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OUST (31) CHRN (25) LUNR (27) QS (29) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$30.72 +5.57% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.97

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.22B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Kennametal Inc. (NYSE: KMT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $30.72 (+5.57% 1D, market cap $2.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KMT ranks #198 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KMT compare to OUST and CHRN in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), KMT carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, OUST (Ouster Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.1%, cap $2.14B) and CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMT?
β–Ό

Per KMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000055242), Kennametal Inc. generated $1.97B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $98.7M in net income, and $119.4M in free cash flow against $2.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.97 (+0.81%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 6.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (5)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$46 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE KMT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY KMT SCORES 53/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($119.4M FCF) & 30.4% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$31.32-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$31.21-4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$29.87+2.8% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$30.72-0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (61) β†’ D+ (53)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KMT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While KMT currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($30.40) and Max Pain ($32.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.00.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KMTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œKMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KMT)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KMT.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KMT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of KMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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KMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.43%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $30.18H $30.72L $29.10C $30.72VOL 907.5K
RES: $38.39SUP: $28.64SMA50: $30.40SMA200: $34.59
$44.87$40.47$36.07$31.67$27.27RES $38.39SUP $28.64$30.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ KMT Butterfly Map β†’ + Track KMT β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KMT)

Industrials Rank #198 of 486 βš”οΈ OUST vs KMT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KMT vs. OUST, CHRN, LUNR, QS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kennametal Inc. (KMT) ranks #198 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #200 by equity capitalization ($2.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while KMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.5% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. KMT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KMT ACTIVE
Kennametal Inc.
D+ 53/100 23.4x 30.4% 9.5% +5.57% $2.22B Benchmark Subject
OUST
Ouster Inc.
E 31/100 β€” 49.3% -30.1% -5.11% $2.14B /oust-vs-kmt β†’
CHRN
ChronoScale Holdings Corporation
E 25/100 β€” 9.6% -9.3% -9.39% $2.09B /chrn-vs-kmt β†’
LUNR
Intuitive Machines Inc.
E 27/100 β€” β€” -32.2% -7.59% $2.44B /lunr-vs-kmt β†’
QS
QuantumScape Corporation (Class A)
E 29/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -0.98% $2.53B /qs-vs-kmt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0000055242 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Kennametal Inc. (KMT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.97B (-3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.05B , and -5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.7M, operating cash flow of $208.3M, and free cash flow of $119.4M (-29.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KMT closed FY2025 with $2.60B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $1.97B $98.7M $208.3M $119.4M $2.60B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $2.05B $109.3M $277.1M $169.5M $2.44B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $2.08B $118.5M $257.9M $257.9M β€” β€”

3. KMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Kennametal Inc. (NYSE: KMT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $30.72 (+5.57% 1D, market cap $2.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KMT ranks #198 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KMT compare to OUST and CHRN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), KMT carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.4x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, OUST (Ouster Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.1%, cap $2.14B) and CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMT?

Per KMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000055242), Kennametal Inc. generated $1.97B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $98.7M in net income, and $119.4M in free cash flow against $2.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KMT last traded at $30.72 (+5.57% on volume of 2,158,878 shares), positioning the stock +1.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.40) and -11.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.59). Across its 52-week range of $21.70 to $43.81, KMT sits at the 40.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.5% ($28.72 to $32.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: KMT RQD Cockpit KMT 12M Forecast KMT Earnings & Move KMT Dividends & DRIP KMT Insiders & 13F KMT Whale Options KMT Profit Sankey KMT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 53/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KMT β€” Kennametal Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $30.72 (+5.57% 1D, market capitalization $2.22B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.5%, gross margin of 30.4%, operating margin of 7.3%, and free cash flow yield of 5.18%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.04, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Kennametal Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry..3B. β€” for further detail on what it sells or to whom.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Kennametal Inc. (KMT) reported $1.97B in annual revenue (up from $2.05B in FY2024, -3.9% YoY) and $98.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.08B revenue, $118.5M net income) through FY2025, KMT scaled operating cash flow to $208.3M and free cash flow to $119.4M, backed by $2.60B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 53/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 5.18% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.70 – $43.81 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 23.4x trailing P/E and 9.9x EV/EBITDA against 7.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are recorded. β€” for supplier, customer, or sector-correlation dependencies. The only sector-adjacent reference in the source is the tungsten deadline headline in the news feed, which indicates a possible raw-material sensitivity worth investigating but is not characterized in the data.

  • Key Question #1: Can KMT sustain or expand its 7.3% operating margin and 9.5% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.97B and free cash flow of $119.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KMT's 21.8x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KMT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kennametal Inc. (KMT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to KMT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KMT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $30.72?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KMT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KMT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.83 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar (13/20 with ROIC 9.5% and FCF yield 5.18%) and insider conviction (15/2

Here is why I am bullish on KMT here at $29.10: Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar (13/20 with ROIC 9.5% and FCF yield 5.18%) and insider conviction (15/20) indicate underlying cash generation and insider support.. Compare KMT's 7.3% operating margin and 9.5% ROIC against the rest of Industrial Machinery/Components. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $27.64 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $29.10 and keeping dry powder in case we test $27.06.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.83 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $29.10

Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $2.08B to $1.97B and free cash flow fell from $257.9M to $119.4M across the reported peri

Careful chasing KMT at $29.10. Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $2.08B to $1.97B and free cash flow fell from $257.9M to $119.4M across the reported periods, while the RQD verdict is Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim.. Gross margin is 30.4%, but operating margin is 7.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $21.83 on multiple compression.

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