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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GXO / options
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GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$50.27 +0.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.24

GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.73B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GXO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE: GXO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $50.27 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $5.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GXO ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GXO compare to HAFN and GATX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GXO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 159.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.92B) and GATX (GATX Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $6.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GXO?
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Per GXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852244), GXO Logistics Inc. generated $13.18B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), $36.0M in net income, and $110.0M in free cash flow against $12.26B in total assets and $2.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.23 (-0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$70 Bull$48 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE GXO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GXO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GXO SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.75 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.8% FCF Margin ($110.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.2) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$46.50+3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$48.10+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$50.04+0.5% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$50.27-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GXO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GXO currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.99) and Max Pain ($52.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $70.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GXO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GXO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GXO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GXO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GXO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GXO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GXO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.64%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $49.38H $50.27L $49.38C $50.27VOL 957.6K
RES: $50.50SUP: $41.97SMA50: $46.99SMA200: $51.71
$56.59$53.07$49.55$46.04$42.52RES $50.50SUP $41.97$50.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GXO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GXO Butterfly Map → + Track GXO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GXO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GXO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GXO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GXO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #593 of 1011 ⚔️ HAFN vs GXO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GXO vs. HAFN, GATX, RXO, BWLP)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) ranks #593 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #246 by equity capitalization ($5.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while GXO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HAFN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with GXO at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GXO ACTIVE
GXO Logistics Inc.
D 48/100 159.1x — 4.2% +0.68% $5.73B Benchmark Subject
HAFN
Hafnia Limited
C 65/100 — — — -1.72% $5.92B /hafn-vs-gxo →
GATX
GATX Corporation
D+ 57/100 19.1x — 4.0% +0.37% $6.37B /gatx-vs-gxo →
RXO
RXO Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — -2.9% -0.58% $4.56B /rxo-vs-gxo →
BWLP
BW LPG Limited
C- 61/100 — — — -3.32% $4.12B /bwlp-vs-gxo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001852244

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) reported GAAP revenue of $13.18B (+12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.71B , and +34.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $36.0M, operating cash flow of $434.0M, and free cash flow of $110.0M (-42.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GXO closed FY2025 with $12.26B in total assets against $2.87B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $13.18B $36.0M $434.0M $110.0M $12.26B $2.87B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.71B $138.0M $549.0M $190.0M $11.27B $2.64B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.78B $233.0M $558.0M $118.0M $11.73B $2.75B

3. GXO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE: GXO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $50.27 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $5.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GXO ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GXO compare to HAFN and GATX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GXO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 159.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.92B) and GATX (GATX Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $6.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GXO?

Per GXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852244), GXO Logistics Inc. generated $13.18B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), $36.0M in net income, and $110.0M in free cash flow against $12.26B in total assets and $2.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GXO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GXO last traded at $50.27 (+0.68% on volume of 1,155,406 shares), positioning the stock +6.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($46.99) and -2.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($51.71). Across its 52-week range of $43.61 to $66.85, GXO sits at the 28.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($47.66 to $52.88).

GXO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GXO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GXO.

Direct Sub-Reports: GXO RQD Cockpit GXO 12M Forecast GXO Earnings & Move GXO Dividends & DRIP GXO Insiders & 13F GXO Whale Options GXO Profit Sankey GXO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GXO — GXO Logistics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:49Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GXO scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 of 20 (ROIC 4.2%; FCF yield 1.92%); Whale 13F Flow at 11 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 5 of 20 (Beta 1.06; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12 of 20 (Altman Z 1.75; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.83).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is Macro Regime Fit, which carries the lowest score and is tied to the stock's beta of 1.06 and sector sensitivity, implying amplified exposure to broader market moves. The Insider Conviction pillar is also below midpoint. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is the strongest relative to its weight, though its Altman Z of 1.75 sits in the figure as reported and is not interpreted here beyond the source. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a trailing P/E of 159.1 and forward P/E of 133.6 contrast with an FCF yield of 1.92% and ROIC of 4.2%, meaning the cash-return profile per the RQD rating does not rise to the level implied by the earnings multiple. Upside drivers cited in the news wire are analyst upgrade coverage; the rating itself frames the near-term setup as a distribution warning.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
49.93$5.73B159.1133.614.10.310%1.06$43.61 - $66.854.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$13178.0M$245.0M$36.0MN/A$110.0M$854.0M$2869.3M
FY 2024$11709.0M$218.0M$138.0MN/A$190.0M$413.0M$2636.2M
FY 2023$9778.0M$318.0M$233.0MN/A$118.0MN/A$2745.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $9778.0M in FY 2023 to $13178.0M in FY 2025, while net income declined from $233.0M to $36.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 1.9%, the net margin is 0.3%, and ROIC is 4.2%. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z of 1.75 and Piotroski F of 7/9. Debt/Equity is 0.83 per the RQD forensic pillar, and reported debt increased from $2745.7M in FY 2023 to $2869.3M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most recent item is a GREEN-flagged catalyst reporting a Goldman Sachs upgrade of GXO Logistics to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $61. A second GREEN catalyst reports a Goldman Sachs upgrade on margin outlook. A RED "Risk Watch" item, a Seeking Alpha piece, frames premium verticals as supporting a Buy despite macro risks. Additional YELLOW market-wire items include a TradingView estimates page, a Simply Wall St forecast page, and a Kiplinger sector-picks mention. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector-level context provided is the Consumer Discretionary / Transportation Services classification and the RQD macro pillar's note on sector sensitivity, which scores 5 of 20. Not available in source data for specific ripple mapping.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the analyst data, no analyst consensus, ratings, or price-target set is provided, though the news wire references a Goldman Sachs upgrade to Buy with a $61 target. Per the holders data, no institutional 13F, SEC Form 4 insider, or Congressional trade records are provided. Not available in source data for ownership detail. The RQD rating's Whale 13F Flow pillar (11 of 20) and Insider Conviction pillar (9 of 20) reflect the rating's own assessment of this flow but the underlying holder records are not in source data.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between the 159.1 trailing P/E and the 1.92% FCF yield, given FY 2025 net income of $36.0M?
  • What explains the decline in net income from $233.0M in FY 2023 to $36.0M in FY 2025 while revenue rose?
  • Which underlying holder transactions support the Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
  • What is the basis for the Goldman Sachs upgrade and its $61 target, and what margin outlook does it reference?
  • What are the company's customers, products, and supply-chain dependencies, which the source data does not describe?

GXO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GXO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GXO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $50.27?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GXO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GXO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $53.92 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GXO (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $49.93?

Welcome to the GXO (GXO Logistics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Transportation Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (159.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.95 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $49.93

Pump the brakes on GXO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GXO, but look at what you are paying: 159.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless GXO Logistics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $59.92 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $49.93

GXO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GXO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Transportation Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $49.93 (52-wk range $43.61 - $66.85), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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