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PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$38.97 -4.95% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.55

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.73B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, PDF Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PDFS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $38.97 (-4.95% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PDFS ranks #497 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PDFS compare to CERT and NYAX in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDFS carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.3%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, CERT (Certara Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.4%, cap $1.68B) and NYAX (Nayax Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $1.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDFS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PDFS leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?
β–Ό

Per PDFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001120914), PDF Solutions Inc. generated $219.0M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$600.0K in net income, and -$8.6M in free cash flow against $418.7M in total assets and $64.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.55 (-1.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$75 Bull$35 Base$28 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PDFS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PDFS SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.33 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 72.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$47.62-13.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$41.18+7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$44.23-11.9% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$38.97-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PDFS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While PDFS currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.09) and Max Pain ($40.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.27.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDFSβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPDFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How PDFS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$219.0MGross Profit $158.4M (72.3%)Cost of Sales $60.6MOp Profit $5.8M (2.7%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $152.6MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $5.8M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $422.8K
FY24
Rev $179.5M
FY25
Rev $219.0M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$219.0M72.3%2.7%-$600.0K-$8.6M1.6%
FY 2024$179.5M69.8%0.5%$4.1M-$7.5M0.5%
FY 2023$422.8K72.3%-35.7%$3.1M$14.6M1.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PDFS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PDFS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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PDFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.23%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $45.56H $45.56L $38.97C $38.97VOL 1.33M
RES: $59.01SUP: $38.36SMA50: $46.09SMA200: $44.69
$74.67$62.32$49.97$37.62$25.27RES $59.01SUP $38.36$38.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ PDFS Butterfly Map β†’ + Track PDFS β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
46.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDFS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDFS)

Technology Rank #497 of 715 βš”οΈ CERT vs PDFS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PDFS vs. CERT, NYAX, CNXC, IQMX)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) ranks #497 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #307 by equity capitalization ($1.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PDFS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PDFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 72.3% gross margin. CERT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with PDFS at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PDFS ACTIVE
PDF Solutions Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” 72.3% 1.6% -4.95% $1.73B Benchmark Subject
CERT
Certara Inc.
C 63/100 β€” β€” 1.4% -2.81% $1.68B /cert-vs-pdfs β†’
NYAX
Nayax Ltd.
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.15% $1.79B /nyax-vs-pdfs β†’
CNXC
Concentrix Corporation
D 46/100 β€” 35.0% -10.4% +2.52% $1.84B /cnxc-vs-pdfs β†’
IQMX
IQM Quantum Computers Oyj
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.91% $1.63B /iqmx-vs-pdfs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001120914 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) reported GAAP revenue of $219.0M (+22.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $179.5M , and +51703.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$600.0K, operating cash flow of $24.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.6M (-15.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDFS closed FY2025 with $418.7M in total assets against $64.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.33, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $219.0M -$600.0K $24.1M -$8.6M $418.7M $64.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $179.5M $4.1M $9.7M -$7.5M $315.3M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $422.8K $3.1M $14.6M $14.6M β€” β€”

3. PDFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PDF Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PDFS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $38.97 (-4.95% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PDFS ranks #497 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PDFS compare to CERT and NYAX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDFS carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.3%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, CERT (Certara Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.4%, cap $1.68B) and NYAX (Nayax Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $1.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDFS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PDFS leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?

Per PDFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001120914), PDF Solutions Inc. generated $219.0M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$600.0K in net income, and -$8.6M in free cash flow against $418.7M in total assets and $64.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PDFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDFS last traded at $38.97 (-4.95% on volume of 737,416 shares), positioning the stock -15.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.09) and -12.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.69). Across its 52-week range of $23.55 to $71.69, PDFS sits at the 32.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($34.10 to $43.84).

Direct Sub-Reports: PDFS RQD Cockpit PDFS 12M Forecast PDFS Earnings & Move PDFS Dividends & DRIP PDFS Insiders & 13F PDFS Whale Options PDFS Profit Sankey PDFS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PDFS β€” PDF Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $38.97 (-4.95% 1D, market capitalization $1.73B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.6%, gross margin of 72.3%, operating margin of 2.7%, and free cash flow yield of -0.45%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.33, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.24x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

PDF Solutions Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $1.9B. Gross margin is reported at 72.3%, operating margin at 2.7%, and net margin at -0.3%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) reported $219.0M in annual revenue (up from $179.5M in FY2024, +22.0% YoY) and -$600.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($422.8K revenue, $3.1M net income) through FY2025, PDFS scaled operating cash flow to $24.1M and free cash flow to -$8.6M, backed by $418.7M in total assets against $64.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.45% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $23.55 – $71.69 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 58.0x EV/EBITDA against 2.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can PDFS sustain or expand its 2.7% operating margin and 1.6% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $219.0M and free cash flow of -$8.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $64.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PDFS's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PDFS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PDFS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PDFS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $38.97?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PDFS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PDFS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.66 (+26.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet metrics are relatively sturdy, with an Altman Z-Score of 8.33 and Debt/Equity of 0.24, and revenue rose from $17

Long PDFS at $41.00 targeting $51.66. Forensic balance sheet metrics are relatively sturdy, with an Altman Z-Score of 8.33 and Debt/Equity of 0.24, and revenue rose from $179.5M to $219.0M in FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $23.55 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $41.00 and keeping dry powder in case we test $38.13.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.44 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $41.00

ROIC of 1.6%, a -0.45% FCF yield, and an Insider Conviction pillar score of 3 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insider su

I respect the product at PDF Solutions Inc., but the stock at $41.00 is a different story. ROIC of 1.6%, a -0.45% FCF yield, and an Insider Conviction pillar score of 3 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insider support.. FCF yield is -0.45% and RQD sits at 37/100 (D-) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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