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Stock Ratings / Energy / PTEN / earnings
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Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (PTEN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.7% Move

$11.80 -11.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.54

Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (PTEN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.50B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PTEN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PTEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: PTEN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $11.80 (-11.41% 1D, market cap $4.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PTEN ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PTEN compare to CRGY and CRC in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PTEN carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.8%. By comparison, CRGY (Crescent Energy Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 34.2x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $4.45B) and CRC (California Resources Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $4.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTEN?
▼

Per PTEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000889900), Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. generated $4.79B in revenue (-9.8% YoY), -$93.1M in net income, and $372.2M in free cash flow against $5.57B in total assets and $1.22B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.54 (-2.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 7.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (7)Whales (18)SEC (12)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$14 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE PTEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PTEN SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 80% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$11.31+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$11.34+11.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$12.69-7% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$11.80+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PTEN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, PTEN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.95) or 200D SMA ($10.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.07) toward Bear Floor ($9.41).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PTEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.7% Swing Band

±$1.14 Expected Swing
$10.66 (-9.7%)Spot $11.80$12.94 (+9.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PTEN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $-0.24 • YoY Revenue Growth: -9.8%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$4.79B-$93.1M$372.2M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$5.31B-$966.4M$497.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$4.07B$246.0M$822.7M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PTEN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PTEN
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PTEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.92%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $13.32H $13.32L $11.80C $11.80VOL 11.81M
RES: $13.55SUP: $11.25SMA50: $11.95SMA200: $10.68
$13.82$12.04$10.26$8.49$6.71RES $13.55SUP $11.25$11.802026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PTEN Butterfly Map → + Track PTEN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTEN)

Energy Rank #75 of 211 ⚔️ CRGY vs PTEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PTEN vs. CRGY, CRC, HESM, CRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (PTEN) ranks #75 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #87 by equity capitalization ($4.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRK leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while HESM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with PTEN at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PTEN ACTIVE
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.
C 63/100 — — -0.8% -11.41% $4.50B Benchmark Subject
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company
C 63/100 34.2x — 1.7% -5.14% $4.45B /crgy-vs-pten →
CRC
California Resources Corporation
C+ 67/100 13.4x — 9.8% -5.26% $4.67B /crc-vs-pten →
HESM
Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests
D+ 56/100 11.7x — 19.1% -0.82% $4.16B /hesm-vs-pten →
CRK
Comstock Resources Inc.
D 46/100 10.8x — 9.4% -4.48% $4.13B /crk-vs-pten →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000889900 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (PTEN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.79B (-9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.31B , and +17.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$93.1M, operating cash flow of $961.2M, and free cash flow of $372.2M (-25.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTEN closed FY2025 with $5.57B in total assets against $1.22B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.79B -$93.1M $961.2M $372.2M $5.57B $1.22B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.31B -$966.4M $1.18B $497.1M $5.83B $1.22B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.07B $246.0M $1.01B $822.7M $4.89B $1.14B

3. PTEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: PTEN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $11.80 (-11.41% 1D, market cap $4.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PTEN ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PTEN compare to CRGY and CRC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PTEN carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.8%. By comparison, CRGY (Crescent Energy Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 34.2x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $4.45B) and CRC (California Resources Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $4.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTEN?

Per PTEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000889900), Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. generated $4.79B in revenue (-9.8% YoY), -$93.1M in net income, and $372.2M in free cash flow against $5.57B in total assets and $1.22B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PTEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTEN last traded at $11.80 (-11.41% on volume of 11,806,028 shares), positioning the stock -1.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.95) and +10.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.68). Across its 52-week range of $5.24 to $13.39, PTEN sits at the 80.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($10.66 to $12.94).

Direct Sub-Reports: PTEN RQD Cockpit PTEN 12M Forecast PTEN Earnings & Move PTEN Dividends & DRIP PTEN Insiders & 13F PTEN Whale Options PTEN Profit Sankey PTEN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PTEN — Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (PTEN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $11.80 (-11.41% 1D, market capitalization $4.50B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -0.9%, and free cash flow yield of 7.69%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.91x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.88, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.38x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Oil & Gas Production, and profile. Revenue is reported at $4.79B for FY 2025 (per SEC financials).

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (PTEN) reported $4.79B in annual revenue (up from $5.31B in FY2024, -9.8% YoY) and -$93.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.07B revenue, $246.0M net income) through FY2025, PTEN scaled operating cash flow to $961.2M and free cash flow to $372.2M, backed by $5.57B in total assets against $1.22B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 7.69% and institutional whale pillar of 18/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.24 – $13.39 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.9% operating margins and a 0.91x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are — The sector and industry classification (Energy / Oil & Gas Production) is the only sector context provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can PTEN sustain or expand its -0.9% operating margin and -0.8% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.79B and free cash flow of $372.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.22B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PTEN's 28.0x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.91x)?

PTEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (PTEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PTEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PTEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.80?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PTEN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PTEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.58 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation (18/20 whale flow) and a 7.69% FCF yield are supporting cash-generation and ownership signals despite negati

The street is overcomplicating Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. (PTEN). Institutional accumulation (18/20 whale flow) and a 7.69% FCF yield are supporting cash-generation and ownership signals despite negative earnings.. With an RQD score of 63/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $14.39.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PTEN's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.39 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $13.32

Negative ROIC of -0.8%, trailing EPS of -0.24, and revenue decline from $5.31B to $4.79B leave the fundamentals weak against a forw

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short PTEN above $13.32. Negative ROIC of -0.8%, trailing EPS of -0.24, and revenue decline from $5.31B to $4.79B leave the fundamentals weak against a forward P/E of 28.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20) and FCF yield (7.69%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $13.39.

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