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Stock Ratings / Technology / MTC / forecast
BLZE (34) IIIV (45) DDD (24) MTLS (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

MMTec Inc. (MTC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.46 +10.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.55

MMTec Inc. (MTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $492.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MTC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, MMTec Inc. (NASDAQ: MTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $5.46 (+10.53% 1D, market cap $492.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MTC ranks #546 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MTC compare to BLZE and IIIV in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MTC carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.6%, and ROIC of -12.0%. By comparison, BLZE (Backblaze Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.5%, cap $469.8M) and IIIV (i3 Verticals Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 25.5x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $462.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDD leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while IIIV leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTC?
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Per MTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001742518), MMTec Inc. generated $807.5K in revenue (-56.8% YoY), -$56.1M in net income, and -$3.7M in free cash flow against $18.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.55 (+1.71%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$10 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE MTC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MTC SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 59% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$5.18+33.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$6.93-23.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$5.30+3% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$5.46-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MTC currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.12) and Max Pain ($5.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MTC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MTC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.46: 1831.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.78
$6,923
$-3,077 (-30.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $4.85
$8,883
$-1,117 (-11.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.55
$17,491
+$7,491 (+74.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.42%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-03O $5.03H $5.46L $4.94C $5.46VOL 3.8K
RES: $7.72SUP: $4.91SMA50: $5.12SMA200: $4.61
$8.25$6.62$4.99$3.36$1.73RES $7.72SUP $4.91$5.462026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MTC Butterfly Map → + Track MTC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -56.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTC)

Technology Rank #546 of 715 ⚔️ BLZE vs MTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MTC vs. BLZE, IIIV, DDD, MTLS)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MMTec Inc. (MTC) ranks #546 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #416 by equity capitalization ($492.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDD leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while IIIV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MTLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with MTC at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MTC ACTIVE
MMTec Inc.
E 33/100 — 21.6% -12.0% +10.53% $492.0M Benchmark Subject
BLZE
Backblaze Inc. (Class A)
E 34/100 — 60.9% -34.5% -2.50% $469.8M /blze-vs-mtc →
IIIV
i3 Verticals Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 25.5x — 0.9% +4.78% $462.7M /iiiv-vs-mtc →
DDD
3D Systems Corporation
E 24/100 16.3x 33.9% -32.8% -4.32% $461.9M /ddd-vs-mtc →
MTLS
Materialise NV
D+ 53/100 — — — +0.56% $424.1M /mtls-vs-mtc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001742518 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MMTec Inc. (MTC) reported GAAP revenue of $807.5K (-56.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.9M , and -7.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$56.1M, operating cash flow of -$3.7M, and free cash flow of -$3.7M (-614.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTC closed FY2025 with $18.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $807.5K -$56.1M -$3.7M -$3.7M $18.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.9M -$91.2M $722.9K $717.8K $65.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $869.9K $45.5M -$5.2M -$5.2M — —

3. MTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MMTec Inc. (NASDAQ: MTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $5.46 (+10.53% 1D, market cap $492.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MTC ranks #546 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTC compare to BLZE and IIIV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MTC carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.6%, and ROIC of -12.0%. By comparison, BLZE (Backblaze Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.5%, cap $469.8M) and IIIV (i3 Verticals Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 25.5x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $462.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDD leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while IIIV leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTC?

Per MTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001742518), MMTec Inc. generated $807.5K in revenue (-56.8% YoY), -$56.1M in net income, and -$3.7M in free cash flow against $18.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTC last traded at $5.46 (+10.53% on volume of 13,753 shares), positioning the stock +6.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.12) and +18.44% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.61). Across its 52-week range of $0.25 to $9.10, MTC sits at the 58.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.78 to $6.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: MTC RQD Cockpit MTC 12M Forecast MTC Earnings & Move MTC Dividends & DRIP MTC Insiders & 13F MTC Whale Options MTC Profit Sankey MTC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MTC — MMTec Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MMTec Inc. (MTC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.46 (+10.53% 1D, market capitalization $492.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -12.0%, gross margin of 21.6%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -0.74%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

MMTec Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The market data reports a gross margin of 21.6% and operating and net margins of -60%, which indicate that the company is currently loss-making at the operating and net level.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), MMTec Inc. (MTC) reported $807.5K in annual revenue (up from $1.9M in FY2024, -56.8% YoY) and -$56.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($869.9K revenue, $45.5M net income) through FY2025, MTC scaled operating cash flow to -$3.7M and free cash flow to -$3.7M, backed by $18.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.74% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.25 – $9.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies are mapped (supply chain: NONE), and no sector correlations or bottleneck relationships are recorded. The sector and industry are Technology and Computer Software: Prepackaged Software.

  • Key Question #1: Can MTC sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -12.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $807.5K and free cash flow of -$3.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MTC's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MTC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MMTec Inc. (MTC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MTC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MTC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MTC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MTC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.78 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning (9/20) and a Beta of 1.0 provide a non-trivial whale-flow component within the RQD f

The street is overcomplicating MMTec Inc. (MTC). Institutional accumulation and options positioning (9/20) and a Beta of 1.0 provide a non-trivial whale-flow component within the RQD framework despite weak fundamentals.. With an RQD score of 33/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $5.34.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 33/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.94 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.59.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.90 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $4.94

ROIC of -12%, FCF yield of -0.74%, and an operating margin of -60% indicate the business is not generating returns on or cash from its

ROIC of -12%, FCF yield of -0.74%, and an operating margin of -60% indicate the business is not generating returns on or cash from its capital base.. Look at the math on MTC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -12.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $4.35 before getting long.

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