INNIO N.V. (INIO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$16.30 -6.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.06

INNIO N.V. (INIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $13.14B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is INIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, INNIO N.V. (NASDAQ: INIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $16.30 (-6.96% 1D, market cap $13.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does INIO compare to GNRC and FELE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Metal Fabrications), INIO carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, GNRC (Generac Holdlings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 74.3x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $12.00B) and FELE (Franklin Electric Co. Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 29.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $4.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMSC leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while INIO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INIO?
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Per INIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002109150), INNIO N.V. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.90B in total assets and $2.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.07 (-1.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (3)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$45 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE INIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for INIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY INIO SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$18.31-11.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$16.23+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$16.98-4% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$16.30-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a INIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While INIO currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.90) and Max Pain ($17.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $45.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $INIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “INIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$2.04 Expected Swing
$14.26 (-12.5%)Spot $16.30$18.34 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

INIO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $0.53 • YoY Revenue Growth: 19.8%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$0$052%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring INIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of INIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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INIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.66%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $18.35H $18.35L $16.30C $16.30VOL 8.80M
RES: $18.16SUP: $13.76SMA50: $18.90SMA200: $24.96
$44.94$36.71$28.48$20.25$12.03RES $18.16SUP $13.76$16.302026-06-082026-07-152026-08-202026-09-282026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

INIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on INIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for INIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for INIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (INIO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #620 of 1011 ⚔️ GNRC vs INIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (INIO vs. GNRC, FELE, AMSC, SCWO)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, INNIO N.V. (INIO) ranks #620 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #142 by equity capitalization ($13.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMSC leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while INIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and — gross margin. FELE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with INIO at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
INIO ACTIVE
INNIO N.V.
D 47/100 32.8x — 18.6% -6.96% $13.14B Benchmark Subject
GNRC
Generac Holdlings Inc.
D+ 53/100 74.3x 38.3% 6.6% -2.67% $12.00B /gnrc-vs-inio →
FELE
Franklin Electric Co. Inc.
C 62/100 29.1x 35.5% 13.2% -1.41% $4.27B /fele-vs-inio →
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
D 45/100 10.2x 30.5% 2.2% -3.56% $1.36B /amsc-vs-inio →
SCWO
374Water Inc.
E 28/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -1.20% $44.1M /scwo-vs-inio →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002109150

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), INNIO N.V. (INIO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, INIO closed FY2025 with $4.90B in total assets against $2.65B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.91, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 $0 $0 $4.90B $2.65B

3. INIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is INIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, INNIO N.V. (NASDAQ: INIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $16.30 (-6.96% 1D, market cap $13.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does INIO compare to GNRC and FELE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Metal Fabrications), INIO carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, GNRC (Generac Holdlings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 74.3x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $12.00B) and FELE (Franklin Electric Co. Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 29.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $4.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMSC leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while INIO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INIO?

Per INIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002109150), INNIO N.V. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.90B in total assets and $2.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is INIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

INIO last traded at $16.30 (-6.96% on volume of 7,955,286 shares), positioning the stock -13.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.90) and -34.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.96). Across its 52-week range of $14.58 to $42.95, INIO sits at the 6.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.26 to $18.34).

INIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is INIO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, INNIO N.V. (INIO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is INIO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for INIO, spanning a range between $14.26 and $18.34.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

INIO — INNIO N.V.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, INIO scores 47 out of 100, a D grade, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20 (ROIC 18.6%; FCF yield 2.21%); Whale 13F Flow 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 3/20 (Beta 0.93; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 12/20 (Altman Z 2.91; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 8.5).

For a prospective investor, the composite points to weak conviction across the framework. The cash-generation pillar is the most constructive input, with an 18.6% ROIC, but the 2.21% FCF yield limits the valuation cushion. The macro-fit pillar is the weakest at 3/20, which in this framework signals limited alignment with the current regime. Institutional flow (7/20) and macro fit together drive most of the downgrade. Valuation is a central tradeoff: the stock trades at 32.8x trailing earnings and 27.6x forward earnings per the market data, against a 2.21% FCF yield. Upside would depend on earnings growth or multiple stability, neither of which the RQD inputs confirm.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
17.52$13.14B32.827.623.10.530%0.93$14.58 - $42.9518.6%

Business

Sector: Consumer Discretionary. Industry: Metal Fabrications. Exchange: NASDAQ. Per the profile, INNIO N.V. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in Metal Fabrications with a market capitalization of $13.1B. Not available in source data: product lines, customer base, and revenue model detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$0.0M$689.5M$2647.4M

Per the SEC financials, the single reported period shows revenue, operating income, net income, and FCF each at $0.0M, which is not a usable income-statement read. Per the market data, the operating margin is 13.9%, the net margin is 10.9%, and the gross margin is 0%, which is inconsistent with the zeroed financials and should be treated as unresolved. Per the RQD pillars, ROIC is 18.6%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.91, and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 8.5 per the forensic pillar, and reported debt ($2647.4M) exceeds cash ($689.5M).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all five items are YELLOW-flagged "MARKET WIRE" items published within roughly 15 hours of the data timestamp: a Yahoo Finance Singapore quote page, a Seeking Alpha piece titled on valuation not generating necessary upside, a Simply Wall St stock analysis, a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote page, and a MarketScreener earnings flash reporting Q3 revenue of $1.17B against a FactSet estimate of $1.05B. A MarketBeat item cites a consensus target price of $42.20.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the proprietary LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND signal carries a Macro Tailwind Score of 96/100, severity 94, direction BULLISH. The signal notes True Net Liquidity at $5,746B after a -0.64% four-week contraction, a 2 bps widening in ICE BofA High-Yield OAS, a z-score of 6.1, and Net Liquidity Elasticity of 6.00x Beta against a correlation of r=-0.30. Risk watch: this bullish directional signal sits alongside a 3/20 Macro Regime Fit pillar and a -4.52% daily price change, so the two framings diverge.

Open Questions

  • The financials show $0.0M for revenue, operating income, net income, and FCF, while the market data shows a 13.9% operating margin and 10.9% net margin. Which figures are correct?
  • What are the upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and product lines behind the Metal Fabrications classification?
  • What is the consensus rating breakdown and the full analyst price-target range behind the $42.20 reference?
  • What specific insider, 13F, and Congressional transactions make up the 13/20 and 7/20 pillar scores?
  • What drove the Q3 revenue print of $1.17B relative to the $1.05B estimate, and how does it reconcile with the zeroed annual financials?

INIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for INNIO N.V. (INIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to INIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

INIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.30?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON INIO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on INIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $18.92 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is INIO (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $17.52?

Welcome to the INIO (INNIO N.V.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Metal Fabrications. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.19 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $17.52

Pump the brakes on INIO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on INIO, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless INNIO N.V. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.37 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $17.52

INIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on INIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Fabrications and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.52 (52-wk range $14.58 - $42.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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