Yahoo Finance report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why HAYW Stock surged +4.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is HAYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hayward Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HAYW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $16.81 (+4.28% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, HAYW ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does HAYW compare to KAI and SXI in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), HAYW carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.4x, gross margin of 48.0%, and ROIC of 9.6%. By comparison, KAI (Kadant Inc) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 14.4%, cap $3.13B) and SXI (Standex International Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 52.8x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $2.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HAYW leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while KAI leads on capital efficiency (14.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAYW?
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Per HAYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001834622), Hayward Holdings Inc. generated $1.12B in revenue (+6.7% YoY), $151.6M in net income, and $227.3M in free cash flow against $3.15B in total assets and $701.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (78) create a -9 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HAYW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, HAYW faces multiple-compression risk if 21.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.06) or 200D SMA ($14.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.57) toward Bear Floor ($13.70).
Why HAYW Stock surged +4.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) surged +4.28% to $16.81, trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($11.24 – $17.42). Solid 48.0% gross margin (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 21x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($11.24 – $17.42) with RSI-14 at 78 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $16.81 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 48% gross margin and $227.3M annual free cash flow.
FinancialContent report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investment management company First Pacific Advisors recently released its “FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value Fund” Q3 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The Fund returned -7.62% in the thir
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Hayward’s third quarter outperformed Wall Street’s expectations as the company leveraged robust aftermarket demand and continued share gains in North America. Management noted that higher volumes and effective pricing ac
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HAYW Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
HAYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HAYW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HAYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HAYW)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HAYW vs. KAI, SXI, EFXT, DXPE)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #176 by equity capitalization ($3.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HAYW leads on earnings valuation at 21.4x trailing P/E, while KAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.4% ROIC and 45.2% gross margin. HAYW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAYW
ACTIVE
Hayward Holdings Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 21.4x | 48.0% | 9.6% | +4.28% | $3.36B | Benchmark Subject |
| KAI Kadant Inc | D | 51/100 | 31.4x | 45.2% | 14.4% | +6.92% | $3.13B | /kai-vs-hayw → |
| SXI Standex International Corporation | D | 50/100 | 52.8x | 39.9% | 6.8% | +4.14% | $2.99B | /sxi-vs-hayw → |
| EFXT Enerflex Ltd | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -5.92% | $2.89B | /efxt-vs-hayw → |
| DXPE DXP Enterprises Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 30.8x | 31.5% | 13.8% | -0.10% | $2.71B | /dxpe-vs-hayw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001834622 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.12B (+6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.05B , and +13.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $151.6M, operating cash flow of $256.0M, and free cash flow of $227.3M (+19.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, HAYW closed FY2025 with $3.15B in total assets against $701.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.47, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.12B | $151.6M | $256.0M | $227.3M | $3.15B | $701.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.05B | $118.7M | $212.1M | $189.7M | $2.99B | $705.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $992.5M | $80.7M | $184.5M | $139.9M | $1.78B | $417.6M |
3. HAYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HAYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Hayward Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HAYW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $16.81 (+4.28% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, HAYW ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HAYW compare to KAI and SXI in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), HAYW carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.4x, gross margin of 48.0%, and ROIC of 9.6%. By comparison, KAI (Kadant Inc) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 14.4%, cap $3.13B) and SXI (Standex International Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 52.8x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $2.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HAYW leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while KAI leads on capital efficiency (14.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAYW?
Per HAYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001834622), Hayward Holdings Inc. generated $1.12B in revenue (+6.7% YoY), $151.6M in net income, and $227.3M in free cash flow against $3.15B in total assets and $701.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HAYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HAYW last traded at $16.81 (+4.28% on volume of 6,675,547 shares), positioning the stock +28.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.06) and +15.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.54). Across its 52-week range of $11.24 to $17.42, HAYW sits at the 90.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 78.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($15.48 to $18.14).
HAYW — Hayward Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $16.81 (+4.28% 1D, market capitalization $3.36B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.6%, gross margin of 48.0%, operating margin of 20.8%, and free cash flow yield of 7.01%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.95x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.47, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.41x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Hayward Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. It has a market capitalization of $3.2B. — for further business detail.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) reported $1.12B in annual revenue (up from $1.05B in FY2024, +6.7% YoY) and $151.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($992.5M revenue, $80.7M net income) through FY2025, HAYW scaled operating cash flow to $256.0M and free cash flow to $227.3M, backed by $3.15B in total assets against $701.1M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 7.01% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.24 – $17.42 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 21.4x trailing P/E and 13.9x EV/EBITDA against 20.8% operating margins and a 0.95x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), HAYW carries a macro regime beta of 0.95 and gross margin of 48.0%.
- Key Question #1: Can HAYW sustain or expand its 20.8% operating margin and 9.6% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.12B and free cash flow of $227.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $701.1M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is HAYW's 19.9x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.95x)?
HAYW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Hayward Holdings Inc. (HAYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investment management company First Pacific Advisors recently released its “FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value Fund” Q3 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The Fund returned -7.62% in the thir
HAYW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.81?
Revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow rose in each of the three reported periods while debt declined in FY 2025, an
Revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow rose in each of the three reported periods while debt declined in FY 2025, and the Insider Conviction pillar scored 16/20, the highest of the five.. When you look under the hood at HAYW, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 48.0% gross margins and 9.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $17.42. My 12M target is $20.47.
@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $16.12 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.
The stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 21.4 and EV/EBITDA of 13.9 with ROIC of 9.6% and a 0% dividend yield, and the Macro Regime Fit pilla
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on HAYW: The stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 21.4 and EV/EBITDA of 13.9 with ROIC of 9.6% and a 0% dividend yield, and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scored only 11/20.. At 21.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Industrial Machinery/Components triggers a 12-15% air pocket.