CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Transocean (RIG) reports earnings tomorrow: what to expectOffshore drilling contractor Transocean (NYSE:RIG) will be announcing earnings results this Monday after market close. Here’s what to look for.
Why RIG Stock dropped -10.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.23 -10.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.10
Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $7.75B
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Is RIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (NYSE: RIG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $6.23 (-10.23% 1D, market cap $7.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, RIG ranks #98 in composite RQD confidence.
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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RIG compare to NE and VIST in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), RIG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -17.3%. By comparison, NE (Noble Corporation plc A) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $7.82B) and VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RIG?
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Per RIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001451505), Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) generated $3.96B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), -$2.92B in net income, and $626.0M in free cash flow against $15.64B in total assets and $3.66B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.10 (-2.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RIG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RIG SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (29% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$5.58+8.2% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$6.04+11.1% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$6.71-7.2% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade C-$6.23+0.2% Hist 90D α
59
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RIG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, RIG faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.81) or 200D SMA ($5.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.26) toward Bear Floor ($4.88).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RIG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RIG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RIG Stock dropped -10.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) dropped -10.23% to $6.23, trading at 64% of its 52-week range ($3.68 – $7.66). Solid 39.3% gross margin (-17% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 64% of its 52-week range ($3.68 – $7.66) with RSI-14 at 71.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.8% around $6.23 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 39.3% gross margin and $626.0M annual free cash flow.
Live RIG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 5d ago
Buy Transocean: Upside In Boom Era Outweighs DownsideTransocean Ltd. is positioned as a speculative buy, with upside potential in a deepwater capex upcycle. Read why RIG stock is a buy.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 5d ago
Diamond Hill Small-Mid Cap Fund Q3 2026 Contributors And DetractorsExplore why the fund outperformed the Russell 2500 despite a 4.75% decline, with key winners, laggards, and performance insights.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
Patterson-UTI (PTEN) Meets Q3 Earnings EstimatesPatterson-UTI (PTEN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.00% and +4.06%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
Earnings Preview: Borr Drilling (BORR) Q3 Earnings Expected to DeclineBorr Drilling (BORR) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
CATALYSTYahoo • 7d ago
Will RIG’s $1.6B Backlog Surge Disarm Short Sellers on Nov. 2? Here’s What to WatchTransocean (NYSE:RIG) reports third-quarter results on Monday, Nov. 2. Shares have climbed 21.38% over the past month to $6.53. Now the earnings report has to back up a rally driven by fresh backlog and a nearly finished
MARKET WIREYahoo • 8d ago
Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Transocean (RIG) is a Great ChoiceDoes Transocean (RIG) have what it takes to be a top stock pick for momentum investors? Let's find out.
CATALYSTYahoo • 8d ago
Transocean (RIG) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?Transocean (RIG) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
3 Oil Stocks Worth Watching As Brent Crude Tests $117Oil markets have snapped back into the spotlight after Brent crude hit about US$117 a barrel on fears of wider conflict around Iran, and that sudden price shock is reshaping risk and opportunity across global portfolios.
CATALYSTYahoo • 10d ago
Valaris (VAL) Stock May Be 48% Undervalued As Brazil Clears Its SaleValaris has logged a strong multi year run, and with a pending all stock acquisition by Transocean on the table, the key issue for you is whether today’s price can be explained by the cash the business is expected to gen
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RIG Tape Review)
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RIG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.45%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $6.69H $6.94L $6.23C $6.23VOL 47.73M
RES: $7.10SUP: $5.23SMA50: $5.81SMA200: $5.90
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RIG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
18.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RIG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RIG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RIG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RIG)
Energy Rank #98 of 211
⚔️ NE vs RIG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (RIG vs. NE, VIST, MTDR, VAL)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) ranks #98 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #67 by equity capitalization ($7.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VAL leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while MTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.1% ROIC and 94.3% gross margin. MTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with RIG at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIG
ACTIVE
Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) | C- | 59/100 | — | 39.3% | -17.3% | -10.23% | $7.75B | Benchmark Subject |
| NE Noble Corporation plc A | C+ | 69/100 | 35.0x | — | 5.4% | -7.22% | $7.82B | /ne-vs-rig → |
| VIST Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American | C | 64/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -5.05% | $7.84B | /vist-vs-rig → |
| MTDR Matador Resources Company | B+ | 77/100 | 9.8x | 94.3% | 12.1% | -8.41% | $7.53B | /mtdr-vs-rig → |
| VAL Valaris Limited | B | 73/100 | 7.2x | — | 10.3% | -10.09% | $7.31B | /val-vs-rig → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001451505 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) reported GAAP revenue of $3.96B (+12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.52B , and +40.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.92B, operating cash flow of $749.0M, and free cash flow of $626.0M (+224.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, RIG closed FY2025 with $15.64B in total assets against $3.66B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.96B | -$2.92B | $749.0M | $626.0M | $15.64B | $3.66B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.52B | -$512.0M | $447.0M | $193.0M | $19.37B | $4.53B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.83B | -$954.0M | $164.0M | $36.6M | $4.11B | $961.6M |
3. RIG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (NYSE: RIG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $6.23 (-10.23% 1D, market cap $7.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, RIG ranks #98 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RIG compare to NE and VIST in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), RIG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -17.3%. By comparison, NE (Noble Corporation plc A) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $7.82B) and VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RIG?
