Yahoo Finance report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why PZZA Stock slipped -1.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PZZA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Papa John's International Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $18.45 (-1.83% 1D, market cap $618.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PZZA ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does PZZA compare to HDL and BRCB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PZZA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.5%. By comparison, HDL (SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $643.8M) and BRCB (Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $530.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PZZA leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while PZZA leads on capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PZZA?
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Per PZZA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000901491), Papa John's International Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $30.5M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $837.5M in total assets and $710.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3% FCF Margin ($61.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PZZA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, PZZA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.40) or 200D SMA ($29.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.70) toward Bear Floor ($14.59).
Why PZZA Stock slipped -1.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) slipped -1.83% to $18.45, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($17.7 – $52.02). Solid steady margins (31% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($17.7 – $52.02) with RSI-14 at 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.8% around $18.45 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $61.3M annual free cash flow.
Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PR Newswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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See here for an analysis of 16 safe small-cap high-yield dividend dogs with strong cash flow and top picks projected to gain up to 62% by 2027.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PZZA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
PZZA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PZZA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PZZA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PZZA)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PZZA vs. HDL, BRCB, CNNE, FWRG)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) ranks #328 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #565 by equity capitalization ($618.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PZZA leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while PZZA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. PZZA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PZZA
ACTIVE
Papa John's International Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 20.3x | — | 30.5% | -1.83% | $618.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $643.8M | /hdl-vs-pzza → |
| BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | — | 1.6% | -1.79% | $530.3M | /brcb-vs-pzza → |
| CNNE Cannae Holdings Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | 15.5% | -10.6% | -0.06% | $743.9M | /cnne-vs-pzza → |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. | D- | 37/100 | 39.7x | — | 3.6% | +1.84% | $772.0M | /fwrg-vs-pzza → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000901491In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) reported GAAP revenue of $2.05B (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.06B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.5M, operating cash flow of $126.0M, and free cash flow of $61.3M (+79.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PZZA closed FY2025 with $837.5M in total assets against $710.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.37, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $2.05B | $30.5M | $126.0M | $61.3M | $837.5M | $710.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $2.06B | $83.5M | $106.6M | $34.1M | $889.0M | $741.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.14B | $82.1M | $193.1M | $193.1M | — | — |
3. PZZA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PZZA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Papa John's International Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $18.45 (-1.83% 1D, market cap $618.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PZZA ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PZZA compare to HDL and BRCB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PZZA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.5%. By comparison, HDL (SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $643.8M) and BRCB (Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $530.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PZZA leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while PZZA leads on capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PZZA?
Per PZZA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000901491), Papa John's International Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $30.5M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $837.5M in total assets and $710.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PZZA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PZZA last traded at $18.45 (-1.83% on volume of 1,484,730 shares), positioning the stock -9.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.40) and -38.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.95). Across its 52-week range of $17.70 to $52.02, PZZA sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($17.20 to $19.70).
PZZA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PZZA stock moving today?
Why PZZA Stock slipped -1.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (31% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
PZZA — Papa John's International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, PZZA scores 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20 (ROIC 30.5%; FCF yield 9.91%), Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 3.37; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is the cash engine, which implies the business converts capital into returns efficiently per the stated ROIC and FCF yield. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 4/20, which signals limited recent institutional accumulation per the same rating. Macro fit at 8/20 indicates the stock's sector sensitivity is not a source of support in this framework. The balance sheet score is moderate: a Piotroski F of 4/9 is a mid-range reading, and the Altman Z of 3.37 sits in the figures provided. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a mixed setup: attractive cash-generation metrics and a notable dividend yield, offset by weak institutional support, modest macro alignment, and a sharp price decline visible in the 52-week range ($17.7 – $52.02). This is an analytical reading of the source data, not personalized advice.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2053.8M | $89.1M | $30.5M | N/A | $61.3M | $34.6M | $710.4M |
| FY 2024 | $2059.4M | $156.7M | $83.5M | N/A | $34.1M | $38.0M | $741.6M |
| FY 2023 | $2135.7M | $147.1M | $82.1M | N/A | $193.1M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across the three periods while operating and net income declined from FY 2023 to FY 2025. Market data reports an operating margin of 4.3%, a net margin of 1.5%, and a gross margin of 0%. ROIC is 30.5% per the market data and RQD rating. The Altman Z-Score is 3.37 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, both per the RQD rating, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Debt declined from $741.6M to $710.4M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Risk Watch (Yahoo Finance): A headline references a 61% fall, flagged RED / RISK WATCH.
- Securities class action (Morningstar, SueWallSt): Reminder of a class action deadline on November 2, 2026, flagged YELLOW.
- Market wire (Yahoo Finance Singapore, GlobeNewswire): Stock quote and shareholder alert items, flagged YELLOW.
- Analyst rating (MarketBeat): Report that the stock rating was raised to Hold at Zacks Research, flagged GREEN / CATALYST.
- Shareholder rights notice (Business Wire, Rosen Law Firm): Solicitation to stockholders regarding their rights, flagged YELLOW.
The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What is the cause of the drop referenced as a 61% fall, and what fundamental events drove it?
- What is the basis for the reported 9.88% dividend yield, and is it sustainable given net margin of 1.5% and FCF of $61.3M in FY 2025?
- What is the resolution of the securities class action referenced with a November 2, 2026 deadline?
- What drives the gap between the FY 2025 cash-flow decline and the cash-engine score, and what is the EPS for each reported period (currently N/A)?
- What is the company's business model detail, including product lines, customer base, and geographic exposure?
PZZA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PR Newswire report covering Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PZZA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.45?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PZZA (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $18.80?
Welcome to the PZZA (Papa John's International Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Restaurants. Bulls point to capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on PZZA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PZZA, but look at what you are paying: 20.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Papa John's International Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
PZZA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PZZA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.80 (52-wk range $17.70 - $52.02), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.