Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why RCEL Stock dropped -6.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is RCEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Avita Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: RCEL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $15.65 (-6.34% 1D, market cap $484.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, RCEL ranks #332 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RCEL compare to DCTH and SSII in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), RCEL carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 82.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DCTH (Delcath Systems Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $487.2M) and SSII (SS Innovations International Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.5%, cap $471.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCEL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DCTH leads on capital efficiency (0.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCEL?
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Per RCEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001762303), Avita Medical Inc. generated $71.6M in revenue (+11.5% YoY), -$48.6M in net income, and -$32.2M in free cash flow against $56.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RCEL Turnaround Squeeze
While RCEL currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.46) and Max Pain ($16.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.75.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why RCEL Stock dropped -6.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) dropped -6.34% to $15.65, trading at 91% of its 52-week range ($3.22 – $16.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 91% of its 52-week range ($3.22 – $16.9) with RSI-14 at 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $15.65 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 82.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Moomoo report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Market momentum is deeply negative, but Q4 rallies may favor value, dividends, and select cyclicals. Click for a look at the current state of the market and where it may be headed.
VALENCIA, Calif., Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- AVITA Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ: RCEL, ASX: AVH) (“AVITA Medical,” or the “Company”), a leading therapeutic acute wound care company delivering transformative solutions, to
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RCEL)
- ✓Walkthrough of RCEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RCEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +11.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RCEL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RCEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RCEL)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (RCEL vs. DCTH, SSII, SENS, ANGO)
Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) ranks #332 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #449 by equity capitalization ($484.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RCEL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DCTH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.8% ROIC and 86.2% gross margin. DCTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with RCEL at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCEL
ACTIVE
Avita Medical Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 82.1% | -35.0% | -6.34% | $484.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| DCTH Delcath Systems Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | 86.2% | 0.8% | -4.10% | $487.2M | /dcth-vs-rcel → |
| SSII SS Innovations International Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | 46.0% | -18.5% | -1.26% | $471.1M | /ssii-vs-rcel → |
| SENS Senseonics Holdings Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 44.7% | -35.0% | -2.46% | $502.8M | /sens-vs-rcel → |
| ANGO AngioDynamics Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 54.6% | -23.4% | -2.91% | $504.2M | /ango-vs-rcel → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001762303 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) reported GAAP revenue of $71.6M (+11.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $64.3M , and +42.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$48.6M, operating cash flow of -$31.2M, and free cash flow of -$32.2M (+44.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, RCEL closed FY2025 with $56.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $71.6M | -$48.6M | -$31.2M | -$32.2M | $56.4M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $64.3M | -$61.8M | -$48.9M | -$58.1M | $79.7M | $42.2M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $50.1M | -$35.4M | -$38.0M | -$38.0M | — | — |
3. RCEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RCEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Avita Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: RCEL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $15.65 (-6.34% 1D, market cap $484.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, RCEL ranks #332 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RCEL compare to DCTH and SSII in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), RCEL carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 82.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DCTH (Delcath Systems Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $487.2M) and SSII (SS Innovations International Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.5%, cap $471.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCEL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DCTH leads on capital efficiency (0.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCEL?
Per RCEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001762303), Avita Medical Inc. generated $71.6M in revenue (+11.5% YoY), -$48.6M in net income, and -$32.2M in free cash flow against $56.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RCEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RCEL last traded at $15.65 (-6.34% on volume of 597,088 shares), positioning the stock +25.60% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.46) and +134.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.68). Across its 52-week range of $3.22 to $16.90, RCEL sits at the 90.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.69 to $17.61).
RCEL — Avita Medical Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.65 (-6.34% 1D, market capitalization $484.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 82.1%, operating margin of -59.4%, and free cash flow yield of -6.23%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Avita Medical Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 82.1%, indicating high gross profit per dollar of revenue. Per the financials, FY 2025 revenue was $71.6M.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) reported $71.6M in annual revenue (up from $64.3M in FY2024, +11.5% YoY) and -$48.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($50.1M revenue, -$35.4M net income) through FY2025, RCEL scaled operating cash flow to -$31.2M and free cash flow to -$32.2M, backed by $56.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -6.23% and institutional whale pillar of 16/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.22 – $16.90 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -59.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present.
- Key Question #1: Can RCEL sustain or expand its -59.4% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Medical/Dental Instruments peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $71.6M and free cash flow of -$32.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is RCEL's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
RCEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RCEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.65?
Institutional whale flow scores 16 / 20 and the stock has rallied from a $3.22 52-week low to $16.71, with revenue growing from $50.1M
Picked up a starter position in RCEL in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $15.65. Institutional whale flow scores 16 / 20 and the stock has rallied from a $3.22 52-week low to $16.71, with revenue growing from $50.1M to $71.6M since FY 2023.. Trading inside a $3.22–$16.90 52-week range with -6.23% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Medical/Dental Instruments multiples expand this quarter.
@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $15.65 and keeping dry powder in case we test $14.55.
Operating losses persist across all three reported periods with ROIC at -35% and FCF yield at -6.23%, while insider conviction scores o
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on RCEL: Operating losses persist across all three reported periods with ROIC at -35% and FCF yield at -6.23%, while insider conviction scores only 3 / 20.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Medical/Dental Instruments triggers a 12-15% air pocket.