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Why PDFS Stock dropped -10.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$41.00 -10.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.18

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.73B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, PDF Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PDFS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $41.00 (-10.01% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PDFS ranks #497 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PDFS compare to CERT and NYAX in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDFS carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.3%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, CERT (Certara Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.4%, cap $1.68B) and NYAX (Nayax Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDFS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PDFS leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?
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Per PDFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001120914), PDF Solutions Inc. generated $219.0M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$600.0K in net income, and -$8.6M in free cash flow against $418.7M in total assets and $64.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.18 (-1.99%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$75 Bull$37 Base$29 Bear
📬 FREE PDFS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PDFS SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.33 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 72.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$47.62-13.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$41.18+7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$44.23-7.3% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$41.00-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PDFS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PDFS currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.09) and Max Pain ($43.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDFS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PDFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PDFS Stock dropped -10.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) dropped -10.01% to $41.00, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($23.55 – $71.69). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($23.55 – $71.69) with RSI-14 at 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $41.00 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 72.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live PDFS Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PDFS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PDFS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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PDFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.66%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $45.56H $45.56L $41.00C $41.00VOL 1.33M
RES: $59.01SUP: $38.36SMA50: $46.09SMA200: $44.69
$74.67$62.32$49.97$37.62$25.27RES $59.01SUP $38.36$41.002026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PDFS Butterfly Map → + Track PDFS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
46.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDFS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDFS)

Technology Rank #497 of 715 ⚔️ CERT vs PDFS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PDFS vs. CERT, NYAX, CNXC, IQMX)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) ranks #497 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #307 by equity capitalization ($1.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PDFS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PDFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 72.3% gross margin. CERT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with PDFS at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PDFS ACTIVE
PDF Solutions Inc.
D- 37/100 — 72.3% 1.6% -10.01% $1.73B Benchmark Subject
CERT
Certara Inc.
C 63/100 — — 1.4% -1.61% $1.68B /cert-vs-pdfs →
NYAX
Nayax Ltd.
D 47/100 — — — -4.51% $1.79B /nyax-vs-pdfs →
CNXC
Concentrix Corporation
D 46/100 — 35.0% -10.4% -0.69% $1.84B /cnxc-vs-pdfs →
IQMX
IQM Quantum Computers Oyj
D 45/100 — — — -6.43% $1.63B /iqmx-vs-pdfs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001120914 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) reported GAAP revenue of $219.0M (+22.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $179.5M , and +51703.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$600.0K, operating cash flow of $24.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.6M (-15.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDFS closed FY2025 with $418.7M in total assets against $64.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.33, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $219.0M -$600.0K $24.1M -$8.6M $418.7M $64.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $179.5M $4.1M $9.7M -$7.5M $315.3M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $422.8K $3.1M $14.6M $14.6M — —

3. PDFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PDF Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PDFS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $41.00 (-10.01% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PDFS ranks #497 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PDFS compare to CERT and NYAX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDFS carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.3%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, CERT (Certara Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.4%, cap $1.68B) and NYAX (Nayax Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDFS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PDFS leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?

Per PDFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001120914), PDF Solutions Inc. generated $219.0M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$600.0K in net income, and -$8.6M in free cash flow against $418.7M in total assets and $64.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PDFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDFS last traded at $41.00 (-10.01% on volume of 1,327,683 shares), positioning the stock -11.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.09) and -8.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.69). Across its 52-week range of $23.55 to $71.69, PDFS sits at the 36.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($35.87 to $46.13).

Direct Sub-Reports: PDFS RQD Cockpit PDFS 12M Forecast PDFS Earnings & Move PDFS Dividends & DRIP PDFS Insiders & 13F PDFS Whale Options PDFS Profit Sankey PDFS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PDFS — PDF Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $41.00 (-10.01% 1D, market capitalization $1.73B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.6%, gross margin of 72.3%, operating margin of 2.7%, and free cash flow yield of -0.45%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.33, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.24x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

PDF Solutions Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $1.9B. Gross margin is reported at 72.3%, operating margin at 2.7%, and net margin at -0.3%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) reported $219.0M in annual revenue (up from $179.5M in FY2024, +22.0% YoY) and -$600.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($422.8K revenue, $3.1M net income) through FY2025, PDFS scaled operating cash flow to $24.1M and free cash flow to -$8.6M, backed by $418.7M in total assets against $64.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.45% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $23.55 – $71.69 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 58.0x EV/EBITDA against 2.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can PDFS sustain or expand its 2.7% operating margin and 1.6% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $219.0M and free cash flow of -$8.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $64.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PDFS's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PDFS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PDFS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PDFS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PDFS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PDFS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.66 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet metrics are relatively sturdy, with an Altman Z-Score of 8.33 and Debt/Equity of 0.24, and revenue rose from $17

Long PDFS at $41.00 targeting $51.66. Forensic balance sheet metrics are relatively sturdy, with an Altman Z-Score of 8.33 and Debt/Equity of 0.24, and revenue rose from $179.5M to $219.0M in FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $23.55 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $41.00 and keeping dry powder in case we test $38.13.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.44 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $41.00

ROIC of 1.6%, a -0.45% FCF yield, and an Insider Conviction pillar score of 3 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insider su

I respect the product at PDF Solutions Inc., but the stock at $41.00 is a different story. ROIC of 1.6%, a -0.45% FCF yield, and an Insider Conviction pillar score of 3 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insider support.. FCF yield is -0.45% and RQD sits at 37/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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