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XOS (56) CVGI (41) CAAS (49) MCRP (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.95 -3.76% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.94

AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $46.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LIDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, AEye Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LIDR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.95 (-3.76% 1D, market cap $46.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LIDR ranks #944 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LIDR compare to XOS and CVGI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LIDR carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XOS (Xos Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $38.7M) and CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $128.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIDR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CAAS leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIDR?
β–Ό

Per LIDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001818644), AEye Inc. (Class A) generated $233.0K in revenue (+15.3% YoY), -$34.0M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $90.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.94 (-0.87%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510025
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (5)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.7% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LIDR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LIDR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LIDR SCORES 25/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 6% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
17
Grade E$0.90+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
20
Grade E$0.90+15.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
22
Grade E$1.04-8.7% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$0.95-10.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (17) β†’ E (25)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LIDR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While LIDR currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.12) and Max Pain ($1.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.20.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LIDRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLIDR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

LIDR Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (LIDR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on LIDR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LIDR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LIDR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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LIDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.28%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.04H $1.04L $0.95C $0.95VOL 322.4K
RES: $1.30SUP: $0.68SMA50: $1.12SMA200: $1.52
$2.62$2.13$1.64$1.15$0.66RES $1.30SUP $0.68$0.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LIDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ LIDR Butterfly Map β†’ + Track LIDR β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIDR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LIDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LIDR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #944 of 1009 βš”οΈ XOS vs LIDR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LIDR vs. XOS, CVGI, CAAS, MCRP)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) ranks #944 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #816 by equity capitalization ($46.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIDR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CAAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 19.0% gross margin. XOS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with LIDR at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LIDR ACTIVE
AEye Inc. (Class A)
E 25/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -3.76% $46.2M Benchmark Subject
XOS
Xos Inc.
D+ 56/100 β€” 5.9% -35.0% -0.73% $38.7M /xos-vs-lidr β†’
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 10.5% -0.2% +0.32% $128.4M /cvgi-vs-lidr β†’
CAAS
China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share
D 49/100 β€” 19.0% 16.3% -0.93% $129.7M /caas-vs-lidr β†’
MCRP
Micropolis AI Robotics
D 49/100 β€” β€” β€” -4.36% $15.8M /mcrp-vs-lidr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001818644 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) reported GAAP revenue of $233.0K (+15.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $202.0K , and -84.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.0M, operating cash flow of -$27.8M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-2.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIDR closed FY2025 with $90.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $233.0K -$34.0M -$27.8M -$27.9M $90.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $202.0K -$35.5M -$26.6M -$27.1M $27.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.5M -$87.1M -$50.7M -$50.7M β€” β€”

3. LIDR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LIDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AEye Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LIDR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.95 (-3.76% 1D, market cap $46.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LIDR ranks #944 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LIDR compare to XOS and CVGI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LIDR carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XOS (Xos Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $38.7M) and CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $128.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIDR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CAAS leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIDR?

Per LIDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001818644), AEye Inc. (Class A) generated $233.0K in revenue (+15.3% YoY), -$34.0M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $90.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LIDR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LIDR last traded at $0.95 (-3.76% on volume of 465,268 shares), positioning the stock -15.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.12) and -37.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.52). Across its 52-week range of $0.81 to $3.05, LIDR sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.07).

Direct Sub-Reports: LIDR RQD Cockpit LIDR 12M Forecast LIDR Earnings & Move LIDR Dividends & DRIP LIDR Insiders & 13F LIDR Whale Options LIDR Profit Sankey LIDR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 25/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LIDR β€” AEye Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.95 (-3.76% 1D, market capitalization $46.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -30.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AEye Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts:O.E.M. Industry. The reported revenue of $0.2M for FY 2025 and $1.5M for FY 2023 indicates a very small top line relative to its operating losses.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) reported $233.0K in annual revenue (up from $202.0K in FY2024, +15.3% YoY) and -$34.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.5M revenue, -$87.1M net income) through FY2025, LIDR scaled operating cash flow to -$27.8M and free cash flow to -$27.9M, backed by $90.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.81 – $3.05 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records supply_chain as NONE with empty butterfly_links and proprietary_signals, so no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are documented in the source.

  • Key Question #1: Can LIDR sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $233.0K and free cash flow of -$27.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LIDR's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LIDR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LIDR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LIDR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.95?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LIDR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LIDR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.24 (+25.3%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Cash rose to $43.4M in FY 2025 from $10.3M in FY 2024, against a $48.5M market capitalization.

Don't sleep on LIDR's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Cash rose to $43.4M in FY 2025 from $10.3M in FY 2024, against a $48.5M market capitalization.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (25/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” LIDR's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.84 (-15.2%)
Spot @ $0.99

ROIC of -35%, an Altman Z of 0.2, and FY 2025 operating income of -$31.7M point to forensic distress risk.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LIDR: ROIC of -35%, an Altman Z of 0.2, and FY 2025 operating income of -$31.7M point to forensic distress risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Auto Parts:O.E.M. triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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