Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Mercury Systems Inc (NASDAQ: MRCY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $77.54 (-5.21% 1D, market cap $4.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MRCY ranks #267 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), MRCY carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, VSH (Vishay Intertechnology Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.10B) and PLXS (Plexus Corp.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $5.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLED leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MRCY leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
Per MRCY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001049521), Mercury Systems Inc generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.50B in total assets and $469.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 4.26 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, MRCY faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($81.42) or 200D SMA ($91.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($76.84) toward Bear Floor ($59.94).
Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) dropped -5.21% to $77.54, trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($65.04 – $128.45). Stretched risk/reward at 22x P/E (15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +52.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRCY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRCY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) ranks #267 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #215 by equity capitalization ($4.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OLED leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while MRCY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. OLED currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with MRCY at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRCY
ACTIVE
Mercury Systems Inc | D+ | 56/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -5.21% | $4.72B | Benchmark Subject |
| VSH Vishay Intertechnology Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 19.4% | 1.8% | -9.14% | $4.10B | /vsh-vs-mrcy → |
| PLXS Plexus Corp. | D+ | 54/100 | 33.3x | 10.1% | 8.2% | -3.86% | $5.54B | /plxs-vs-mrcy → |
| OLED Universal Display Corporation | C | 62/100 | 15.8x | 76.3% | 11.5% | -1.15% | $3.78B | /oled-vs-mrcy → |
| TTMI TTM Technologies Inc. | D | 44/100 | 52.0x | 20.7% | 9.6% | -5.35% | $8.74B | /ttmi-vs-mrcy → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $912.0M , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 (-100.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MRCY closed FY2025 with $2.50B in total assets against $469.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.26, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-26 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $2.50B | $469.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-06-27 | $912.0M | -$37.9M | $138.9M | $119.0M | $2.40B | $423.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-06-28 | $835.3M | -$137.6M | $60.4M | $22.8M | $2.74B | $640.8M |
As of 2026-11-03, Mercury Systems Inc (NASDAQ: MRCY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $77.54 (-5.21% 1D, market cap $4.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MRCY ranks #267 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), MRCY carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, VSH (Vishay Intertechnology Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.10B) and PLXS (Plexus Corp.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $5.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLED leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MRCY leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
Per MRCY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001049521), Mercury Systems Inc generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.50B in total assets and $469.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MRCY last traded at $77.54 (-5.21% on volume of 543,700 shares), positioning the stock -4.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($81.42) and -15.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($91.32). Across its 52-week range of $65.04 to $128.45, MRCY sits at the 19.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($70.56 to $84.52).
Why MRCY Stock dropped -5.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 22x P/E (15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MRCY scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC 14.9%; FCF yield 3.99%), Whale 13F Flow at 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.33; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 4.26; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.3).
The weakest pillars are Cash Engine and Macro Regime Fit, each scoring roughly half their maximum. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the cash-generation pillar is held back by a modest 3.99% FCF yield relative to the stock's valuation, and the macro pillar by a Beta of 1.33, which signals above-market price sensitivity. The strongest pillars are Forensic Balance Sheet and Insider Conviction, which indicate low financial-distress risk and recent insider buying activity. Investor implication: the upside case rests on balance-sheet resilience and insider signaling, while the valuation tradeoff is a 21.7 trailing P/E against a thin FCF yield, and the stock's volatility could amplify moves in either direction. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $0.0M | $335.0M | $469.0M |
| FY 2024 | $912.0M | $-19.6M | $-37.9M | N/A | $119.0M | $242.6M | $423.5M |
| FY 2023 | $835.3M | $-147.8M | $-137.6M | N/A | $22.8M | N/A | $640.8M |
Per the SEC financials, reported operating and net income were negative in FY 2023 and FY 2024, though the operating margin in market data is shown at 21.1% and net margin at 16.4%, which the source does not reconcile with the periods shown. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 14.9%, the Altman Z-Score is 4.26, and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. Debt/Equity is 0.3. Reported debt declined from $640.8M in FY 2023 to $423.5M in FY 2024 and then rose to $469.0M in FY 2025, while reported cash moved from $242.6M to $335.0M over the same span. The FY 2025 revenue and income figures are recorded as $0.0M, which the source does not explain.
Per the recent news wire, six items were recorded, all flagged YELLOW. Headlines reference a Yahoo Finance report on the RES One Edge platform and its effect on the investment story, a TradingView estimates page, a Yahoo Finance piece titled around budget uncertainty weighing on Q3, a MarketBeat report describing a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating, a Stock Titan filing report on a director receiving 2,348 stock units, and a Simply Wall St valuation article questioning whether the stock is overvalued on sales. Risk watch items per these headlines include budget uncertainty and valuation debate. Proprietary signals: none are recorded in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the MRCY (Mercury Systems Inc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Electrical Products. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MRCY, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Mercury Systems Inc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MRCY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electrical Products and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.80 (52-wk range $65.04 - $128.45), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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