MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
Marathon Bancorp, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:MBBCTradingView report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MBBC Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$14.52 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.49
Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $43.7M
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Is MBBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Marathon Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: MBBC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $14.52 (0.00% 1D, market cap $43.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MBBC ranks #516 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MBBC compare to TCBS and FNWB in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Banks), MBBC carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, TCBS (Texas Community Bancshares Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 17.5x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $49.6M) and FNWB (First Northwest Bancorp) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.7%, cap $97.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCBS leads on earnings multiple (17.5x) while TCBS leads on capital efficiency (5.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBBC?
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Per MBBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001835385), Marathon Bancorp Inc. generated $104.2M in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $42.0K in net income, and $1.3M in free cash flow against $248.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.49 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MBBC SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$14.84-2.6% Next Q
64
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$14.45+0.5% Next Q
61
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$14.52+0% Next Q
59
CurrentGrade D+$14.52-0.4% Hist 90D α
56
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MBBC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, MBBC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.96) or 200D SMA ($14.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.39) toward Bear Floor ($11.22).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MBBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MBBC Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) slipped 0.00% to $14.52, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($10.53 – $15.79). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($10.53 – $15.79) with RSI-14 at 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $14.52 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.3M annual free cash flow.
Live MBBC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance UK • 1d ago
Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance UK report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREhttps://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
Marathon Bancorp (MBBC) Holds Steady at $14.52 as Shares Sit at the Midpoint of a Well-Defined Range - Bollinger Squeezehttps://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingKey • 1d ago
Most Active Stocks Today: U.S. MarketTradingKey report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTTradingKey • 2d ago
Top U.S. Stock Gainers: Biggest Price IncreasesTradingKey report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 2d ago
Commerzbank AG (CRZBY) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBBC)
- ✓Walkthrough of MBBC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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MBBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $14.52H $14.52L $14.52C $14.52VOL 178
RES: $15.17SUP: $14.06SMA50: $14.96SMA200: $14.41
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MBBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +13.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBBC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBBC)
Financials Rank #516 of 1097
⚔️ TCBS vs MBBC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MBBC vs. TCBS, FNWB, BSBK, WSBK)
Industry: Banks (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) ranks #516 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #1020 by equity capitalization ($43.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TCBS leads on earnings valuation at 17.5x trailing P/E, while TCBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.3% ROIC and — gross margin. MBBC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBBC
ACTIVE
Marathon Bancorp Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | 0.1% | 0.00% | $43.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| TCBS Texas Community Bancshares Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 17.5x | — | 5.3% | -0.17% | $49.6M | /tcbs-vs-mbbc → |
| FNWB First Northwest Bancorp | E | 32/100 | — | — | -2.7% | +0.68% | $97.3M | /fnwb-vs-mbbc → |
| BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. | D+ | 56/100 | 56.3x | — | 1.5% | +1.64% | $116.5M | /bsbk-vs-mbbc → |
| WSBK Winchester Bancorp Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -0.7% | +0.75% | $124.0M | /wsbk-vs-mbbc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001835385 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) reported GAAP revenue of $104.2M (+13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $91.5M , and +1225.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.0K, operating cash flow of $1.4M, and free cash flow of $1.3M (+168.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBBC closed FY2025 with $248.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $104.2M | $42.0K | $1.4M | $1.3M | $248.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $91.5M | -$187.0K | $416.6K | -$1.8M | $217.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $7.9M | $1.7M | $2.0M | $2.0M | — | — |
3. MBBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MBBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Marathon Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: MBBC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $14.52 (0.00% 1D, market cap $43.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MBBC ranks #516 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MBBC compare to TCBS and FNWB in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Banks), MBBC carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, TCBS (Texas Community Bancshares Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 17.5x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $49.6M) and FNWB (First Northwest Bancorp) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.7%, cap $97.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCBS leads on earnings multiple (17.5x) while TCBS leads on capital efficiency (5.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBBC?
Per MBBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001835385), Marathon Bancorp Inc. generated $104.2M in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $42.0K in net income, and $1.3M in free cash flow against $248.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MBBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MBBC last traded at $14.52 (0.00% on volume of 277 shares), positioning the stock -2.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.96) and +0.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.41). Across its 52-week range of $10.53 to $15.79, MBBC sits at the 75.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($14.26 to $14.78).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
MBBC — Marathon Bancorp Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.52 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $43.7M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 2.91%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Banks industry.. — for specific products, customer segments, or revenue model detail.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) reported $104.2M in annual revenue (up from $91.5M in FY2024, +13.8% YoY) and $42.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.9M revenue, $1.7M net income) through FY2025, MBBC scaled operating cash flow to $1.4M and free cash flow to $1.3M, backed by $248.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 56/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.91% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.53 – $15.79 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. — for any ripple analysis.
- Key Question #1: Can MBBC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 0.1% ROIC against Banks peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $104.2M and free cash flow of $1.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is MBBC's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
MBBC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
Marathon Bancorp, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:MBBC TradingView report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago
Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) stock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance UK report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
Marathon Bancorp (MBBC) Holds Steady at $14.52 as Shares Sit at the Midpoint of a Well-Defined Range - Bollinger Squeeze https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago
Most Active Stocks Today: U.S. Market TradingKey report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST TradingKey • 2d ago
Top U.S. Stock Gainers: Biggest Price Increases TradingKey report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 2d ago
Commerzbank AG (CRZBY) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
MBBC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.52?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MBBC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $16.84 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate The stock trades at $14.52, near the midpoint of its $10.53–$15.79 52-week range, with a 2.91% FCF yield and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9
Picked up a starter position in MBBC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $14.52. The stock trades at $14.52, near the midpoint of its $10.53–$15.79 52-week range, with a 2.91% FCF yield and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9.. Trading inside a $10.53–$15.79 52-week range with 2.91% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Banks multiples expand this quarter.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — MBBC's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $11.91 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $14.52 ROIC of 0.1%, a Roarable RQD score of 56 (D+), and weak whale (8/20) and insider (9/20) pillars point to thin fundamentals and little s
ROIC of 0.1%, a Roarable RQD score of 56 (D+), and weak whale (8/20) and insider (9/20) pillars point to thin fundamentals and little smart-money support.. Look at the math on MBBC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.1% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Banks demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $12.78 before getting long.