Stock Ratings / Materials / LYB / options

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LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$68.64 +5.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.13

LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $21.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LYB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LYB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (NYSE: LYB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $68.64 (+5.00% 1D, market cap $21.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LYB ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LYB compare to IFF and DD in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LYB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.5%, and ROIC of -2.5%. By comparison, IFF (International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $23.17B) and DD (DuPont de Nemours Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.5%, cap $18.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DOW leads on earnings multiple (36.2x) while DOW leads on capital efficiency (2.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYB?

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Per LYB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001489393), LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) generated $30.15B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$738.0M in net income, and $384.0M in free cash flow against $34.00B in total assets and $7.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.13 (+0.71%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LYB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LYB SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$60.01+6.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$63.96+5.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$67.43+1.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$68.64-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LYB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, LYB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($62.70) or 200D SMA ($63.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($68.33) toward Bear Floor ($53.30).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LYB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LYB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LYB)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LYB.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LYB)

✓Walkthrough of LYB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LYB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.73%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $67.13H $68.64L $65.37C $68.64VOL 3.81M

RES: $68.74SUP: $50.73SMA50: $62.70SMA200: $63.98

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LYB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LYB Butterfly Map → + Track LYB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LYB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LYB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LYB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LYB)

Materials Rank #51 of 270 ⚔️ IFF vs LYB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LYB vs. IFF, DD, DOW, ALB)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #27 by equity capitalization ($21.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DOW leads on earnings valuation at 36.2x trailing P/E, while DOW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.8% ROIC and 6.3% gross margin. LYB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LYB ACTIVE LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands)	D+	57/100	—	8.5%	-2.5%	+5.00%	$21.12B	Benchmark Subject
IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.	D+	52/100	—	36.2%	-1.6%	+2.43%	$23.17B	/iff-vs-lyb →
DD DuPont de Nemours Inc.	D-	41/100	—	34.5%	0.5%	-0.38%	$18.98B	/dd-vs-lyb →
DOW Dow Inc.	D	44/100	36.2x	6.3%	2.8%	+3.21%	$24.34B	/dow-vs-lyb →
ALB Albemarle Corporation	D	45/100	—	13.0%	-2.6%	-2.43%	$11.01B	/alb-vs-lyb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001489393

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) reported GAAP revenue of $30.15B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $33.39B , and -9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$738.0M, operating cash flow of $2.26B, and free cash flow of $384.0M (-80.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LYB closed FY2025 with $34.00B in total assets against $7.96B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.07, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$30.15B	-$738.0M	$2.26B	$384.0M	$34.00B	$7.96B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$33.39B	$1.37B	$3.82B	$1.98B	$35.75B	$8.36B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$33.34B	$2.12B	$4.94B	$3.44B	$40.00B	$9.36B

3. LYB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LYB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LYB compare to IFF and DD in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYB?

Where is LYB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LYB last traded at $68.64 (+5.00% on volume of 4,653,479 shares), positioning the stock +9.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($62.70) and +7.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($63.98). Across its 52-week range of $41.58 to $83.94, LYB sits at the 63.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($64.32 to $72.96).

LYB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LYB's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for LYB.

Direct Sub-Reports: LYB RQD Cockpit LYB 12M Forecast LYB Earnings & Move LYB Dividends & DRIP LYB Insiders & 13F LYB Whale Options LYB Profit Sankey LYB News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LYB — LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LYB scores 57 out of 100, a D+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC of -2.5% and FCF yield of 1.82%), Whale 13F Flow at 13/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta of 1.05 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z of 2.07, Piotroski F of 5/9, Debt/Equity of 0.68). The weakest pillar is Forensic Balance Sheet, while the strongest is Whale 13F Flow. For a prospective investor, the rating indicates that the cash-generation and profitability pillars are the main drags, with the stock's negative ROIC and thin FCF yield weighing on the overall score. Valuation considerations include a forward P/E of 23 alongside negative trailing EPS of -2.28, and a dividend yield of 8.35%, which the rating does not reconcile against the negative earnings base. Upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in operating income, which the source data shows as negative in the latest reported year.

Business

Per the profile, LyondellBasell Industries NV Ordinary Shares Class A (Netherlands) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating in the Major Chemicals industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue mix. The profile identifies the company's sector and industry classification and its market capitalization of $21.1B. Revenue generation is reflected in the financials table but the specific business lines are not described in the source data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$30153.0M	$-420.0M	$-738.0M	N/A	$384.0M	$3443.0M	$7956.7M
FY 2024	$33394.0M	$1918.0M	$1367.0M	N/A	$1980.0M	$3375.0M	$8364.6M
FY 2023	$33336.0M	$2725.0M	$2121.0M	N/A	$3441.9M	N/A	$9360.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $33336.0M in FY 2023 to $30153.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $2725.0M to $-420.0M over the same period. Per the market data, gross margin is 8.5%, operating margin is -1.4%, and net margin is -2.4%, with ROIC at -2.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Debt/Equity is 0.68 per the rating, and reported debt declined from $9360.7M in FY 2023 to $7956.7M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $3443.0M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

What is the company's product mix and principal end markets, given that the source data gives only its sector and industry classification?
What drove the decline in operating income from $2725.0M in FY 2023 to $-420.0M in FY 2025, and is it cyclical or structural?
Why does the dividend yield of 8.35% coexist with negative trailing EPS and negative net income, and what is the dividend's coverage?
What explains the absence of a trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA in the source data, and how would these multiples compare to peers?
Which specific holders, insiders, or analysts are associated with the rating's whale and insider pillars, given that the holders and analyst sections are empty?

LYB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) (LYB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LYB Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 1d ago

LyondellBasell (LYB) Stock Rallies On Q3 Earnings And Cash Strength

LyondellBasell came into this Q3 2026 report with a stock that had already been rebuilding confidence over the past month; then the latest numbers lit a fresh spark. The share price jumped 5% to US$68.64 on the first ful

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🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 1d ago

LyondellBasell Stock Faces Earnings Miss After Houston Refinery Sale

LyondellBasell Industries reported third quarter 2026 revenue of US$8.5 billion, with net income of about US$758 million, reversing a prior year loss and turning earnings per share from a deficit into a profit. The group

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 1d ago

LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) Returns To Profit And Sells Houston Site, Is It Fully Priced?

LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) is back in focus after its third quarter 2026 update, which paired a return to profit with an asset sale that reshapes the business footprint. LyondellBasell Industries has ridden thi

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 2d ago

LyondellBasell Industries Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) reported third-quarter EBITDA of $1.5 billion and earnings of $2.54 per diluted share, excluding identified items, as record results in its Intermediates and Derivatives business part

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 3d ago

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby summary of LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s Q3 2026 earnings call

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 3d ago

LyondellBasell (LYB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Record I&D segment profitability and $320.5M refinery sale drive cash generation.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 3d ago

Compared to Estimates, LyondellBasell (LYB) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

The headline numbers for LyondellBasell (LYB) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended September 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the

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🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 3d ago

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 30, 2026 11:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsDavid Dennison - Head of Investor RelationsPeter...

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LYB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $68.64?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LYB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $70.60 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LYB (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $65.37?

Welcome to the LYB (LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $54.26 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $65.37

Pump the brakes on LYB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LYB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 8.5% gross margins. Unless LyondellBasell Industries NV Class A (Netherlands) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $78.44 (+20.0%)

Spot @ $65.37

LYB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LYB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $65.37 (52-wk range $41.58 - $83.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.