RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Stock Sees Fair Value Cut After Mixed Analyst ResetsYahoo Finance report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why KBH Stock advanced +0.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$47.94 +0.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.90
KB Home (KBH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.91B
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Is KBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, KB Home (NYSE: KBH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $47.94 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KBH ranks #481 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does KBH compare to MHO and GRBK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), KBH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, MHO (M/I Homes Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 8.0x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $3.21B) and GRBK (Green Brick Partners Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 18.5%, cap $2.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBH leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBH?
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Per KBH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000795266), KB Home generated $6.24B in revenue (-10.0% YoY), $428.8M in net income, and $287.3M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.90 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KBH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KBH SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.6% FCF Margin ($287.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.7) create a -13 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$42.20+2.7% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$43.36+7.9% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$46.77+2.5% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D+$47.94-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KBH Turnaround Squeeze
While KBH currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.72) and Max Pain ($50.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $70.95.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KBH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KBH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why KBH Stock advanced +0.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
KB Home (KBH) advanced +0.59% to $47.94, trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($40.92 – $67.57). Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($40.92 – $67.57) with RSI-14 at 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.8% around $47.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $287.3M annual free cash flow.
Live KBH Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Stock Could Stay Under Pressure Following The Yield Driven RallyYahoo Finance report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREThe Globe and Mail • 1d ago
3 Reasons to Avoid KBH and 1 Stock to Buy InsteadThe Globe and Mail report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
A new St. Augustine community opens 5 miles from Vilano BeachStock Titan report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 1d ago
StoneX initiates coverage of Toll Brothers, D.R. Horton, KB Home (TOL:NYSE)Seeking Alpha report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Short Interest & Short Float | Updated Nov 2026 $KBHMarketBeat report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 1d ago
What KB Home Holders Got Wrong Before The SlideSimply Wall St report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Could Be 9% Undervalued After Its Earnings BeatYahoo Finance report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on ItZacks.com users have recently been watching KB Home (KBH) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
D.R. Horton's Q4 Earnings Miss on Weak Housing Demand, Sales BeatDHI's Q4 results reveal a widening gap between revenues and profitability as weak housing demand and higher incentives squeeze margins.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KBH)
- ✓Walkthrough of KBH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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KBH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.31%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $47.66H $47.94L $47.66C $47.94VOL 885.5K
RES: $48.74SUP: $37.87SMA50: $47.72SMA200: $53.49
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
KBH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-8.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -10.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KBH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KBH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KBH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KBH)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #481 of 1009
⚔️ MHO vs KBH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KBH vs. MHO, GRBK, GEO, MTH)
Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, KB Home (KBH) ranks #481 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #363 by equity capitalization ($2.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBH leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. MTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with KBH at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBH
ACTIVE
KB Home | D+ | 53/100 | 6.8x | — | 11.0% | +0.59% | $2.91B | Benchmark Subject |
| MHO M/I Homes Inc. | D | 48/100 | 8.0x | 23.0% | 12.6% | -0.05% | $3.21B | /mho-vs-kbh → |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 7.7x | 31.4% | 18.5% | -2.67% | $2.58B | /grbk-vs-kbh → |
| GEO Geo Group Inc | D | 47/100 | 14.8x | — | 6.6% | -0.07% | $3.75B | /geo-vs-kbh → |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corporation | C- | 59/100 | 9.3x | — | 8.0% | -0.03% | $4.20B | /mth-vs-kbh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0000795266 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), KB Home (KBH) reported GAAP revenue of $6.24B (-10.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.93B , and -2.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $428.8M, operating cash flow of $335.7M, and free cash flow of $287.3M (-11.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, KBH closed FY2025 with $6.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-11-30 | $6.24B | $428.8M | $335.7M | $287.3M | $6.68B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-11-30 | $6.93B | $655.0M | $362.7M | $323.4M | $6.94B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-11-30 | $6.41B | $590.2M | $1.08B | $1.08B | — | — |
3. KBH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs KBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, KB Home (NYSE: KBH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $47.94 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KBH ranks #481 in composite RQD confidence.
How does KBH compare to MHO and GRBK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), KBH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, MHO (M/I Homes Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 8.0x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $3.21B) and GRBK (Green Brick Partners Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 18.5%, cap $2.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBH leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBH?
Per KBH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000795266), KB Home generated $6.24B in revenue (-10.0% YoY), $428.8M in net income, and $287.3M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is KBH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
KBH last traded at $47.94 (+0.59% on volume of 885,529 shares), positioning the stock +0.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.72) and -10.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.49). Across its 52-week range of $40.92 to $67.57, KBH sits at the 26.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($44.68 to $51.20).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
KBH — KB Home: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-11-30
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
KB Home (KBH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $47.94 (+0.59% 1D, market capitalization $2.91B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 9.92%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
KB Home is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Homebuilding industry, with a market capitalization of $2.9B. The company operates as a homebuilder.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-11-30), KB Home (KBH) reported $6.24B in annual revenue (up from $6.93B in FY2024, -10.0% YoY) and $428.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.41B revenue, $590.2M net income) through FY2025, KBH scaled operating cash flow to $335.7M and free cash flow to $287.3M, backed by $6.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 9.92% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $40.92 – $67.57 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 6.8x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The only cross-sector reference in the news is the yield-driven rally headline, which suggests rate sensitivity, consistent with Beta 1.0 and the Macro Regime Fit pillar score of 7 / 20.
- Key Question #1: Can KBH sustain or expand its — operating margin and 11.0% ROIC against Homebuilding peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.24B and free cash flow of $287.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is KBH's 6.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
KBH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for KB Home (KBH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Stock Sees Fair Value Cut After Mixed Analyst Resets Yahoo Finance report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Stock Could Stay Under Pressure Following The Yield Driven Rally Yahoo Finance report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago
3 Reasons to Avoid KBH and 1 Stock to Buy Instead The Globe and Mail report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
A new St. Augustine community opens 5 miles from Vilano Beach Stock Titan report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
StoneX initiates coverage of Toll Brothers, D.R. Horton, KB Home (TOL:NYSE) Seeking Alpha report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Short Interest & Short Float | Updated Nov 2026 $KBH MarketBeat report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago
What KB Home Holders Got Wrong Before The Slide Simply Wall St report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
KB Home (KBH) Could Be 9% Undervalued After Its Earnings Beat Yahoo Finance report covering KB Home (KBH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
KBH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.94?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KBH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $57.53 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Trades at 6.8x TTM earnings and a 9.92% FCF yield while carrying a 2.37% dividend yield.
Long KBH at $47.94 targeting $57.53. Trades at 6.8x TTM earnings and a 9.92% FCF yield while carrying a 2.37% dividend yield.. Institutional whale score is 9/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $40.92 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL
@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $47.94 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $36.43 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $47.94 Revenue fell from $6.93B to $6.24B and the Piotroski F-Score is only 3/9, with weak whale-flow and macro-fit pillar scores.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on KBH: Revenue fell from $6.93B to $6.24B and the Piotroski F-Score is only 3/9, with weak whale-flow and macro-fit pillar scores.. At 6.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Homebuilding triggers a 12-15% air pocket.