Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PZZA / dividends

HDL (46) BRCB (36) CNNE (34) FWRG (37) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$18.45 -1.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.35

Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $618.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PZZA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PZZA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Papa John's International Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $18.45 (-1.83% 1D, market cap $618.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PZZA ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PZZA compare to HDL and BRCB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PZZA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.5%. By comparison, HDL (SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $643.8M) and BRCB (Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $530.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PZZA leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while PZZA leads on capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PZZA?

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Per PZZA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000901491), Papa John's International Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $30.5M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $837.5M in total assets and $710.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.35 (-0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PZZA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PZZA SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3% FCF Margin ($61.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$19.67-3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$18.97-3.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$18.23+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$18.45+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PZZA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, PZZA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.40) or 200D SMA ($29.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.70) toward Bear Floor ($14.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PZZA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PZZA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

11.68% Total Yield

9.88% Cash ($1.82/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

68/100 • SAFE COVERAGE

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

64.8% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $41,165

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $4,808/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.5K

Yr 1

$13.3K

Yr 2

$15.3K

Yr 3

$17.6K

Yr 4

$20.3K

Yr 5

$23.4K

Yr 6

$26.9K

Yr 7

$31.0K

Yr 8

$35.7K

Yr 9

$41.2K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in PZZA & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on PZZA and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PZZA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.58%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-02O $18.54H $18.80L $18.45C $18.45VOL 1.27M

RES: $17.35SUP: $16.22SMA50: $20.40SMA200: $29.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PZZA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PZZA Butterfly Map → + Track PZZA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PZZA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PZZA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PZZA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PZZA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #328 of 1011 ⚔️ HDL vs PZZA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PZZA vs. HDL, BRCB, CNNE, FWRG)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) ranks #328 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #565 by equity capitalization ($618.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PZZA leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while PZZA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. PZZA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PZZA ACTIVE Papa John's International Inc.	C-	61/100	20.3x	—	30.5%	-1.83%	$618.9M	Benchmark Subject
HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.	D	46/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$643.8M	/hdl-vs-pzza →
BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	—	1.6%	-1.79%	$530.3M	/brcb-vs-pzza →
CNNE Cannae Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	15.5%	-10.6%	-0.06%	$743.9M	/cnne-vs-pzza →
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.	D-	37/100	39.7x	—	3.6%	+1.84%	$772.0M	/fwrg-vs-pzza →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000901491

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) reported GAAP revenue of $2.05B (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.06B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.5M, operating cash flow of $126.0M, and free cash flow of $61.3M (+79.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PZZA closed FY2025 with $837.5M in total assets against $710.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.37, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$2.05B	$30.5M	$126.0M	$61.3M	$837.5M	$710.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$2.06B	$83.5M	$106.6M	$34.1M	$889.0M	$741.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.14B	$82.1M	$193.1M	$193.1M	—	—

3. PZZA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PZZA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PZZA compare to HDL and BRCB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PZZA?

Where is PZZA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PZZA last traded at $18.45 (-1.83% on volume of 1,484,730 shares), positioning the stock -9.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.40) and -38.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.95). Across its 52-week range of $17.70 to $52.02, PZZA sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($17.20 to $19.70).

PZZA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does PZZA pay a dividend and is it safe?

Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) offers a 9.88% cash dividend yield ($1.82 annualized) and 11.68% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as SAFE COVERAGE.

Direct Sub-Reports: PZZA RQD Cockpit PZZA 12M Forecast PZZA Earnings & Move PZZA Dividends & DRIP PZZA Insiders & 13F PZZA Whale Options PZZA Profit Sankey PZZA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PZZA — Papa John's International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PZZA scores 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20 (ROIC 30.5%; FCF yield 9.91%), Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 3.37; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is the cash engine, which implies the business converts capital into returns efficiently per the stated ROIC and FCF yield. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 4/20, which signals limited recent institutional accumulation per the same rating. Macro fit at 8/20 indicates the stock's sector sensitivity is not a source of support in this framework. The balance sheet score is moderate: a Piotroski F of 4/9 is a mid-range reading, and the Altman Z of 3.37 sits in the figures provided. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a mixed setup: attractive cash-generation metrics and a notable dividend yield, offset by weak institutional support, modest macro alignment, and a sharp price decline visible in the 52-week range ($17.7 – $52.02). This is an analytical reading of the source data, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

