Yahoo Finance report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why HG Stock surged +3.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is HG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (NYSE: HG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $36.28 (+3.48% 1D, market cap $2.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HG ranks #521 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does HG compare to SPNT and AGO in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), HG carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPNT (SiriusPoint Ltd.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $3.01B) and AGO (Assured Guaranty Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 6.2x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGO leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while SPNT leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HG?
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Per HG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001593275), Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) generated $2.91B in revenue (+24.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $842.4M in free cash flow against $9.57B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29% FCF Margin ($842.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.4% realized swing band)
Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, HG faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.90) or 200D SMA ($32.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.79) toward Bear Floor ($27.92).
Why HG Stock surged +3.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) surged +3.48% to $36.28, trading at 93% of its 52-week range ($22.66 – $37.31). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 93% of its 52-week range ($22.66 – $37.31) with RSI-14 at 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.4% around $36.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $842.4M annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan maintains Hamilton Insurance Group (NYSE:HG) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $40 to $43.
Specialty insurance company Hamilton Insurance Group (NYSE:HG) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, with sales up 24% year on year to $828 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.78 per share was 96.5% above an
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HG)
- ✓Walkthrough of HG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
HG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +24.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HG)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HG vs. SPNT, AGO, NMIH, SKWD)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) ranks #521 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #371 by equity capitalization ($2.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGO leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while SPNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SKWD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with HG at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HG
ACTIVE
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | — | +3.48% | $2.92B | Benchmark Subject |
| SPNT SiriusPoint Ltd. | C | 63/100 | 6.6x | — | 18.6% | +0.50% | $3.01B | /spnt-vs-hg → |
| AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd. | D+ | 54/100 | 6.2x | — | 8.9% | +2.06% | $3.10B | /ago-vs-hg → |
| NMIH NMI Holdings Inc. | B | 73/100 | 8.4x | — | 15.0% | +1.76% | $3.21B | /nmih-vs-hg → |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. | B | 74/100 | 15.3x | — | 16.8% | +3.54% | $2.62B | /skwd-vs-hg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001593275 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.91B (+24.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.33B , and +84.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $842.4M, and free cash flow of $842.4M (+10.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HG closed FY2025 with $9.57B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.91B | $0 | $842.4M | $842.4M | $9.57B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.33B | $0 | $759.3M | $759.3M | $7.80B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.57B | $0 | $283.2M | $283.2M | — | — |
3. HG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (NYSE: HG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $36.28 (+3.48% 1D, market cap $2.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HG ranks #521 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HG compare to SPNT and AGO in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), HG carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPNT (SiriusPoint Ltd.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $3.01B) and AGO (Assured Guaranty Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 6.2x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGO leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while SPNT leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HG?
Per HG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001593275), Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) generated $2.91B in revenue (+24.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $842.4M in free cash flow against $9.57B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HG last traded at $36.28 (+3.48% on volume of 475,724 shares), positioning the stock +3.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.90) and +11.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($32.43). Across its 52-week range of $22.66 to $37.31, HG sits at the 93.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($34.32 to $38.24).
HG — Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $36.28 (+3.48% 1D, market capitalization $2.92B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Property-Casualty Insurers industry,. The profile does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. — for detailed product or customer information.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) reported $2.91B in annual revenue (up from $2.33B in FY2024, +24.7% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.57B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, HG scaled operating cash flow to $842.4M and free cash flow to $842.4M, backed by $9.57B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $22.66 – $37.31 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no upstream or downstream dependencies (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). No sector correlations or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. — for supply-chain dependency analysis.
- Key Question #1: Can HG sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.91B and free cash flow of $842.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is HG's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
HG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
HG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.28?
Reported revenue grew from $1.57B in FY 2023 to $2.91B in FY 2025, with FCF rising to $842.4M.
The street is overcomplicating Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) (HG). Reported revenue grew from $1.57B in FY 2023 to $2.91B in FY 2025, with FCF rising to $842.4M.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $37.86.
@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 55/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $35.06 and keeping dry powder in case we test $32.61.
The RQD rating scores HG at 52 (D+, Roarable Sell) with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0% and insider conviction at 7/20.
The RQD rating scores HG at 52 (D+, Roarable Sell) with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0% and insider conviction at 7/20.. Look at the math on HG: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Property-Casualty Insurers demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $30.85 before getting long.