RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 1d ago
LGI Homes (LGIH) Stock Still Looks Reasonable Despite Its 70% FallYahoo Finance report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why LGIH Stock surged +6.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$47.42 +6.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.92
LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $1.03B
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Is LGIH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, LGI Homes Inc. (NASDAQ: LGIH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $47.42 (+6.87% 1D, market cap $1.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LGIH ranks #898 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LGIH compare to DFH and CCS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LGIH carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.0x, gross margin of 20.7%, and ROIC of 3.0%. By comparison, DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $886.3M) and CCS (Century Communities Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 10.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LGIH?
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Per LGIH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580670), LGI Homes Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (-22.6% YoY), $72.6M in net income, and -$140.9M in free cash flow against $3.93B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.92 (+1.05%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LGIH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LGIH SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 1.60 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+7/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 35% Net Buy • Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$45.29-4.8% Next Q
20
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$43.10-0.8% Next Q
23
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$42.77+10.9% Next Q
25
CurrentGrade E$47.42-10% Hist 90D α
28
Trajectory: E (20) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LGIH Turnaround Squeeze
While LGIH currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($48.05) and Max Pain ($49.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $69.56.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LGIH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LGIH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LGIH Stock surged +6.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) surged +6.87% to $47.42, trading at 42% of its 52-week range ($33.55 – $66.25). Stretched risk/reward at 14x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 42% of its 52-week range ($33.55 – $66.25) with RSI-14 at 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.4% around $47.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 20.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LGIH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 1d ago
LGI Homes Will Likely Continue Underperforming The Market (NASDAQ:LGIH)Seeking Alpha report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 1d ago
LGI Homes stock price target maintained at $93 by CitizensInvesting.com report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStockInvest.us • 1d ago
Lgi Homes Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy LGIH?StockInvest.us report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
LGI Homes, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:LGIHTradingView report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
LGI Homes (LGIH) Could Be 54% Undervalued On Its Growth NarrativeYahoo Finance report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHGuruFocus • 1d ago
LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) Shares Fall 4.5% -- What GF Score of 63 TelGuruFocus report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH) Stock Now Rated "Hold" by Sell-Side AnalystsMarketBeat report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
Earnings to watch: LGI Homes (LGIH) reports Q3 results tomorrowAffordable single-family home construction company LGI Homes (NASDAQ:LGIH) will be reporting earnings this Tuesday before the bell. Here’s what investors should know.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
3 industrials stocks with warning signsWhether you see them or not, industrials businesses play a crucial part in our daily activities. But they are at the whim of volatile macroeconomic factors that influence capital spending (like interest rates), and the m
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LGIH)
- ✓Walkthrough of LGIH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LGIH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.66%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $43.74H $47.42L $43.74C $47.42VOL 262.2K
RES: $44.86SUP: $37.17SMA50: $48.05SMA200: $50.14
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LGIH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
5.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LGIH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LGIH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LGIH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LGIH)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #898 of 1009
⚔️ DFH vs LGIH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LGIH vs. DFH, CCS, LEGH, HOV)
Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) ranks #898 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #504 by equity capitalization ($1.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with LGIH at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LGIH
ACTIVE
LGI Homes Inc. | E | 28/100 | 14.0x | 20.7% | 3.0% | +6.87% | $1.03B | Benchmark Subject |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | 4.2x | — | 15.3% | +11.85% | $886.3M | /dfh-vs-lgih → |
| CCS Century Communities Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | 10.3x | — | 5.7% | +3.75% | $1.49B | /ccs-vs-lgih → |
| LEGH Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) | C+ | 68/100 | 16.5x | — | 7.4% | +9.54% | $698.3M | /legh-vs-lgih → |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | — | — | +5.54% | $592.5M | /hov-vs-lgih → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001580670 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.71B (-22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.20B , and -27.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $72.6M, operating cash flow of -$140.0M, and free cash flow of -$140.9M (+3.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LGIH closed FY2025 with $3.93B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.60, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.71B | $72.6M | -$140.0M | -$140.9M | $3.93B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.20B | $196.1M | -$143.7M | -$145.7M | $3.76B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.36B | $199.2M | -$57.0M | -$57.0M | — | — |
3. LGIH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LGIH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, LGI Homes Inc. (NASDAQ: LGIH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $47.42 (+6.87% 1D, market cap $1.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LGIH ranks #898 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LGIH compare to DFH and CCS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LGIH carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.0x, gross margin of 20.7%, and ROIC of 3.0%. By comparison, DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $886.3M) and CCS (Century Communities Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 10.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LGIH?
Per LGIH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580670), LGI Homes Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (-22.6% YoY), $72.6M in net income, and -$140.9M in free cash flow against $3.93B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LGIH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LGIH last traded at $47.42 (+6.87% on volume of 406,622 shares), positioning the stock -1.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($48.05) and -5.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($50.14). Across its 52-week range of $33.55 to $66.25, LGIH sits at the 42.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($42.01 to $52.83).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
LGIH — LGI Homes Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $47.42 (+6.87% 1D, market capitalization $1.03B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.0%, gross margin of 20.7%, operating margin of 4.7%, and free cash flow yield of -13.86%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.60, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
LGI Homes Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and Homebuilding industry. Per the market data, the company reports gross margin of 20.7%, operating margin of 4.7%, and net margin of 4.3%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) reported $1.71B in annual revenue (up from $2.20B in FY2024, -22.6% YoY) and $72.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.36B revenue, $199.2M net income) through FY2025, LGIH scaled operating cash flow to -$140.0M and free cash flow to -$140.9M, backed by $3.93B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -13.86% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $33.55 – $66.25 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 14.0x trailing P/E and 12.6x EV/EBITDA against 4.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Homebuilding (Consumer Discretionary), LGIH carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 20.7%.
- Key Question #1: Can LGIH sustain or expand its 4.7% operating margin and 3.0% ROIC against Homebuilding peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.71B and free cash flow of -$140.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is LGIH's 13.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
LGIH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
LGI Homes (LGIH) Stock Still Looks Reasonable Despite Its 70% Fall Yahoo Finance report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
LGI Homes Will Likely Continue Underperforming The Market (NASDAQ:LGIH) Seeking Alpha report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago
LGI Homes stock price target maintained at $93 by Citizens Investing.com report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago
Lgi Homes Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy LGIH? StockInvest.us report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
LGI Homes, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:LGIH TradingView report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
LGI Homes (LGIH) Could Be 54% Undervalued On Its Growth Narrative Yahoo Finance report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 1d ago
LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) Shares Fall 4.5% -- What GF Score of 63 Tel GuruFocus report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH) Stock Now Rated "Hold" by Sell-Side Analysts MarketBeat report covering LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
LGIH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.42?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LGIH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $53.24 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Trades at a P/E of 14 TTM and 13 forward with a $93 Citizens price target cited in the news wire.
Long LGIH at $44.37 targeting $53.24. Trades at a P/E of 14 TTM and 13 forward with a $93 Citizens price target cited in the news wire.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $33.55 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — LGIH's 7/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $36.38 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $44.37 Negative FCF yield of -13.86% and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 contradict the moderate earnings multiple.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LGIH: Negative FCF yield of -13.86% and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 contradict the moderate earnings multiple.. At 14.0x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Homebuilding triggers a 12-15% air pocket.