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Stock Ratings / Financials / HIVE / forecast
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HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.71 -10.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.67

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $523.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HIVE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HIVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: HIVE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.71 (-10.47% 1D, market cap $523.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HIVE ranks #901 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HIVE compare to FWDI and ABTC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), HIVE carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -26.5%. By comparison, FWDI (Forward Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $484.4M) and ABTC (American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A)) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.1%, cap $483.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPFI leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while OPFI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HIVE?
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Per HIVE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001720424), HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. generated $297.8M in revenue (+158.3% YoY), -$148.4M in net income, and $62.3M in free cash flow against $624.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.67 (-2.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 20.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE HIVE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HIVE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HIVE SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.9% FCF Margin ($62.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$2.37-16.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$1.98+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$2.02-15.3% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$1.71-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HIVE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HIVE currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.68) and Max Pain ($1.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.87.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HIVE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HIVE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HIVE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.71: 5848.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.23
$7,193
$-2,807 (-28.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.58
$9,240
$-760 (-7.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $5.87
$34,327
+$24,327 (+243.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HIVE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HIVE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HIVE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.23%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.07H $2.07L $1.71C $1.71VOL 19.01M
RES: $2.74SUP: $0.64SMA50: $2.68SMA200: $2.82
$5.59$4.54$3.49$2.44$1.38RES $2.74SUP $0.64$1.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HIVE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HIVE Butterfly Map → + Track HIVE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +158.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HIVE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HIVE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HIVE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HIVE)

Financials Rank #901 of 1097 ⚔️ FWDI vs HIVE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HIVE vs. FWDI, ABTC, OPFI, WYFI)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) ranks #901 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #688 by equity capitalization ($523.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPFI leads on earnings valuation at 19.0x trailing P/E, while OPFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with HIVE at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HIVE ACTIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.
D- 41/100 — — -26.5% -10.47% $523.9M Benchmark Subject
FWDI
Forward Industries Inc.
E 29/100 — — -0.8% -5.67% $484.4M /fwdi-vs-hive →
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A)
E 23/100 — — -27.1% -7.38% $483.5M /abtc-vs-hive →
OPFI
OppFi Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 19.0x — 85.0% -0.36% $478.9M /opfi-vs-hive →
WYFI
WhiteFiber Inc.
E 30/100 — — -5.8% -10.62% $469.1M /wyfi-vs-hive →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001720424 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) reported GAAP revenue of $297.8M (+158.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $115.3M , and +160.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$148.4M, operating cash flow of $62.3M, and free cash flow of $62.3M (+274.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, HIVE closed FY2025 with $624.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $297.8M -$148.4M $62.3M $62.3M $624.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $115.3M -$3.0M $16.6M $16.6M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $114.5M $26.5M $9.6M $9.6M — —

3. HIVE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HIVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: HIVE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.71 (-10.47% 1D, market cap $523.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, HIVE ranks #901 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HIVE compare to FWDI and ABTC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), HIVE carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -26.5%. By comparison, FWDI (Forward Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $484.4M) and ABTC (American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A)) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.1%, cap $483.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPFI leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while OPFI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HIVE?

Per HIVE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001720424), HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. generated $297.8M in revenue (+158.3% YoY), -$148.4M in net income, and $62.3M in free cash flow against $624.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HIVE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HIVE last traded at $1.71 (-10.47% on volume of 11,374,204 shares), positioning the stock -36.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.68) and -39.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.82). Across its 52-week range of $1.73 to $5.59, HIVE sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.50 to $1.92).

Direct Sub-Reports: HIVE RQD Cockpit HIVE 12M Forecast HIVE Earnings & Move HIVE Dividends & DRIP HIVE Insiders & 13F HIVE Whale Options HIVE Profit Sankey HIVE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HIVE — HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.71 (-10.47% 1D, market capitalization $523.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -26.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 10.98%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Finance: Consumer Services industry. The market capitalization is listed as $0.6B. — for the specifics of how the company earns revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) reported $297.8M in annual revenue (up from $115.3M in FY2024, +158.3% YoY) and -$148.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($114.5M revenue, $26.5M net income) through FY2025, HIVE scaled operating cash flow to $62.3M and free cash flow to $62.3M, backed by $624.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 10.98% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.73 – $5.59 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can HIVE sustain or expand its — operating margin and -26.5% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $297.8M and free cash flow of $62.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HIVE's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HIVE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HIVE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HIVE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HIVE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HIVE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.35 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 10.98% FCF yield and $62.3M of FY 2025 free cash flow show the business is generating cash despite its net loss.

The street is overcomplicating HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE). A 10.98% FCF yield and $62.3M of FY 2025 free cash flow show the business is generating cash despite its net loss.. With an RQD score of 41/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $2.06.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — HIVE's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.64 (-14.1%)
Spot @ $1.91

Net margin of -49.8%, ROIC of -26.5%, and a 4/20 institutional flow score point to weak returns and little smart-money support.

Careful chasing HIVE at $1.91. Net margin of -49.8%, ROIC of -26.5%, and a 4/20 institutional flow score point to weak returns and little smart-money support.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.64 on multiple compression.

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