My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

Why PLGO Stock advanced +0.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$26.50 +0.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.48

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.28B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PLGO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PLGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (NYSE: PLGO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $26.50 (+0.65% 1D, market cap $2.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PLGO ranks #719 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PLGO compare to HCI and SKWD in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), PLGO carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HCI (HCI Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 30.8%, cap $2.46B) and SKWD (Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 16.8%, cap $2.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCI leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while HCI leads on capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLGO?
▼

Per PLGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001636639), Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited generated $2.50B in revenue (+3.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$408.3M in free cash flow against $12.44B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.48 (-0.07%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (15)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
$30 Bull$25 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE PLGO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PLGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PLGO SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$24.66+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$25.44+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$25.70+3.1% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$26.50-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PLGO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PLGO currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.77) and Max Pain ($27.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PLGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PLGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PLGO Stock advanced +0.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) advanced +0.65% to $26.50, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($17.74 – $26.56). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($17.74 – $26.56) with RSI-14 at 64.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.1% around $26.50 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live PLGO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
HG Stock Price and Chart — NYSE:HG

TradingView report covering Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 40d ago
2 Unpopular Stocks That Deserve a Second Chance and 1 We Avoid

Wall Street has issued downbeat forecasts for the stocks in this article. These predictions are rare - financial institutions typically hesitate to say bad things about a company because it can jeopardize their other rev

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 67d ago
Why Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO) Is Getting Attention Today

Pelagos Insurance Capital stock reaction and recent performance Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO) has drawn attention after its recent share price at US$24.43 and mixed short term returns, which included a decline over th

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PLGO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PLGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PLGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.47%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $26.12H $26.50L $26.12C $26.50VOL 224.1K
RES: $26.59SUP: $21.61SMA50: $24.77SMA200: $22.45
$27.12$24.79$22.46$20.13$17.80RES $26.59SUP $21.61$26.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PLGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PLGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PLGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PLGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PLGO)

Financials Rank #719 of 1097 ⚔️ HCI vs PLGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PLGO vs. HCI, SKWD, KMPR, HMN)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) ranks #719 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #410 by equity capitalization ($2.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCI leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while HCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.8% ROIC and — gross margin. HCI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with PLGO at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PLGO ACTIVE
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited
D 47/100 — — — +0.65% $2.28B Benchmark Subject
HCI
HCI Group Inc.
B+ 80/100 7.7x — 30.8% +1.80% $2.46B /hci-vs-plgo →
SKWD
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc.
B 74/100 15.3x — 16.8% +3.54% $2.62B /skwd-vs-plgo →
KMPR
Kemper Corporation
C- 59/100 13.4x — 5.3% +5.60% $1.96B /kmpr-vs-plgo →
HMN
Horace Mann Educators Corporation
D+ 57/100 11.6x — 10.9% +2.27% $1.89B /hmn-vs-plgo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001636639 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) reported GAAP revenue of $2.50B (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.42B , and -30.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$408.3M, and free cash flow of -$408.3M (-166.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, PLGO closed FY2025 with $12.44B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.50B $0 -$408.3M -$408.3M $12.44B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.42B $113.3M $618.2M $618.2M $11.77B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.60B $2.13B $495.2M $495.2M — —

3. PLGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PLGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (NYSE: PLGO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $26.50 (+0.65% 1D, market cap $2.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PLGO ranks #719 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PLGO compare to HCI and SKWD in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), PLGO carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HCI (HCI Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 30.8%, cap $2.46B) and SKWD (Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 16.8%, cap $2.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCI leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while HCI leads on capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLGO?

Per PLGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001636639), Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited generated $2.50B in revenue (+3.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$408.3M in free cash flow against $12.44B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PLGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PLGO last traded at $26.50 (+0.65% on volume of 294,373 shares), positioning the stock +6.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($24.77) and +18.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.45). Across its 52-week range of $17.74 to $26.56, PLGO sits at the 99.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($25.41 to $27.59).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PLGO — Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $26.50 (+0.65% 1D, market capitalization $2.28B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -18.08%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Financials sector, Property-Casualty Insurers industry. The profile describes the company as operating in property-casualty insurance with a market capitalization of $2.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) reported $2.50B in annual revenue (up from $2.42B in FY2024, +3.3% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.60B revenue, $2.13B net income) through FY2025, PLGO scaled operating cash flow to -$408.3M and free cash flow to -$408.3M, backed by $12.44B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -18.08% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.74 – $26.56 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Accordingly, upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. — A prospective investor should note that the absence of recorded links is a data gap rather than evidence of an absence of dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can PLGO sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.50B and free cash flow of -$408.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PLGO's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PLGO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PLGO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PLGO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $26.50?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PLGO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PLGO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.60 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning (15 / 20 whale flow pillar) partially offset weak fundamentals, with a moderate bala

Long PLGO at $26.33 targeting $31.60. Institutional accumulation and options positioning (15 / 20 whale flow pillar) partially offset weak fundamentals, with a moderate balance sheet reading (Debt/Equity 0.5).. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $17.74 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PLGO's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.54 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $26.33

The stock carries a 0% ROIC, a -18.08% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F of 1/9 alongside a D-grade RQD score of 47 and a Distribution Warni

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PLGO: The stock carries a 0% ROIC, a -18.08% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F of 1/9 alongside a D-grade RQD score of 47 and a Distribution Warning verdict.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Property-Casualty Insurers triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE