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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / KBH / forecast
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KB Home (KBH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$47.94 +0.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.90

KB Home (KBH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.91B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, KB Home (NYSE: KBH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $47.94 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KBH ranks #481 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KBH compare to MHO and GRBK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), KBH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, MHO (M/I Homes Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 8.0x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $3.21B) and GRBK (Green Brick Partners Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 18.5%, cap $2.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBH leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBH?
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Per KBH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000795266), KB Home generated $6.24B in revenue (-10.0% YoY), $428.8M in net income, and $287.3M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.90 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$71 Bull$47 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE KBH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KBH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KBH SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.6% FCF Margin ($287.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.7) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$42.20+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$43.36+7.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$46.77+2.5% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$47.94-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KBH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KBH currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.72) and Max Pain ($50.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $70.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KBH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KBH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your KBH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $47.94: 208.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $36.55
$7,624
$-2,376 (-23.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $46.86
$9,775
$-225 (-2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $70.95
$14,800
+$4,800 (+48.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$6769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$4258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KBH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KBH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KBH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.31%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $47.66H $47.94L $47.66C $47.94VOL 885.5K
RES: $48.74SUP: $37.87SMA50: $47.72SMA200: $53.49
$65.22$58.63$52.05$45.46$38.88RES $48.74SUP $37.87$47.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KBH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KBH Butterfly Map → + Track KBH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-8.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KBH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KBH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KBH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KBH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #481 of 1009 ⚔️ MHO vs KBH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KBH vs. MHO, GRBK, GEO, MTH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, KB Home (KBH) ranks #481 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #363 by equity capitalization ($2.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBH leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. MTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with KBH at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KBH ACTIVE
KB Home
D+ 53/100 6.8x — 11.0% +0.59% $2.91B Benchmark Subject
MHO
M/I Homes Inc.
D 48/100 8.0x 23.0% 12.6% -0.05% $3.21B /mho-vs-kbh →
GRBK
Green Brick Partners Inc.
D+ 56/100 7.7x 31.4% 18.5% -2.67% $2.58B /grbk-vs-kbh →
GEO
Geo Group Inc
D 47/100 14.8x — 6.6% -0.07% $3.75B /geo-vs-kbh →
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
C- 59/100 9.3x — 8.0% -0.03% $4.20B /mth-vs-kbh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0000795266 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), KB Home (KBH) reported GAAP revenue of $6.24B (-10.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.93B , and -2.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $428.8M, operating cash flow of $335.7M, and free cash flow of $287.3M (-11.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, KBH closed FY2025 with $6.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-11-30 $6.24B $428.8M $335.7M $287.3M $6.68B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-11-30 $6.93B $655.0M $362.7M $323.4M $6.94B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-11-30 $6.41B $590.2M $1.08B $1.08B — —

3. KBH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, KB Home (NYSE: KBH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $47.94 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KBH ranks #481 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KBH compare to MHO and GRBK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), KBH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, MHO (M/I Homes Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 8.0x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $3.21B) and GRBK (Green Brick Partners Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 18.5%, cap $2.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBH leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBH?

Per KBH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000795266), KB Home generated $6.24B in revenue (-10.0% YoY), $428.8M in net income, and $287.3M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KBH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KBH last traded at $47.94 (+0.59% on volume of 885,529 shares), positioning the stock +0.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.72) and -10.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.49). Across its 52-week range of $40.92 to $67.57, KBH sits at the 26.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($44.68 to $51.20).

Direct Sub-Reports: KBH RQD Cockpit KBH 12M Forecast KBH Earnings & Move KBH Dividends & DRIP KBH Insiders & 13F KBH Whale Options KBH Profit Sankey KBH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KBH — KB Home: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-11-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

KB Home (KBH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $47.94 (+0.59% 1D, market capitalization $2.91B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 9.92%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

KB Home is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Homebuilding industry, with a market capitalization of $2.9B. The company operates as a homebuilder.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-11-30), KB Home (KBH) reported $6.24B in annual revenue (up from $6.93B in FY2024, -10.0% YoY) and $428.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.41B revenue, $590.2M net income) through FY2025, KBH scaled operating cash flow to $335.7M and free cash flow to $287.3M, backed by $6.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 9.92% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $40.92 – $67.57 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 6.8x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only cross-sector reference in the news is the yield-driven rally headline, which suggests rate sensitivity, consistent with Beta 1.0 and the Macro Regime Fit pillar score of 7 / 20.

  • Key Question #1: Can KBH sustain or expand its — operating margin and 11.0% ROIC against Homebuilding peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.24B and free cash flow of $287.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KBH's 6.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KBH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for KB Home (KBH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KBH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KBH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.94?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KBH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KBH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.53 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Trades at 6.8x TTM earnings and a 9.92% FCF yield while carrying a 2.37% dividend yield.

Long KBH at $47.94 targeting $57.53. Trades at 6.8x TTM earnings and a 9.92% FCF yield while carrying a 2.37% dividend yield.. Institutional whale score is 9/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $40.92 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $47.94 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.43 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $47.94

Revenue fell from $6.93B to $6.24B and the Piotroski F-Score is only 3/9, with weak whale-flow and macro-fit pillar scores.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on KBH: Revenue fell from $6.93B to $6.24B and the Piotroski F-Score is only 3/9, with weak whale-flow and macro-fit pillar scores.. At 6.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Homebuilding triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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