LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$68.64 +5.00% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.13

LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $21.12B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LYB Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LYB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (NYSE: LYB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $68.64 (+5.00% 1D, market cap $21.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LYB ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LYB compare to IFF and DD in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LYB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.5%, and ROIC of -2.5%. By comparison, IFF (International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $23.17B) and DD (DuPont de Nemours Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.5%, cap $18.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DOW leads on earnings multiple (36.2x) while DOW leads on capital efficiency (2.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYB?
β–Ό

Per LYB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001489393), LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) generated $30.15B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$738.0M in net income, and $384.0M in free cash flow against $34.00B in total assets and $7.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.13 (+0.71%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (13)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$88 Bull$68 Base$53 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LYB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LYB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LYB SCORES 57/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.3% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$60.01+6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$63.96+5.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$67.43+1.8% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$68.64-0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (49) β†’ D+ (57)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LYB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, LYB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($62.70) or 200D SMA ($63.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($68.33) toward Bear Floor ($53.30).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LYBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLYB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
5530 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.07>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE64% OF RANGE
L: $42$68.64H: $84
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (9% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on LYB

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

-2.5% ROIC with 8.5% gross margin and 1.82% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.07 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LYB
  • βœ“Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LYB)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LYB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LYB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.73%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $67.13H $68.64L $65.37C $68.64VOL 3.81M
RES: $68.74SUP: $50.73SMA50: $62.70SMA200: $63.98
$80.28$72.61$64.94$57.27$49.60RES $68.74SUP $50.73$68.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LYB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LYB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LYB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LYB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LYB)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LYB vs. IFF, DD, DOW, ALB)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #27 by equity capitalization ($21.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DOW leads on earnings valuation at 36.2x trailing P/E, while DOW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.8% ROIC and 6.3% gross margin. LYB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LYB ACTIVE
LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands)
D+ 57/100 β€” 8.5% -2.5% +5.00% $21.12B Benchmark Subject
IFF
International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.
D+ 52/100 β€” 36.2% -1.6% +2.43% $23.17B /iff-vs-lyb β†’
DD
DuPont de Nemours Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 34.5% 0.5% -0.38% $18.98B /dd-vs-lyb β†’
DOW
Dow Inc.
D 44/100 36.2x 6.3% 2.8% +3.21% $24.34B /dow-vs-lyb β†’
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
D 45/100 β€” 13.0% -2.6% -2.43% $11.01B /alb-vs-lyb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001489393

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) reported GAAP revenue of $30.15B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $33.39B , and -9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$738.0M, operating cash flow of $2.26B, and free cash flow of $384.0M (-80.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LYB closed FY2025 with $34.00B in total assets against $7.96B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.07, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $30.15B -$738.0M $2.26B $384.0M $34.00B $7.96B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $33.39B $1.37B $3.82B $1.98B $35.75B $8.36B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $33.34B $2.12B $4.94B $3.44B $40.00B $9.36B

3. LYB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LYB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (NYSE: LYB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $68.64 (+5.00% 1D, market cap $21.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LYB ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LYB compare to IFF and DD in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LYB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.5%, and ROIC of -2.5%. By comparison, IFF (International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $23.17B) and DD (DuPont de Nemours Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.5%, cap $18.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DOW leads on earnings multiple (36.2x) while DOW leads on capital efficiency (2.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYB?

Per LYB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001489393), LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) generated $30.15B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$738.0M in net income, and $384.0M in free cash flow against $34.00B in total assets and $7.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LYB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LYB last traded at $68.64 (+5.00% on volume of 4,653,479 shares), positioning the stock +9.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($62.70) and +7.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($63.98). Across its 52-week range of $41.58 to $83.94, LYB sits at the 63.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.3% ($64.32 to $72.96).

LYB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LYB stock right now?

LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell β€” SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is LYB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LYB's 12-month base price target is $68.33 (range $53.3 to $88.14), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 57/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LYB β€” LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LYB scores 57 out of 100, a D+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC of -2.5% and FCF yield of 1.82%), Whale 13F Flow at 13/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta of 1.05 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z of 2.07, Piotroski F of 5/9, Debt/Equity of 0.68). The weakest pillar is Forensic Balance Sheet, while the strongest is Whale 13F Flow. For a prospective investor, the rating indicates that the cash-generation and profitability pillars are the main drags, with the stock's negative ROIC and thin FCF yield weighing on the overall score. Valuation considerations include a forward P/E of 23 alongside negative trailing EPS of -2.28, and a dividend yield of 8.35%, which the rating does not reconcile against the negative earnings base. Upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in operating income, which the source data shows as negative in the latest reported year.

Business

Per the profile, LyondellBasell Industries NV Ordinary Shares Class A (Netherlands) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating in the Major Chemicals industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue mix. The profile identifies the company's sector and industry classification and its market capitalization of $21.1B. Revenue generation is reflected in the financials table but the specific business lines are not described in the source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$30153.0M$-420.0M$-738.0MN/A$384.0M$3443.0M$7956.7M
FY 2024$33394.0M$1918.0M$1367.0MN/A$1980.0M$3375.0M$8364.6M
FY 2023$33336.0M$2725.0M$2121.0MN/A$3441.9MN/A$9360.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $33336.0M in FY 2023 to $30153.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $2725.0M to $-420.0M over the same period. Per the market data, gross margin is 8.5%, operating margin is -1.4%, and net margin is -2.4%, with ROIC at -2.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Debt/Equity is 0.68 per the rating, and reported debt declined from $9360.7M in FY 2023 to $7956.7M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $3443.0M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's product mix and principal end markets, given that the source data gives only its sector and industry classification?
  • What drove the decline in operating income from $2725.0M in FY 2023 to $-420.0M in FY 2025, and is it cyclical or structural?
  • Why does the dividend yield of 8.35% coexist with negative trailing EPS and negative net income, and what is the dividend's coverage?
  • What explains the absence of a trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA in the source data, and how would these multiples compare to peers?
  • Which specific holders, insiders, or analysts are associated with the rating's whale and insider pillars, given that the holders and analyst sections are empty?

LYB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LYB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LYB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $68.64?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LYB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LYB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $70.60 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LYB (D+ β€’ RQD 57/100) a Buy at $65.37?

Welcome to the LYB (LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $54.26 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $65.37

Pump the brakes on LYB β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LYB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 8.5% gross margins. Unless LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $78.44 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $65.37

LYB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LYB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $65.37 (52-wk range $41.58 - $83.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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