HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: HCMA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $10.32 (0.00% 1D, market cap $400.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HCMA ranks #375 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HCMA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CVEO (Civeo Corporation (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $371.8M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $285.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCMA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MSC leads on capital efficiency (2.3% ROIC).
Per HCMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002069856), HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share generated $108.5M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $258.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, HCMA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.30) or 200D SMA ($10.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.32) toward Bear Floor ($8.05).
HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) slipped 0.00% to $10.32, trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($10.03 – $10.33). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HCMA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HCMA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) ranks #375 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #610 by equity capitalization ($400.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCMA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MSC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.3% ROIC and — gross margin. HCMA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCMA
ACTIVE
HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $400.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| CVEO Civeo Corporation (Canada) | D | 44/100 | — | 23.7% | 0.9% | +0.39% | $371.8M | /cveo-vs-hcma → |
| PUSA Powerus Corporation | E | 26/100 | — | — | -22.8% | -4.44% | $285.3M | /pusa-vs-hcma → |
| BALY Bally's Corporation | E | 25/100 | — | — | -4.7% | 0.00% | $682.3M | /baly-vs-hcma → |
| MSC Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) | E | 28/100 | — | — | 2.3% | +25.59% | $165.3M | /msc-vs-hcma → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) reported GAAP revenue of $108.5M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HCMA closed FY2025 with $258.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $108.5M | $0 | — | — | $258.4M | — |
As of 2026-11-03, HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: HCMA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $10.32 (0.00% 1D, market cap $400.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HCMA ranks #375 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HCMA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CVEO (Civeo Corporation (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $371.8M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $285.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCMA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MSC leads on capital efficiency (2.3% ROIC).
Per HCMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002069856), HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share generated $108.5M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $258.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
HCMA last traded at $10.32 (0.00% on volume of 18,970 shares), positioning the stock +0.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.30) and +0.88% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.23). Across its 52-week range of $10.03 to $10.33, HCMA sits at the 96.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($10.13 to $10.51).
HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.32 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $400.5M).
HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) is listed on NASDAQ and classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and Hotels/Resorts industry,.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) reported $108.5M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $258.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
Operating in Hotels/Resorts (Consumer Discretionary), HCMA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
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The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 / 20 on an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.. When you look under the hood at HCMA, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (13/20) has been quietly accumulating below $10.33. My 12M target is $12.49.
@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Hotels/Resorts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Careful chasing HCMA at $10.32. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 10 / 20 with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%, and reported revenue is $0.0M.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $8.36 on multiple compression.
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