Per RIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001451505), Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) generated $3.96B in revenue (+12.5% YoY), -$2.92B in net income, and $626.0M in free cash flow against $15.64B in total assets and $3.66B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RIG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RIG last traded at $6.23 (-10.23% on volume of 45,685,173 shares), positioning the stock +7.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.81) and +5.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.90). Across its 52-week range of $3.68 to $7.66, RIG sits at the 64.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($5.74 to $6.72).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
RIG — Transocean Ltd (Switzerland): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $6.23 (-10.23% 1D, market capitalization $7.75B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -17.3%, gross margin of 39.3%, operating margin of -58.9%, and free cash flow yield of 8.38%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 0.94x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.45, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector and Oil & Gas Production industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 39.3%, but its operating margin is -58.9%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) reported $3.96B in annual revenue (up from $3.52B in FY2024, +12.5% YoY) and -$2.92B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.83B revenue, -$954.0M net income) through FY2025, RIG scaled operating cash flow to $749.0M and free cash flow to $626.0M, backed by $15.64B in total assets against $3.66B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 8.38% and institutional whale pillar of 17/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.68 – $7.66 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against -58.9% operating margins and a 0.94x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Sector classification is Energy and industry is Oil & Gas Production. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the stated beta of 0.
- Key Question #1: Can RIG sustain or expand its -58.9% operating margin and -17.3% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.96B and free cash flow of $626.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.66B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is RIG's 25.0x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.94x)?
RIG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 2d ago
Transocean (RIG) reports earnings tomorrow: what to expect Offshore drilling contractor Transocean (NYSE:RIG) will be announcing earnings results this Monday after market close. Here’s what to look for.
🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 5d ago
Buy Transocean: Upside In Boom Era Outweighs Downside Transocean Ltd. is positioned as a speculative buy, with upside potential in a deepwater capex upcycle. Read why RIG stock is a buy.
🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 5d ago
Diamond Hill Small-Mid Cap Fund Q3 2026 Contributors And Detractors Explore why the fund outperformed the Russell 2500 despite a 4.75% decline, with key winners, laggards, and performance insights.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 6d ago
Patterson-UTI (PTEN) Meets Q3 Earnings Estimates Patterson-UTI (PTEN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.00% and +4.06%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 6d ago
Earnings Preview: Borr Drilling (BORR) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline Borr Drilling (BORR) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 7d ago
Will RIG’s $1.6B Backlog Surge Disarm Short Sellers on Nov. 2? Here’s What to Watch Transocean (NYSE:RIG) reports third-quarter results on Monday, Nov. 2. Shares have climbed 21.38% over the past month to $6.53. Now the earnings report has to back up a rally driven by fresh backlog and a nearly finished
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 8d ago
Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Transocean (RIG) is a Great Choice Does Transocean (RIG) have what it takes to be a top stock pick for momentum investors? Let's find out.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 8d ago
Transocean (RIG) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy? Transocean (RIG) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
RIG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.23?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RIG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $8.81 (+26.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate Reported FY 2025 free cash flow of $626.0M and an 8.38% FCF yield indicate cash generation despite operating losses.
Reported FY 2025 free cash flow of $626.0M and an 8.38% FCF yield indicate cash generation despite operating losses.. When you look under the hood at RIG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 39.3% gross margins and -17.3% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (17/20) has been quietly accumulating below $7.66. My 12M target is $8.81.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — RIG's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $5.69 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $6.94 An operating margin of -58.9%, ROIC of -17.3%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.45 signal sustained unprofitability and balance-sheet stress.
An operating margin of -58.9%, ROIC of -17.3%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.45 signal sustained unprofitability and balance-sheet stress.. Look at the math on RIG: paying 25.0x forward P/E for -17.3% ROIC and -58.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil & Gas Production demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $6.11 before getting long.