Metric	Value
Price	18.8
Market Cap	$618.9M
P/E (TTM)	20.3
Forward P/E	18.9
EV/EBITDA	9
EPS (TTM)	0.93
Dividend Yield	9.88%
Beta	1.0
52-Wk Range	$17.7 - $52.02
ROIC %	30.5%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$2053.8M	$89.1M	$30.5M	N/A	$61.3M	$34.6M	$710.4M
FY 2024	$2059.4M	$156.7M	$83.5M	N/A	$34.1M	$38.0M	$741.6M
FY 2023	$2135.7M	$147.1M	$82.1M	N/A	$193.1M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across the three periods while operating and net income declined from FY 2023 to FY 2025. Market data reports an operating margin of 4.3%, a net margin of 1.5%, and a gross margin of 0%. ROIC is 30.5% per the market data and RQD rating. The Altman Z-Score is 3.37 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, both per the RQD rating, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Debt declined from $741.6M to $710.4M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Risk Watch (Yahoo Finance): A headline references a 61% fall, flagged RED / RISK WATCH.
Securities class action (Morningstar, SueWallSt): Reminder of a class action deadline on November 2, 2026, flagged YELLOW.
Market wire (Yahoo Finance Singapore, GlobeNewswire): Stock quote and shareholder alert items, flagged YELLOW.
Analyst rating (MarketBeat): Report that the stock rating was raised to Hold at Zacks Research, flagged GREEN / CATALYST.
Shareholder rights notice (Business Wire, Rosen Law Firm): Solicitation to stockholders regarding their rights, flagged YELLOW.

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the cause of the drop referenced as a 61% fall, and what fundamental events drove it?
What is the basis for the reported 9.88% dividend yield, and is it sustainable given net margin of 1.5% and FCF of $61.3M in FY 2025?
What is the resolution of the securities class action referenced with a November 2, 2026 deadline?
What drives the gap between the FY 2025 cash-flow decline and the cash-engine score, and what is the EPS for each reported period (currently N/A)?
What is the company's business model detail, including product lines, customer base, and geographic exposure?

PZZA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PZZA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 12h ago

What Papa John's International Investors Missed Before A 61% Fall

Yahoo Finance report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Morningstar • 15h ago

PZZA Deadline Alert: SueWallSt Reminds Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) Investors of Securities Class Action Deadline on November 2, 2026

Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 18h ago

Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GlobeNewswire • 21h ago

PAPA JOHN’S INTERNATIONAL, INC. (PZZA) SHAREHOLDER ALERT

GlobeNewswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago

Papa John's International (NASDAQ:PZZA) Stock Rating Raised to Hold at Zacks Research

MarketBeat report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 1d ago

PZZA Deadline: Rosen Law Firm Urges Papa John’s International, Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) Stockholders to Contact the Firm for Information About Their Rights

Business Wire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Morningstar • 1d ago

Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) Shareholders Who Lost Money Have Opportunity to Lead Securities Fraud Lawsuit

Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH PR Newswire • 1d ago

PZZA Shareholder Alert: Papa John's International, Inc. Securities Class Action Lawsuit - Investors Should Contact Levi & Korsinsky

PR Newswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PZZA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.45?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PZZA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $20.30 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PZZA (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $18.80?

Welcome to the PZZA (Papa John's International Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Restaurants. Bulls point to capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.60 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $18.80

Pump the brakes on PZZA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PZZA, but look at what you are paying: 20.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Papa John's International Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.50 (+25.0%)

Spot @ $18.80

PZZA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PZZA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.80 (52-wk range $17.70 - $52.02), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.