXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852244), GXO Logistics Inc. generated $13.18B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), $36.0M in net income, and $110.0M in free cash flow against $12.26B in total assets and $2.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GXO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GXO last traded at $50.27 (+0.68% on volume of 1,155,406 shares), positioning the stock +6.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($46.99) and -2.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($51.71). Across its 52-week range of $43.61 to $66.85, GXO sits at the 28.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($47.66 to $52.88).
GXO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GXO stock moving today?
Why GXO Stock advanced +0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 159x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
GXO — GXO Logistics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GXO scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 of 20 (ROIC 4.2%; FCF yield 1.92%); Whale 13F Flow at 11 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 5 of 20 (Beta 1.06; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12 of 20 (Altman Z 1.75; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.83).
For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is Macro Regime Fit, which carries the lowest score and is tied to the stock's beta of 1.06 and sector sensitivity, implying amplified exposure to broader market moves. The Insider Conviction pillar is also below midpoint. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is the strongest relative to its weight, though its Altman Z of 1.75 sits in the figure as reported and is not interpreted here beyond the source. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a trailing P/E of 159.1 and forward P/E of 133.6 contrast with an FCF yield of 1.92% and ROIC of 4.2%, meaning the cash-return profile per the RQD rating does not rise to the level implied by the earnings multiple. Upside drivers cited in the news wire are analyst upgrade coverage; the rating itself frames the near-term setup as a distribution warning.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $13178.0M | $245.0M | $36.0M | N/A | $110.0M | $854.0M | $2869.3M |
| FY 2024 | $11709.0M | $218.0M | $138.0M | N/A | $190.0M | $413.0M | $2636.2M |
| FY 2023 | $9778.0M | $318.0M | $233.0M | N/A | $118.0M | N/A | $2745.7M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $9778.0M in FY 2023 to $13178.0M in FY 2025, while net income declined from $233.0M to $36.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 1.9%, the net margin is 0.3%, and ROIC is 4.2%. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z of 1.75 and Piotroski F of 7/9. Debt/Equity is 0.83 per the RQD forensic pillar, and reported debt increased from $2745.7M in FY 2023 to $2869.3M in FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the most recent item is a GREEN-flagged catalyst reporting a Goldman Sachs upgrade of GXO Logistics to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $61. A second GREEN catalyst reports a Goldman Sachs upgrade on margin outlook. A RED "Risk Watch" item, a Seeking Alpha piece, frames premium verticals as supporting a Buy despite macro risks. Additional YELLOW market-wire items include a TradingView estimates page, a Simply Wall St forecast page, and a Kiplinger sector-picks mention. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector-level context provided is the Consumer Discretionary / Transportation Services classification and the RQD macro pillar's note on sector sensitivity, which scores 5 of 20. Not available in source data for specific ripple mapping.
Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership
Per the analyst data, no analyst consensus, ratings, or price-target set is provided, though the news wire references a Goldman Sachs upgrade to Buy with a $61 target. Per the holders data, no institutional 13F, SEC Form 4 insider, or Congressional trade records are provided. Not available in source data for ownership detail. The RQD rating's Whale 13F Flow pillar (11 of 20) and Insider Conviction pillar (9 of 20) reflect the rating's own assessment of this flow but the underlying holder records are not in source data.
Open Questions
- What drives the gap between the 159.1 trailing P/E and the 1.92% FCF yield, given FY 2025 net income of $36.0M?
- What explains the decline in net income from $233.0M in FY 2023 to $36.0M in FY 2025 while revenue rose?
- Which underlying holder transactions support the Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
- What is the basis for the Goldman Sachs upgrade and its $61 target, and what margin outlook does it reference?
- What are the company's customers, products, and supply-chain dependencies, which the source data does not describe?
GXO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kiplinger report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GXO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $50.27?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GXO (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $49.93?
Welcome to the GXO (GXO Logistics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Transportation Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (159.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on GXO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GXO, but look at what you are paying: 159.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless GXO Logistics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
GXO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GXO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Transportation Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $49.93 (52-wk range $43.61 - $66.85), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.