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Why REZI Stock surged +2.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$19.25 +2.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.31

Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.84B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is REZI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Resideo Technologies Inc. (NYSE: REZI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $19.25 (+2.78% 1D, market cap $2.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, REZI ranks #372 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does REZI compare to ADIG and BXC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), REZI carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, ADIG (ADI Global Distribution Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.33B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $621.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REZI?
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Per REZI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001740332), Resideo Technologies Inc. generated $7.47B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), -$527.0M in net income, and -$1.25B in free cash flow against $8.43B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.31 (+0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
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3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$31 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE REZI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REZI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY REZI SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.72 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.4) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
27
Grade E$16.61+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$17.07+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$18.29+5.2% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$19.25-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a REZI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While REZI currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.38) and Max Pain ($20.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $REZI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “REZI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why REZI Stock surged +2.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) surged +2.78% to $19.25, trading at 24% of its 52-week range ($15.9 – $29.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 24% of its 52-week range ($15.9 – $29.95) with RSI-14 at 59.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $19.25 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 29.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live REZI Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring REZI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of REZI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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REZI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.92%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $18.80H $19.25L $18.73C $19.25VOL 1.18M
RES: $25.53SUP: $14.98SMA50: $18.38SMA200: $22.64
$29.98$26.16$22.35$18.53$14.72RES $25.53SUP $14.98$19.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REZI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REZI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REZI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REZI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REZI)

Industrials Rank #372 of 486 ⚔️ ADIG vs REZI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (REZI vs. ADIG, BXC, ARCB, EFXT)

Industry: Wholesale Distributors (3 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) ranks #372 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #186 by equity capitalization ($2.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCB leads on earnings valuation at 47.0x trailing P/E, while REZI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 29.4% gross margin. BXC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with REZI at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
REZI ACTIVE
Resideo Technologies Inc.
D- 35/100 — 29.4% 8.8% +2.78% $2.84B Benchmark Subject
ADIG
ADI Global Distribution Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +6.87% $1.33B /adig-vs-rezi →
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings Inc.
C 64/100 — 15.3% 4.9% -0.37% $621.2M /bxc-vs-rezi →
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
D+ 55/100 47.0x — 5.4% +4.40% $2.80B /arcb-vs-rezi →
EFXT
Enerflex Ltd
D+ 57/100 — — — -5.92% $2.89B /efxt-vs-rezi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001740332 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) reported GAAP revenue of $7.47B (+10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.76B , and +19.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$527.0M, operating cash flow of -$1.14B, and free cash flow of -$1.25B (-444.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, REZI closed FY2025 with $8.43B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.72, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.47B -$527.0M -$1.14B -$1.25B $8.43B $3.17B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.76B $116.0M $444.0M $364.0M $8.20B $1.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.24B $210.0M $440.0M $440.0M — —

3. REZI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REZI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Resideo Technologies Inc. (NYSE: REZI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $19.25 (+2.78% 1D, market cap $2.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, REZI ranks #372 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REZI compare to ADIG and BXC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), REZI carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, ADIG (ADI Global Distribution Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.33B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $621.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REZI?

Per REZI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001740332), Resideo Technologies Inc. generated $7.47B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), -$527.0M in net income, and -$1.25B in free cash flow against $8.43B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REZI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REZI last traded at $19.25 (+2.78% on volume of 1,495,554 shares), positioning the stock +4.73% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.38) and -14.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.64). Across its 52-week range of $15.90 to $29.95, REZI sits at the 23.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($17.79 to $20.71).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 35/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

REZI — Resideo Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.25 (+2.78% 1D, market capitalization $2.84B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.8%, gross margin of 29.4%, operating margin of 8.1%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.72, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.09x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Resideo Technologies Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Wholesale Distributors industry. The profile describes the company as operating in Wholesale Distributors with a market capitalization of $2.9B. Gross margin is 29.4% and operating margin is 8.1% per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) reported $7.47B in annual revenue (up from $6.76B in FY2024, +10.5% YoY) and -$527.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.24B revenue, $210.0M net income) through FY2025, REZI scaled operating cash flow to -$1.14B and free cash flow to -$1.25B, backed by $8.43B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 35/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.90 – $29.95 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 7.6x EV/EBITDA against 8.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Wholesale Distributors (Industrials), REZI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 29.4%.

  • Key Question #1: Can REZI sustain or expand its 8.1% operating margin and 8.8% ROIC against Wholesale Distributors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.47B and free cash flow of -$1.25B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.17B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is REZI's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

REZI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to REZI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

REZI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON REZI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on REZI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.72 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Operating income of $607.0M in FY 2025 and an EV/EBITDA of 7.6 give a valuation reference point despite the cash-flow pressure.

Long REZI at $18.73 targeting $24.72. Operating income of $607.0M in FY 2025 and an EV/EBITDA of 7.6 give a valuation reference point despite the cash-flow pressure.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $15.90 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — REZI's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.92 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $18.73

FCF of -$1.25B, Altman Z 1.72, and debt rising to $3.17B leave a vulnerable cash and balance sheet profile.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on REZI: FCF of -$1.25B, Altman Z 1.72, and debt rising to $3.17B leave a vulnerable cash and balance sheet profile.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Wholesale Distributors triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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