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Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$24.71 +3.78% NASDAQ โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.83

Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ โ€ข SELL / AVOID Cap $468.5M
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
โšก INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW โ€ข $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MBUU Below โ€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
๐Ÿค– Mara Quenwick โ€ข AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MBUU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
โ–ผ

As of 2026-11-03, Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MBUU) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $24.71 (+3.78% 1D, market cap $468.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, MBUU ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Ellis Vennor โ€ข AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MBUU compare to MCFT and NXB in the Industrials sector?
โ–ผ

Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), MBUU carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.4x, gross margin of 17.8%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, MCFT (MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 73.0x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $520.6M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $36.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HII leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Gideon Ashmere โ€ข AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBUU?
โ–ผ

Per MBUU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001590976), Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) generated $807.6M in revenue (-2.6% YoY), $15.2M in net income, and $28.6M in free cash flow against $715.7M in total assets and $20.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists โ€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.83 (+0.49%)๐Ÿงฌ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) โ€ข 3.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 52.7% hit rate โ€” wait for RQD โ‰ฅ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID โ€ข D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- ยท Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$37 Bull$25 Base$19 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE MBUU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBUU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY MBUU SCORES 58/100 (D+) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.58 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) โ€ข Piotroski F-Score 7/9

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy โ€ข Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.7) create a -13 pt regime headwind

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$21.95+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$22.10+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$22.28+10.9% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$24.71+0% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: C- (50) โ†’ D+ (58)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MBUU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MBUU faces multiple-compression risk if 30.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

โš ๏ธ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

โš ๏ธ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) โ€” any gross margin slip below 15.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

โš ๏ธ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.89) or 200D SMA ($26.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.71) toward Bear Floor ($19.27).

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBUUโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œMBUU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 โ€ข REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years โ†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP โ€ข SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBUU)

  • โœ“Walkthrough of MBUU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • โœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MBUU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.13%๐Ÿ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $23.50H $24.71L $23.50C $24.71VOL 332.9K
RES: $31.02SUP: $20.56SMA50: $23.89SMA200: $26.89
$32.76$29.62$26.47$23.33$20.18RES $31.02SUP $20.56$24.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBUU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBUU today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBUU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBUU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBUU)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MBUU vs. MCFT, NXB, HII, VEEE)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) ranks #144 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #300 by equity capitalization ($468.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HII leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while NXB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and 9.6% gross margin. HII currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MBUU at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MBUU ACTIVE
Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 30.4x 17.8% 3.5% +3.78% $468.5M Benchmark Subject
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.
D+ 57/100 73.0x 20.0% 6.7% +3.21% $520.6M /mcft-vs-mbuu โ†’
NXB
NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok
D- 39/100 โ€” 9.6% 18.8% +6.16% $36.7M /nxb-vs-mbuu โ†’
HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.6x โ€” 8.3% -1.00% $12.49B /hii-vs-mbuu โ†’
VEEE
Twin Vee PowerCats Co.
E 24/100 โ€” 8.5% -35.0% -4.21% $5.4M /veee-vs-mbuu โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2025-06-30 โ€ข CIK 0001590976 โ†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) reported GAAP revenue of $807.6M (-2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $829.0M , and -41.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $15.2M, operating cash flow of $56.5M, and free cash flow of $28.6M (+240.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBUU closed FY2025 with $715.7M in total assets against $20.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $807.6M $15.2M $56.5M $28.6M $715.7M $20.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $829.0M -$56.4M $55.6M -$20.4M $738.7M $23.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $1.39B $107.9M $184.7M $184.7M โ€” โ€”

3. MBUU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBUU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MBUU) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $24.71 (+3.78% 1D, market cap $468.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, MBUU ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MBUU compare to MCFT and NXB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), MBUU carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.4x, gross margin of 17.8%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, MCFT (MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 73.0x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $520.6M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $36.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HII leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBUU?

Per MBUU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001590976), Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) generated $807.6M in revenue (-2.6% YoY), $15.2M in net income, and $28.6M in free cash flow against $715.7M in total assets and $20.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MBUU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBUU last traded at $24.71 (+3.78% on volume of 446,990 shares), positioning the stock +3.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.89) and -8.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.89). Across its 52-week range of $21.16 to $34.97, MBUU sits at the 25.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ7.5% ($22.86 to $26.56).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF โ€ข RQD 58/100 (D+) โœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MBUU โ€” Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $24.71 (+3.78% 1D, market capitalization $468.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.5%, gross margin of 17.8%, operating margin of 2.7%, and free cash flow yield of 6.18%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.58, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.04x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Industrials. Industry: Marine Transportation. Exchange: NASDAQ. Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer with a market capitalization of $0.5B per the company profile. โ€”: product lines, customer base, and revenue model detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) reported $807.6M in annual revenue (up from $829.0M in FY2024, -2.6% YoY) and $15.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.39B revenue, $107.9M net income) through FY2025, MBUU scaled operating cash flow to $56.5M and free cash flow to $28.6M, backed by $715.7M in total assets against $20.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • ๐Ÿ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ โ€ข RQD 58/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.16 โ€“ $34.97 52-week range.
  • ๐Ÿป Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 30.4x trailing P/E and 10.0x EV/EBITDA against 2.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Marine Transportation (Industrials), MBUU carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 17.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can MBUU sustain or expand its 2.7% operating margin and 3.5% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $807.6M and free cash flow of $28.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $20.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MBUU's 28.3x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MBUU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) โ€ข Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

๐Ÿ’ฌ Jump to MBUU Debate Forum (3) โ†“
๐Ÿ”ฅ THE ROAR PIT โ€ข LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MBUU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board โ€” What's Your Call at $24.71?

๐Ÿ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MBUU ๐Ÿป 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MBUU:
๐Ÿ’ก Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER โ€ข Options Flow Specialist ๐Ÿ‚ BULLISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $28.10 (+18.0%)
๐Ÿ“Œ Pinned Debate

Low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.04) and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 give the balance sheet a clear strength.

Here is why I am bullish on MBUU here at $23.81: Low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.04) and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 give the balance sheet a clear strength.. Compare MBUU's 2.7% operating margin and 3.5% ROIC against the rest of Marine Transportation. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $22.62 are getting bought.

SectorRotator ๐Ÿ‚ BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 58/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $23.81 and keeping dry powder in case we test $22.14.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER โ€ข Cycle Peak Watcher ๐Ÿป BEARISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $18.81 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $23.81

A 3.5% ROIC and 1.9% net margin do not clearly support a 30.4x trailing P/E.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MBUU above $23.81. A 3.5% ROIC and 1.9% net margin do not clearly support a 30.4x trailing P/E.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20) and FCF yield (6.18%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $34.97.

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