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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RCKY / options
CAL (58) WWW (71) SHOO (62) BIRK (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$52.11 +1.74% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.17

Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $383.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RCKY Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RCKY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Rocky Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: RCKY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $52.11 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $383.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RCKY ranks #205 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RCKY compare to CAL and WWW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), RCKY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.6x, gross margin of 40.9%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, CAL (Caleres Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $467.5M) and WWW (Wolverine World Wide Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $1.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCKY leads on earnings multiple (16.6x) while WWW leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCKY?
β–Ό

Per RCKY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895456), Rocky Brands Inc. generated $482.0M in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $22.3M in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $477.5M in total assets and $114.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.17 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510067
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C Β· Rk B
Cash (8)Whales (15)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$64 Bull$54 Base$42 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RCKY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RCKY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RCKY SCORES 67/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.2% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.7% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$45.12+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$46.29+7.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$49.69+4.9% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$52.11+1.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ C+ (67)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RCKY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, RCKY faces multiple-compression risk if 16.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 38.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.60) or 200D SMA ($41.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.22) toward Bear Floor ($42.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RCKYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRCKY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RCKY)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RCKY.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RCKY & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RCKY
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
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RCKY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.20%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-04O $49.27H $52.11L $49.27C $52.11VOL 89.2K
RES: $49.56SUP: $44.94SMA50: $45.60SMA200: $41.43
$54.48$48.39$42.30$36.21$30.12RES $49.56SUP $44.94$52.112026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RCKY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ RCKY Butterfly Map β†’ + Track RCKY β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RCKY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RCKY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RCKY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RCKY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #205 of 1009 βš”οΈ CAL vs RCKY Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RCKY vs. CAL, WWW, SHOO, BIRK)

Industry: Shoe Manufacturing (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) ranks #205 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #617 by equity capitalization ($383.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RCKY leads on earnings valuation at 16.6x trailing P/E, while WWW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.4% ROIC and 47.3% gross margin. WWW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with RCKY at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RCKY ACTIVE
Rocky Brands Inc.
C+ 67/100 16.6x 40.9% 8.1% +1.74% $383.7M Benchmark Subject
CAL
Caleres Inc.
D+ 58/100 β€” 43.0% 0.9% -2.80% $467.5M /cal-vs-rcky β†’
WWW
Wolverine World Wide Inc.
B- 71/100 17.6x 47.3% 12.4% +1.08% $1.76B /www-vs-rcky β†’
SHOO
Steven Madden Ltd.
C 62/100 73.6x 41.6% 6.5% +1.15% $3.19B /shoo-vs-rcky β†’
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.03% $5.87B /birk-vs-rcky β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000895456 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) reported GAAP revenue of $482.0M (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $453.8M , and +386.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.3M, operating cash flow of $16.3M, and free cash flow of $9.7M (-79.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, RCKY closed FY2025 with $477.5M in total assets against $114.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.21, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $482.0M $22.3M $16.3M $9.7M $477.5M $114.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $453.8M $11.4M $52.8M $48.1M $457.3M $120.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $99.0M $10.4M $73.6M $73.6M β€” β€”

3. RCKY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RCKY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rocky Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: RCKY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $52.11 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $383.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RCKY ranks #205 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RCKY compare to CAL and WWW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), RCKY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.6x, gross margin of 40.9%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, CAL (Caleres Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $467.5M) and WWW (Wolverine World Wide Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $1.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCKY leads on earnings multiple (16.6x) while WWW leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCKY?

Per RCKY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895456), Rocky Brands Inc. generated $482.0M in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $22.3M in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $477.5M in total assets and $114.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RCKY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCKY last traded at $52.11 (+1.74% on volume of 56,028 shares), positioning the stock +14.28% above its 50-day simple moving average ($45.60) and +25.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.43). Across its 52-week range of $27.96 to $53.01, RCKY sits at the 96.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.2% ($48.88 to $55.34).

Direct Sub-Reports: RCKY RQD Cockpit RCKY 12M Forecast RCKY Earnings & Move RCKY Dividends & DRIP RCKY Insiders & 13F RCKY Whale Options RCKY Profit Sankey RCKY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 67/100 (C+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RCKY β€” Rocky Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $52.11 (+1.74% 1D, market capitalization $383.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.1%, gross margin of 40.9%, operating margin of 7.7%, and free cash flow yield of 2.62%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.21, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.45x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Shoe Manufacturing industry, . Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 40.9%, an operating margin of 7.7%, and a net margin of 4.6%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) reported $482.0M in annual revenue (up from $453.8M in FY2024, +6.2% YoY) and $22.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($99.0M revenue, $10.4M net income) through FY2025, RCKY scaled operating cash flow to $16.3M and free cash flow to $9.7M, backed by $477.5M in total assets against $114.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C+ β€’ RQD 67/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.96 – $53.01 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 16.6x trailing P/E and 11.3x EV/EBITDA against 7.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream supplier dependencies, downstream customer dependencies, and sector correlation data are therefore β€” The graph does tag the sector as Consumer Discretionary and the industry as Shoe Manufacturing, but no second-order bottlenecks or ripple pathways are identified in the source. A prospective investor should treat supply-chain exposure as an unresolved question rather than a confirmed risk or strength.

  • Key Question #1: Can RCKY sustain or expand its 7.7% operating margin and 8.1% ROIC against Shoe Manufacturing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $482.0M and free cash flow of $9.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $114.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RCKY's 15.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RCKY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rocky Brands Inc. (RCKY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RCKY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RCKY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $52.11?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RCKY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RCKY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $63.07 (+28.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.21, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.45) and net income rising from $11.4M to $22.3M support the stock

Picked up a starter position in RCKY in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $49.27. Balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.21, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.45) and net income rising from $11.4M to $22.3M support the stock's Forensic Balance Sheet pillar.. Trading inside a $27.96–$53.01 52-week range with 2.62% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Shoe Manufacturing multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $49.27 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.92 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $49.27

Free cash flow fell from $73.6M in FY 2023 to $9.7M in FY 2025 and the FCF yield is only 2.62%, weakening the Fundamental Cash Engine p

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on RCKY: Free cash flow fell from $73.6M in FY 2023 to $9.7M in FY 2025 and the FCF yield is only 2.62%, weakening the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar.. At 16.6x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Shoe Manufacturing triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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